Yimeng Shengding12.2黄金原油周一开盘行情走势前瞻交易操作策略超级周来临！

    投资者可以基于基本面对市场会如何预期进行判断，但即使判断准确了，这个预期所导致的市场走势的时机和力度可能依然远远超出你的所料。这事实上证明了，要想精确的对市场预测是多么的困难——即使他依据于一大堆的被证明正确的判断。因为如果市场的波动是盘大菜，那么“事实”只是其中的作料之一而已。

　　

SpotgoldFriday（11month29日）强势收涨，美市盘中最高上探至1466.40dollar/盎司，金价收到避险需求急升的支撑V型反弹，盘中出现大力拉升，重返1460关口上方并突破了1465的关键阻力位。日内无重大数据发布，但据外媒报道，当地时间周五下午，英国伦敦塔桥附近发生枪击事件，据称已造成2人死亡，数人受伤。恐袭事件发生后，黄金大幅跳涨，一扫多日颓势，收复了日内跌幅并从11月的低点反弹，市场攻克了1465水平，这是一个重要的阻力位，下一步意味着金价将在上行路上进攻1480阻力。但金价仍录得3.08%的月度跌幅。

　　

　　翼盟胜鼎个人观点：周一将有重磅数据发布，11monthPMI和美国非农就业数据即将发布。在录得近两年来最大的月度跌幅之后，黄金的技术图表正出现卖方疲惫的迹象，意味着将有修正性反弹。翼盟胜鼎认为，对黄金眼下还能守住1450感到意外，因此前部分多头已经回补，但这一点位将是此前未能抓得上一波猛涨机会交易者较好的逢低买入点。长线看，尽管短线内持续遭遇卖压，但关于贸易摩擦的前端消息将持续稳固避险，令黄金受到支撑，只要多头升破1480将见证新的看涨动能。眼下只是需要相关的刺激面。受到美股和债券收益率表现的影响，此前不少黄金多头已经选择了获利了结。年末这种情况会继续，意味着金价还可能出现进一步修正。

　　

————Analysis of Gold Market

　　

　　黄金很可能在非农数据公布之前出现价格反弹，因为周线蜡烛图上的长影线表明卖方已经枯竭。最近的价格走势也呼应了类似的情绪。如前所述，尽管美国数据乐观，金价仍避免跌破1450USD.50Rihe100日均线的看跌交叉几乎被确认。长期看跌的交叉经常使卖方陷于错误的市场。总而言之，金价可能即将涨至1470美元。如果市场因中美政治紧张局势而避险，并且美国数据对经济构成负面影响，那么金价可能远高于阻力位1479USD.

　　

　　目前，从技术上看，黄金空头仍具有全面的技术优势。金价仍处于两个多月的下降趋势线之中，若盘整区间未能突破，黄金恐面临进一步的抛压。多头近期的目标是重返1500关口；空头的目标则是控制金价在1500大关下方，并拉低至1400的关口。第一阻力位为1470USD, followed by1479美元。第一支撑位在隔夜低点1452.48美元；其次是1450美元。短线操作先看一波反弹。文中操作建议仅供参考，具体建议实盘现价给出，操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可添翼盟胜鼎获得指导名额；

　　

Suggestions for short-term operation of gold:

　　

　　1Suggestions1468Short nearby, stop loss1473, Objective1463-1460；

　　

　　2Suggestions1453Long nearby, stop loss1448, Objective1459-1463；

　　

　　3、关于今日的操作，本人已经公布在朋.friend.Circle, and will always be in Wei//letter//直播，准确率百分之九十以上，笔者 ymsd06)Communication is all free. Did you miss today's profit?

　　

　　————crude oilquotations analysis

　　

United StatesWTIcrude oil1monthfuturesFriday(11month29day)Closing down2.94USD, or5.1%Report55.17dollar/Barrel, up this month1.8%, creating6月来最大单月百分比涨幅。石油输出国组织(OPEC)延长减产协议成疑令多头信心受阻，日内油价大跌令月线涨幅缩减。由于美国假期结束，成交量低于正常水准，这一情况可能加剧市场波动，且月度原油合约接近尾声，交易商倾向于平仓。翼盟胜鼎认为，能源交易员出于对全球贸易局势的担忧，正在采取预防措施，部分交易商正在退出石油市场，也影响了今日原油行情的走势。

　　

　　原油技术面来分析，日线上看，原油隔日受消息面影响大幅下跌，日线录得实体大阴，日线图上，原油整体呈现缓慢上行趋势，隔日如预期每创一个新高都会出现大幅回撤，但本次深跌，已下至布林带下轨处，即将打破前期低点，或将打破此趋势，转为下行趋势；4小时上看，原油自11month22日创新高58.706一线后经过漫长的高位盘整后，隔日打破此趋势，大幅下跌，当前布林带处于开口期，MAThe moving average is arranged in short positions,KDJ随机指标三线死叉向下，MACD指标绿色动能柱持续放量，快慢线死叉向下，综合来看，周一建议关注下方前期低位54.843一线的破位情况，如若不破，将会上行，短暂低位盘整，转为大型区间震荡运行，如若破位，将看至53.71低位，转为下行趋势，操作建议低多为主，重点关注中线多单机会。文中操作建议仅供参考，具体建议实盘现价给出，操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可添加翼盟胜鼎获得指导名额；

　　

Suggestions for short-term crude oil operations:

　　

　　1Suggestions57.0Short selling, stop loss57.5, Objective56.5-56.3；

　　

　　2Suggestions54.8Long, stop loss54.3, Objective55.6-56.1；

　　

　　3、关于今日的操作，本人已经公布在朋.friend.Circle, and will always be in Wei//letter//直播，准确率百分之九十以上，ymsd06)Communication is all free. Did you miss today's profit?

　　

　　解套的方法有以下六种：

　　

1、 Proactively unwind: When you realize that your buying is a huge mistake, you should promptly cut your position and stop loss; When one is deeply trapped and unable to cut their position, while confirming that there is still room for further decline in the future market, short selling can be used to effectively reduce losses.

　　

Solution: Grasping a rebound requires a certain level of skill, which is accumulated over the years. Inexperienced people don't have to take risks, they are the most valuable. While accumulating experience, it is important to constantly cultivate one's sense of belonging. Finally, it is crucial to pay attention to fund management when participating in a rebound.

　　

　　二、如果套牢时，所买入处在高位必须立即止损；如果所买入处在中位，可以依据当时的情况暂时观望，以求的解套离场或者逢高减仓降低损失；如果所买入处在低位，则不必急于止损，应该在所买入下跌企稳之后，在重要的支撑位敢于低位补仓，摊成本，在接下来的反弹行情中将高位套牢的仓位一同救出来。

　　

Solution: A long market is a long market, don't think about reverse operations, while a flat market is a long market. Rest is also a form of operation.

　　

　　三、采取向下摊平的操作方法。即随金价下挫幅度扩增反而加码买进，从而均低购黄金成本，以待金价回升获利。但采取此项作法，必须以确认整体投资环境尚未变坏，市场并无由多头市场转入空头市场的情况发生为前提，否则，极易陷入愈套愈多的窘境。

　　

Solution: Understand the principle that there is always a sliding inertia after the train starts. When the trend takes the first step, we follow in for a step and a half until the balance is broken. When the trend is established, we adopt the "buy all orders" operation strategy. When the signs of false breakthrough appear, the probability of winning in the opposite direction is very high.

　　

　　四、采取以不变应万变的“不卖不赔”方法。在单子被套牢后，只要尚未脱手，就不能认定投资者已亏血本。如果手中所单子有发展前景，且整体投资环境尚未恶化，市场走势仍未脱离不明市场，则大可不必为一时套牢而惊慌失措，此时应采取的方法不是将套牢单子和盘卖出，而是保持持有来以不变应万变，静待近价回升解套之时。

　　

Solution: Identify the drawbacks and combine the short and medium aspects to operate according to the rules and regulations.

　　

　　五、如果所买入的处在上升趋势，则不必止损，耐心地持有一段时间，必然会解套，甚至还会有较大盈利的可能；如果所买入处在平衡震荡趋势中，也不必立即止损，耐心等待进入震荡循环高位，一旦解套或者损失很小的时候，应该果断离场出局；如果所买入处在下跌趋势，一旦确认下跌趋势已经形成，应该立即止损，决不能患得患失心存幻想。任何的迟疑和犹豫，都有可能换来深度的套牢难以自拔。

　　

　　六、行情瞬息万变，数据指标有了翻天覆地的变化，如果我给出具体数据，不仅不会对，反而或许还会误导你，这里对于解套我就不做多的具体点位讲解了。如果你被套了，我会根据及时的行情，点位，走势以及你的个人情况为你量身定制解套方案，帮你减少损失或许盈利一点（解套就别贪了）

　　

　　市场，永远是市场，残酷的现象不会因为你的亏损而改变，更不会因为你的眼泪和抱怨而终止，改变自己的命运，只有不断的学习投资技巧，提高自己的实力。才会加快脱离苦海的速度。朋友，三人行，必有我师，如果你不懂市场，如果你不懂形态，如果你不知从何入手学习，那么你只需要懂得，我是你的朋友，这条路上，我一直陪你走到底。

　　

　　————翼盟胜鼎寄语

　　

A common mistake made by traders is to conduct trading operations without a plan, and the results are also very unsatisfactory. Blindly placing orders by investors will inevitably lead to losses; After losing money, one will feel disheartened and extremely nervous, knowing that the market trend has changed,Still having a mentality of luck, indecisiveness, constantly relaxing the price range of stop loss stocks, or having no concept or plan of stop loss stocks at all, always hoping that the market price will completely reverse at the next resistance point, resulting in a loss that is enough to damage morale. Investors can only avoid losing again in future trading after experiencing this kind of hardship, but I need to slowly change this because it is inherent in human nature, and as long as I remind myself of this mindset in the future, I can avoid it. The psychological misconception that corresponds to the mentality of loss giving rise to luck is the mentality of profit giving rise to greed. After placing the order, the price is still rising, so why place the order; The price has started to fall, you need to take a look. When the order turns into a loss, you are even more unwilling to place an order. By the time you are forced to cut your head and enter the market, you have already suffered heavy losses.. The profitability of an investor is largely determined by their trading philosophy. If an investor's trading philosophy is conservative, then their account risk control will definitely be superior to others.

　　

Whether it is technical analysis or fundamental analysis, there is a key point that needs to be grasped, such as when we use technical indicators to analyze market trends; We cannot predict the future direction. Only by following the development direction of the market trend can we obtain stable income and accurately predict the future market trend, which brings maximum satisfaction to self traders. It can make you feel outstanding, and no one can predict the accuracy of the market to the level required for high proportion financing exchanges. Furthermore,交易赢利并非仰赖准确的预测，这对期货的局外人而言，这有些匪夷所思，乍看之下很明显,Accurate prediction can ensure transaction profitability,Therefore, almost all traders spend extra time and money trying to learn better prediction methods. As is well known, analyzing fundamentals is not helpful in predicting trend changes, and price changes often occur before fundamental news is released. Therefore, traders turn to technical analysis.

　　

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Analysis writer: Yimeng Shengding  Wei-Core（ ymsd06）  

Author's message:
A restless heart leads to chaos, and chaos leads to danger. Patience is an essential element for success. May you know me starting with words and matching my personality,Trapped in technology, enduring kindness, and finally having a good character