Bo Hu Lun Jin:11.29黄金底部区间维持偏空震荡，日内走势分析操作策略

The path of trading is gradual and step-by-step. When you miss the beginning of a trend, there is no need to worry about whether to participate in the end of the trend. Doubt and cowardice are both obstacles to success. Success comes from trying, and even a journey of a thousand miles must be taken first. There is no success without the risk of failure. The strong will make way for you, while the weak will find it difficult to move forward. To fly higher, one must first dive lower. Those who observe the overall situation will not care about the gains and losses of a city or a place. To cultivate oneself with calmness, to cultivate virtue with frugality. Soldiers facing the city are calm and calm, those in danger are able to turn misfortune into good fortune, those who stumble into a desperate situation but survive in a desperate situation, not only need to have the experience of rushing through the sand, but also the magnanimity that must be possessed by those who achieve great things. A person whose immediate interests can blind their eyes is destined to miss even greater opportunities.
　　
Message face:
　　
　　周四受感恩节假期影响消息面较为匮乏。
　　
　　富国分析称，10月份仅增加了12.8万个就业岗位后，预计美国11月非农就业数据将增加19万。美国在2017Year and2018年平均每月增加20万个工作岗位，到2019年，平均月增长降至16.7万。裁员人数一直很低，但近几周申请失业救济人数的上升使人疑惑，主要因为过去两个月制造业也出现了裁员。无论如何，更快的就业增长速度将为美联储和市场提供一些保证，让他们相信经济确实处于“一个良好的位置”。
　　
Eurozone:
　　
　　周四公布德国11monthCPI月率初值为-0.8%, lower than market expectations-0.6%。
　　
　　评论称，德国国11月通货膨胀率超过预期，达到五个月高点，对欧洲央行政策制定者是一个令人鼓舞的迹象。CPI增长反映了食品和服务成本的增加，抵消了能源拖累和旅游消费产品环比下滑的影响。尽管该报告暗示德国和整个欧元区的基本物价压力将逐步升高，但通胀率仍远低于欧洲央行略低于2％的目标。
　　
　　荷兰国际集团分析称，尽管存在改善的希望，11月份的经济信心指数和货币总量目前呈现出一种更为复杂的局面。最新公布的数据显示，经济仍处于某种困境之中，至于下一阶段将是顺境还是困境，还没有定论。好消息是，欧元区经济似乎没有进一步走弱，但这并不意味着经济很快就会出现强劲回升，至少短期内不会。作为欧元区经济领先指标之一的M1增长，从9Of the month7.9%Ascend to10Of the month8.4%，因此预计2020年经济有望出现改善。
　　
　　分析称，尽管欧元区经济还有改善的希望，但欧元区11月的经济信心指标和货币总量展现出喜忧参半的局面。好消息是，欧元区经济似乎不会进一步走软，但也不意味着能够迅速迎来经济回升。尽管如此，看看今天也公布的10月份货币总量，2020年有希望有所改善。事实上，作为欧元区经济较好的领先指标之一的M1增长，从9Of7.9%Ascend to10Of8.4%。
　　
　　英国首相约翰逊表示，如果美国总统特朗普想把英国国家医疗服务体系（NHS）包括在贸易谈判中，将不会与美国达成贸易协定。英国国家健康体系比与美国签署贸易协议更重要。
　　
　　惠誉分析，英国担保债券评级在2020年将保持稳定。英国担保债券评级能够抵御“无协议脱欧”对房地产市场和借款人支付能力的意外影响。北欧和德国抵押贷款机构之间日益激烈的竞争预计不会影响担保债券评级。欧洲央行重启资产购买计划将会更新现被密集使用的担保债券计划，激励新市场参与者进入市场。对收入不均等，更广泛的经济不公平的看法将持续至2020年，并将改变欧洲的政治议程。预计更长期的低利率和额外的量化宽松政策前景将支持西欧主权国家的债务动态。欧元区经济依然疲弱，但预计将避免衰退，部分归因于健康的私营部门资产负债表。
　　
According toCMEFederal Reserve Observation: The Federal Reserve12月维持当前利率在1.50%-1.75%The probability of the interval is94.8%Interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is0%Interest rate hike25The probability of a basis point is5.2%； By next year1月维持当前利率在1.50%-1.75%The probability of the interval is86.9%Interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is8.4%Interest rate hike25The probability of a basis point is4.7%。
　　
　　日内重点关注
　　
　　15:45 France Q3GDPAnnual rate final value
　　
　　15:45 France11monthCPIMonthly rate
　　
　　16:00 Switzerland11monthKOFEconomic leading indicators
　　
　　16:55 Germany11Number of unemployed people after quarterly adjustment
　　
　　16:55 Germany11Unemployment rate after quarterly adjustment
　　
　　17:30 britain10Monthly central bank mortgage loan permit
　　
　　18:00 eurozone11monthCPIAnnual rate initial value
　　
　　18:00 eurozone10Monthly unemployment rate
　　
　　21:30 Canada9monthGDPMonthly rate
　　
Technical aspect:
　　
Internationalgold周四维持区间窄幅震荡，周四早间受贸易局势不确定性发酵影响金价自1454一线短线快速走高最高触及1458一线后开启日内窄幅震荡走势（1458-1455）。欧美盘交易时间市场交投平淡并未形成区间改变。日线录得小幅K线，短期金价仍维稳于日线移动平均线压力位价格下方，近四个交易日维持底部区间窄幅震荡显示出阶段性市场底部价格接受程度较高，短期空头仍显现出较为明显偏主动维持。整体日线移动平均线呈向下发散排列，当前在没有看到更明显向下击穿之前进价较难展开大幅走高行情。小时线显示近期金价震荡区间逐步收窄，短期均线呈粘合迹象不具备较强方向性指引，日内维持偏区间操作思路。
　　
Daily operating range:
　　
Empty order:
　　
Radical1459Frontline participation, stop loss3-5Point, profit target1456Below
　　
Robust1466Frontline participation, stop loss3-5Point, profit target1462Below
　　
Multiple orders:
　　
Radical1451Frontline participation, stop loss3-5Point, profit target1454upper
　　
Robust1445Frontline participation, stop loss3-5Point, profit target1448upper
　　
　　行情瞬息万变具体操作以博虎论金（V-亻丶言：KD1394）实时指导为准，对行情把握不够好、对进场点位把握不够准确、今日利润，你错过了吗？
　　
Bo Hu's Message on Gold: As a lone soldier, do you feel like you are walking on thin ice in this financial market and struggling to move forward? If you are tired of unproductive investments and lost in the foggy market; If you suffer losses one after another but feel unwilling. So, it's time to change the status quo. Good birds choose trees to live on, your choices determine your future!
　　
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Comprehensive guidance teacher: Bo Hu Lun Jin Micro（KD1394）
　　
Direction guidance time: early7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00
　　
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