Jue Ying Lun Jin:11.27黄金呈现“V型”反弹态势 原油走势震荡偏下行

The financial market is fair to everyone. Since some people make money, others must also lose money. The most important thing about investing is not how much money you can earn in a week. The key lies in whether you can make stable profits in the long run. Short term fluctuations, mid line bands, and long term trends are not good or bad methods and strategies. As long as they are suitable, achieving stable profits is a good method, but there is really no shortcut to making profits in investment, Only like an ascetic monk, do homework diligently every day and accumulate diligently. Only by steadily grasping short-term returns on a daily basis can we go further on the investment path. Do not rush for quick success or profit, go against the trend, and compete with the market for long or short.
　　
　　绝影预测美联储2020年仍有额外两次降息空间，虽然鲍威尔近期声明似乎半满酒杯，但会想起美联储2018Year to2019年期间的急剧转调，当前美债收益率曲线已经在过去两周中缓和走平，股市位于历史高位，预期全球经济增长进一步恶化的情形将最终刺激美联储考虑再次降息。
　　
　　绝影论金个人观点：上一交易日gold一度跌穿1450美元关口，但随后自低点强势反弹，小时图呈现“V型”反弹态势。黄金走势之所以如此剧烈震荡，主要受贸易相关消息的影响，市场情绪起伏不定，且美国最新出炉的系列经济数据表现不佳一度打压美元。绝影表示，市场参与者接下来关注的下一个最后期限是12month15日。美国威胁要于当日对价值1600亿美元的中国输美产品加征15%的关税。当前唯一推动黄金走势的因素就是中美贸易协议；在过去的几个交易日中，黄金一直在遭抛售，因市场预期两国将达成协议，目前黄金市场整体处于一种观望模式。
　　
————Analysis of Gold Market
　　
　　本交易日接下来北京时间21:30，美国将公布第三季度GDP修正值。媒体调查显示，美国第三季度实际GDP修正值年化季率料增长1.9%，初值也为增长1.9%。绝影论金认为，在第三季度，强劲的消费者支出帮助美国经济超预期增长，暂时缓解人们对经济更普遍放缓的担忧。然而，若美国第三季度GDP数据意外下修，可能会令这种担忧重新升温。如果晚间美国经济数据继续表现不佳，美元可能会再度遭受打压，黄金则可能趁机重新反弹。
　　
　　从技术面日线图上看，金价自低位略微反弹，MACD绿色动能柱不变且实体很窄，KDJ随机指标温和走平，指示黄金下跌动能暂缓，接下来或陷入一段时间的窄幅整理交投。4小时图上看，金价略微承压回落，MACD红色动能柱不变，KDJ随机指标略偏走低，指示黄金短线可能继续小幅回撤。黄金多头试图收于11month21日低点上方，该位也是11month20日高点至近期低点的38.2%斐波那契水平1463美元，该位扞卫着更上方的21日均线以及61.8%斐波那契水平1469美元。进一步来看，50The daily moving average is located at1479美元以及近期的高点。下行方面，200The daily moving average is located at1420美元，在此之前，11month12Daily low point1445美元可能会提供初步支撑。文中操作建议仅供参考，具体建议实盘现价给出，操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可添加指导微信：MOT686Obtain guidance quotas;
　　
Suggestions for short-term operation of gold:
　　
　　1Suggestions1466Short nearby, stop loss1471, Objective1460-1457；
　　
　　2Suggestions1452Long nearby, stop loss1447, Objective1458-1462；
　　
　　3、策略仅供参考，盘间行情瞬息万变，具体进场点位以绝影论金微信(MOT686)The actual offer shall prevail;
　　
　　————crude oilquotations analysis
　　
　　美国石油学会(API)Tuesday(11month26day)公布报告称，API原油库存意外继续增长，同时汽油库存增幅也再超预期。美国原油库存连续五周录得增加。受贸易局势好转及欧佩克有可能延长减产协议的影响，油价再次反弹。绝影论金表示，人们普遍认为，经济形势正在好转。贸易上的乐观情绪以及欧佩克+可能延长减产协议和提高利用率应能对原油结构提供支撑。
　　
　　原油从技术面日线走势看，原油经过两日大幅上涨后，出现后继乏力的迹象，上方在58.60位置再次受阻；同时可以看到原油前期在59.20positionK线密集，构成一个阻力区间。4小上，布林带严重缩口，MACD快慢线粘合在一起向下，有形成顶背离的意思，日内关注晚间EIA公布后原油的涨跌情况。早盘原油偏向于走弱，MA5均线转头向下，MACD快慢线是粘合在一起，整体来看原油大方向处于震荡等待方向中，走弱的几率偏大。综合分析来看，短线操作绝影论金建议高空为主，上方关注58.5-58.8Resistance, pay attention below57.2-56.9支撑。文中操作建议仅供参考，具体建议实盘现价给出，操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可添加指导微信：MOT686Obtain guidance quotas;
　　
Suggestions for short-term crude oil operations:
　　
　　1Suggestions58.5-58.8Short selling, stop loss59.1, Objective58.0-57.5；
　　
　　2Suggestions57.2-56.9Long, stop loss56.6, Objective57.7-58.2；
　　
　　3、行情瞬息万变、点位仅供参考，详情请关注绝影论金官||Wei:MOT686；
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　　新手该如何正确投资黄金原油
　　
　　1Control emotions - Investors must be calm and control their emotions. They must calmly respond to sudden changes in the market, otherwise they will miss out on opportunities due to indecision. It is best to be prepared to deal with various possibilities before entering the market, so that when encountering sudden changes in the market, one may not feel too surprised and at a loss.
　　
　　2Starting from small transactions - For newcomers to the market, it is necessary to start with small scale transactions, gradually grasp the trading rules and accumulate experience, and then gradually increase positions.
　　
　　3Avoid being eager for quick success and instant benefit - there should be no desire for quick success and instant benefit in transactions. Investors should not enter the market based on their subjective desires in trading. Successful investors generally strictly separate their emotions from trading activities to avoid the market trend being opposite to personal wishes and bearing heavier risks.
　　
　　4Be prepared to accept failure at any time - investing in gold and crude oil carries risks, and trading failure will be inevitable throughout the entire transaction. It is also an important way for investors to gradually learn from and accumulate experience. In the face of investment failure, only by carefully summarizing can investors gradually improve their investment ability, avoid risks, and strive for profitability.
　　
　　5Better miss than make mistakes - opportunities are always present, and seizing them requires a pair of bright eyes rather than quietly waiting for an empty opportunity.
　　
　　6、制定适合自己的投资计划——生活需要规划，投资需要计划，投资不是一朝一夕的事，只有严格执行，才能从中获利。那么怎样成为黄金原油投资市场的获利者，这很关键。细想投资至今你盈利如何。
　　
Full guidance time: early7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00
　　
Comprehensive guidance teacher: Jueying Lunjin Analysis Team
　　
Wen/Jueying Lunjin (guidance on WeChat:mot686\Official account: Jueying Lunjin)