今日重要财经数据及事件
05:30 From the United States to11month8Day and WeekAPICrude oil inventory(10000 barrels)
08:30 Australia10Unemployment rate after quarterly adjustment
14:30 France Q3ILOunemployment rate
15:00 德国第三季度未季调GDPAnnual rate initial value
15:45 France10monthCPIMonthly rate
17:30 britain10Monthly retail sales rate after quarterly adjustment
18:00 欧元区第三季度季调后就业人数季率、欧元区第三季度GDPAnnual rate correction value
21:30 From the United States to11month9Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week(ten thousand people), USA10monthPPIMonthly rate
23:30 From the United States to11month8Day and WeekEIANatural gas inventory(Billion cubic feet)
The next day00:00 From the United States to11month8Day and WeekEIACrude oil inventory(10000 barrels)
美原油消息面:Wednesday(11month13day)油价三天来首次上涨,WTI 12Monthly crude oil futures up0.32USD, increase0.56%Report57.12dollar/Barrel; Brent1Monthly crude oil futures up0.31USD, increase0.50%Report62.37dollar/桶。因美联储主席鲍威尔和石油输出国组织(OPEC)发表积极的经济评论,有报道称OPEC预计非OPEC产油国的供应有可能减少。OPEC秘书长巴尔金多表示,除了预计非OPEC产油国明年产量“大幅”下降之外,该组织还认为需求增长有上升的可能性;这些评论强化了对新的一年石油市场的乐观看法。
欧佩克日内将公布月度原油市场报告,投资者可从中获得欧佩克产油国10月的产量情况以及欧佩克对于未来原油需求增速的预期。昨晚公布的月度短期能源展望报告则指出,2019年全球原油需求增速预期料下调910000 barrels/Solstice7510000 barrels/Day;2020Expected increase in global crude oil demand growth rate in710000 barrels/Solstice13710000 barrels/日。欧佩克秘书长巴尔金都周三也表示,2020年原油需求增速预期可能会上升。
当前市场的焦点还是是欧佩克未来的减产力度。巴尔金都称,相信欧佩克+country2020年将继续落实其减产协议,并持续到2020year3月。但就是否需要深化减产的问题,近期各大机构仍没有统一的意见,近期投资者还请留意欧佩克产油国相关的表态。此外,投资者还需留意周四将公布的美国API原油库存变化以及周五凌晨00.00ofEIAChanges in crude oil inventory(因周一美国退伍军人节而推迟一天公布) 美原油技术面:美原油日线上看,布林带三轨朝上运行,MA5/MA10均线金叉缓和走平,KTransit between tracks in BolinMA5\MA10均线上方附近,MACD快慢线金叉上行放缓红色动能减弱,KDJ三线纠缠粘合运行,日图行情多头趋势有所放缓;4小时图上,布林带三轨略微收口向右运行,KThe line intersects between the upper tracks in Bolin,MACD快慢线于零轴上方呈金叉运行红色动能略微显量,KDJ三线金叉朝上运行,油价短线行情震荡。
综合来看,日内操作上建议低多为主,高空为辅。上方初步阻力在57.7Nearby, further resistance58.5Look at the support below56.8,进一步支撑56.0。 US crude oil(1912合约)交易策略
1Above57.7短线做空,止损0.3, Objective56.8/56.0Nearby;
2Below56.8不破短线做多,止损0.3, Objective57.5-57.7Nearby; 阅读须知:投资有风险,交易需谨慎。本分析由期市黄金策略提供,分析仅供参考,不做为下单的最终依据。