王金尧：11.13Analysis of Today's Gold Market Trend#原油还会涨吗？

　　前言：市场中最可怕的不是没有行情，不是没有机会，而是茫然，乱下单，一个不知道去哪里的人，面朝哪个方向都是逆向，任何一个方向吹来的风将都是逆风!People who also do not understand trading, no matter how long they short, once the market fluctuates, it is a disaster free! There is no fancy language here, only tangible trading and clear and straightforward operations. The market has only one direction, not long or short, but the right direction. Reasonable risk control+Good investment returns allow every individual investor to find the true joy of investing, instead of constantly increasing losses due to their daily hard trading. I have always believed that choice is more important than effort. A good mentor and technical team should not only bring profits to customers, but also be responsible for them. Individual investors, relying solely on their own efforts to face the market, are prone to being caught off guard when faced with sudden rises and falls. However, if someone can see the situation clearly and provide direction outside the circle, they can do better.
　　
　　最新消息资讯：
　　
　　1According toCMEFederal Reserve Observation:12月维持当前利率在1.50%-1.75%The probability of the interval is94.8%Interest rate reduction25Bps to1.25%-1.50%The probability of the interval is5.2%; next year1月维持当前利率在1.50%-1.75%The probability of the interval is86.4%Interest rate reduction25Bps to1.25%-1.50%The probability of the interval is13.1%Interest rate reduction50Bps to1.00%-1.25%The probability of the interval is0.5%。
　　
　　2、如果近期市场对2020年的乐观情绪没有判断失误，那么欧佩克+保持目前的减产力度将是正确的。欧佩克秘书长巴尔金都上周表示，因经济增长前景变得更加强劲，贸易紧张形势也有所缓和，欧佩克干预市场的压力减轻。包括高盛、渣打、挪威银行以及北欧斯安在内的多个投行都认为欧佩克+不需要进一步减产，随着美国页岩油产量增长乏力，明年油价将稳定在60dollar/桶或更高。但也有预期认为油市至少在明年上半年会供应过剩，国际能源署（IEA）认为欧佩克目前每天超出市场需求的crude oil产量达15010000 barrels/日，存在重大的供应过剩风险。白宫前石油官员鲍勃·麦克纳利认为：“明年上半年油市会出现非常严重的供应过剩，欧佩克必须深化减产才能防止库存膨胀打击油价。”
　　
InternationalgoldMarket trend analysis:
　　
　　黄金在日线上看，日线收阴线十字星，高点没有破前高，低点破前低，出现落尾迹象，布林带开口向下，金价运行在中下轨，均线粘连运行在中轨附近，在趋势指标上显示，空头趋势线运行在多头趋势线上方，动能线拐头向上运行中，kd指标双线低位运行中，整体表现空头趋势线。
　　
　　四小时级别上看，黄金出现先涨后跌走势，低点破新低给到了1448.07dollar/盎司，在浪型上出现了三浪延续，布林带开口向下，金价运行在中下轨，若金价回撤不破三浪低点，金价出现上涨将出现四浪调整浪。在趋势指标上显示，空头趋势线上涨出现拐头迹象，动能柱持续放量中。综合来看王金尧认为，今日交易上考虑反弹做空为主，回撤低多为辅，上方关注1462-1466位置压力，下方关注1448-1444。自信源于实力，人格成就魅力。添加笔者功.swelling/皓"王金尧"。
　　
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Rebound on1455附近遇阻空，目标看1450-1448Stop loss5dollar
　　
　　2Withdrawal1445不破多，目标看1457-1462Stop loss5dollar
　　
　　3.文中操作建议仅供参考，具体建议实盘现价给出，操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可添加指导vYour words:wjy25866Obtain guidance quotas;
　　
Top priority: Remember to strictly carry out stop loss during operation. I will give a prompt every day to strictly carry out stop loss!
　　
Analysis of the international crude oil market trend:
　　
　　回顾（11month11日）原油走势，早盘开盘在57.243dollar/桶，开盘后油价出现走低迹象，最低给到了56.231dollar/桶，随后低位企稳后出现上涨，最高给到了57.298dollar/桶，承压后出现下跌，最后收盘在56.892dollar/Bucket.
　　
　　原油日线上看，日线收阴线锤头线，高点没有破前高，低点破前低，布林带开口向上，油价运行在中上轨，均线粘连运行在中轨附近，在油价下方形成支撑，多头趋势线拐头向下运行中，动能柱向上运行中，kd指标高位死叉向下运行中，整体表现高位遇阻迹象。
　　
　　　　四小时级别上看，昨天出现先涨后跌走势，油价逐渐表现了，楔形整理走势，区间逐步变小变窄，布林带开口向右走平，油价运行在中轨附近，在上周触及55.7位置后，油价低点逐步上移，高点也在逐步走低的过程中，在趋势指标上，多头趋势线拐头向上运行中，空头趋势线仍然运行在上方，若进一步上穿空头趋势线，大概率上将走出三角整理格局出现新一波趋势，综合来看王金尧认为，原油在三角整理结束后将出现新一波趋势，今日交易上考虑回撤布局多单为主，反弹布局空单为辅，上方关注57.3-57.8位置压力，下方关注56.5-56.2位置支撑，若油价回撤在56.5-56.2附近得到支撑，大概率上将上探上方57.2-57.8附近压力。自信源于实力，人格成就魅力。添加笔者功.swelling/皓"王金尧"。
　　
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Withdrawal56.5-56.3附近多，目标看57.2-57.8Stop loss0.5dollar
　　
　　2.文中操作建议仅供参考，具体建议实盘现价给出，操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可添加指导vYour words:wjy25866Obtain guidance quotas;
　　
Top priority: Remember to strictly carry out stop loss during operation. I will give a prompt every day to strictly carry out stop loss!
　　
　　关于做单经验分享：
　　
　　1.合理控制仓位。这是自己管理必须去做的，王金.尧认为因为只有合理控制了仓位，你才有稳定盈利的机会，不然，你的帐户纵然有过盈利，首次进单最好是不超过1Standard hand (In the later stage, you can increase your position according to the market situation, achieving doubling regardless of whether it is long or short. In a good market situation, if the entry order is profitable, you can do it one by one. On the contrary, if the entry order is losing money, do not increase your position against the market unless you do not want to profit in this market.).
　　
　　2.看总体趋势做单，有些投资者整天在想这个市场跌了这么多，应该是个底了，于是就多单进场，或者在想，涨了这么多，应该是头了，于是进空单。往往市场都会让这些人失望，为什么呢？因为市场不是想当然，市场存在着它的规律。王.金尧个人进单之前都有个技巧，看市场是偏多偏空，在小的回调后趋势进场做单。追涨杀跌不可行，讲究技巧才是最重要。
　　
　　3.Learn to control your mindset, it's strange. Some students earn money when they make it1reach2The US dollar will be liquidated and out of the market, when losses occur10-20If you continue to stay above US dollars, you are willing to lose money but not willing to make money. You should know that a successful operator may not necessarily achieve the correct rate50%But this is not enough50%In addition to earning back losses, the profit opportunity has also increased. To learn to face this unpredictable market, the direction of the market is the direction of people's hearts. We should learn more, correct our trading shortcomings, face mistakes, and strictly discipline ourselves. Investment is a complete system, including investment philosophy, fund management, investment strategy, investment mindset, risk control, operational techniques and ideas, etc.
　　
　　——金尧寄语——
　　
Acquaintance is fate, acquaintance is fate. I firmly believe that it is fate to meet for a thousand miles, and it is fate to wipe our shoulders without a share. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are only the tip of the iceberg along the way. You should know that a wise man who has a thousand worries will have a loss, and a fool who has a thousand worries will have a gain. No matter how emotional you are, time will not stagnate due to you. Pick up the boredom in your heart and stand up again to pack up and move forward. At this moment, being able to read here indicates that you and I are destined. As long as you are willing to share your gains and losses with me, I will be happy to help you overcome difficulties and become your confidant on the investment journey. The stagnation of your heart makes you sit at the bottom of the well and sigh in the sky. Am I fortunate enough to accompany you as I pass by.
　　
Wen/王金尧
　　
　　作者赠言：愿你认识我始于文字，合于性格,Trapped in technology, enduring kindness, and finally having a good character!
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