MBG Markets：就业数据打压加元，宏观黯淡英镑跌跌不休

　　
10月就业数据意外走软，加央行降息窗口或开启(USD/CAD)
　　
Technical aspect:美元兑加元上一交易日震幅达65Individual points, closing up0.39%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于开口，布林中轨趋于上行，汇价贴近布林上轨；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于上行，汇价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较前一交易日缩减；日线RSI(14)to60-61Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.3275Below support attention1.3200Location.
　　
Fundamentals:Canada10月全职就业人数缩减1.61万人，远逊于前值增长7万人，为年内第三次出现就业人数负增长。瑞银：加拿大就业市场的总体趋势仍然强劲，不认为它会推动加拿大央行立即减息，但风险显然正在上升之中；该行保持对加元的“适度看跌”。凯投宏观警告称，TC能源公司Keystone管道的关闭可能会严重影响加拿大11Of the monthGDP增长（该管道关闭原因是在美国北达科他州发生crude oil泄漏）。该管道原油运输占加拿大原油出口的15%，如果该管道在11月余下时间里只能以部分产能运行，可能会使得加拿大11monthGDP增速降低0.5%。
　　
宏观基本面承压，英镑五日连阴(GBP/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:英镑兑美元上一交易日震幅达54Points, closing down0.31%，为连续第五日收阴。日线BOLL(20)趋于开口，布林中轨趋于下行，汇价贴近布林下轨；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period dead fork resonance,MA5,10Double track trend downward, exchange rate under pressureMA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较大，势能无明显增减；日线RSI(14)to52-53一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走平。上方阻力关注中轨位置，下方支撑关注1.2580。
　　
Fundamentals:三菱日联金融集团：政局方面，英国工党只要在民调中取得进展，就会让市场对即将到来的大选感到不安，因英国脱欧再度面临僵局的风险增加，议会可能仍然无法通过英国脱欧立法。预计大选结果将会导致英国政府不稳定，实施宽松的财政措施前景也将遭受破坏。短期内可以预期到英镑面临下行风险。安永统计：在英国将于2020year1月底退出欧盟的前提下，预计2019年英国的GDP增幅将为1.3%But2020yearGDP增长将从此前的1.5%调低至1%，放缓至10年来最弱。
　　
goldETF巨幅流出，金价连破低点(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:黄金上一交易日震幅达168Points, closing down0.67%Lowest detection1460下方。日线BOLL(20)趋于开口，布林中轨趋于下行，汇价持续承压于中轨下方；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period dead fork resonance,MA5,10Double track trend downward, exchange rate under pressureMA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to36-37一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走高。上方阻力观察1474Below support attention1457frontline.
　　
Fundamentals:Panic indexVIX指数上一交易日收跌5.18%, closing on12.07； Forward looking gold price indicator Barrick Gold Company(NYSE:ABX)The stock price closed up on the previous trading day0.06%, closing on16.37。 The world's largest goldETFFund: United StatesSPDR Gold Trustto11month9Daily reduction of holdings13.19吨黄金。由于贸易前景乐观，市场风险情绪高涨，黄金连续大跌，上周金价创下2016year11month11日当周以来的最大单周跌幅。摩根大通和花旗集团将其对传统避险品种黄金的押注平仓。荷兰银行警示黄金的大量多头头寸使其容易出现剧烈下跌。
　　
　　
　　
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