英国延期脱欧基本敲定，黄金现过山车行情

　　英国延期脱欧基本敲定，英镑延续高位整理(GBP/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:英镑兑美元上一交易日震幅达59Points, closing down0.06%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于收口，布林中轨趋于上行，汇价持续于中轨上方运行；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5趋于下行，汇价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)DIFFOffline threadingDEA构死叉，阴柱势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to60-61Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above10日均线位置，下方支撑关注1.2705Location.
　　
Fundamentals:欧盟委员会表示，欧盟27国已经原则上同意英国延期脱欧，但还没有确定。英国财政大臣贾维德认为，欧盟将很可能延长脱欧期限三个月。分析认为，如果欧盟真的同意延长脱欧，英国首相约翰逊呼吁提前大选的尝试将会更加容易。英国财政大臣贾维德警告称：政府不能撤除无协议脱欧的选项。德意志银行旗下资管DWS：将英国无协议脱欧的可能性从8Of40%Up to45%。预计英国有可能举行第二轮公投。

　　

美国经济数据恶化，欧美偏弱震荡(EUR/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:The previous trading day saw a significant fluctuation in the euro against the US dollar50Points, closing down0.22%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于收口，布林中轨趋于上行，汇价持续于中轨上方运行；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5趋于下行，汇价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)DIFFOffline threadingDEA构死叉，阳柱翻阴；日线RSI(14)to54-55Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.1110，下方支撑关注布林中轨位置，破位则可看向1.1025。
　　
Fundamentals:U.S.A10月份消费者信心指数虽仍维持在高位，但有所回落。衡量未来5-10年消费者通胀预期的指标创下2.3%的历史新低。消费者信心数据走弱有可能影响零售数据及通胀指标走弱。美国耐用品订单数据出现负增长，强化了观察人士对美国经济失速的预期。美国财政部25The day represents,2019财年预算赤字扩大26%to9840亿美元，相当于其国内生产总值（GDP）Of4.6%, approaching1万亿美元，刷新2012年来新高。美国经济表现不佳，但非美货币整体走弱令美元获得被动支撑。

　　

金价企稳千五上方，走偏强震荡行情(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:goldThe previous trading day's amplitude reached174Individual points, closing up0.11%，金价一度上探至1518位置，但随后大部分涨幅遭回吐。日线BOLL(20)布林中轨趋于走平，金价持续于中轨上方运行；日线MA5,10构金叉，MA5,10双线趋于上行，金价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to54-55一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走平。上方阻力观察1520位置，下方支撑关注1500Gateway.
　　
Fundamentals:Panic indexVIX指数上一交易日收跌7.73%, closing on12.65； Forward looking gold price indicator Barrick Gold Company(NYSE:ABX)The stock price closed up on the previous trading day0.17%, closing on17.20。全球经济成长脆弱，且利率料在低位维持更长时间，使得黄金对不安的投资者更具吸引力。预计2019Year2020年现货黄金均价分别为1402dollar/Ounces and1537dollar/盎司。高盛认为全球不安造成的储蓄过剩将会支撑黄金价格，黄金价格可能在未来六个月升至每盎司1600USD.

　　

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