MBG Markets：欧美PMI表现难言向好，欧央行决议并无新意

　　
GermanyPMI拖累整体表现，欧央行决议乏善可陈(EUR/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:The previous trading day saw a significant fluctuation in the euro against the US dollar70Points, closing down0.26%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于收口，布林中轨趋于上行，汇价持续于中轨上方运行；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5趋于下行，汇价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)The potential energy of the positive column is relatively small, and the potential energy is reduced compared to the previous trading day; Daily lineRSI(14)to58-59Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above5日均线，若在欧盘前未收复10日均线，有望继续下探至1.1065。
　　
Fundamentals:France10Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial valuenewspaper50.5，10Monthly service industryPMIinitial valuenewspaper52.9，双双优于市场预期及前值。德国10Monthly manufacturing industryPMIInitial value recorded41.9，10Monthly service industryPMIinitial valuenewspaper51.2，均逊于市场预期及前值。欧元区整体制造业的低迷依旧处于2012年以来最严重的水平。U.S.A10monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIinitial valueRecorded51.5, byPMI数据推算，美国第四季度初的GDP年化增速略低于1.5%。欧洲央行宣布欧洲央行维持三大关键利率不变，重申自11month1日起重启净资产购买计划，规模为每月200亿欧元。整体来看，欧洲央行的政策声明几无变动。
　　
英国议会夺回脱欧掌控权，机构担忧延期加剧无协议风险(GBP/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:英镑兑美元上一交易日震幅达161Points, closing down0.64%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)The Bolin track tends to rise, and the exchange rate continues to operate above the track; Daily lineMA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5趋于下行，汇价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)The potential energy of the positive column is relatively small, and the potential energy is reduced compared to the previous trading day; Daily lineRSI(14)to63-64一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走平。上方关注1.3000位置，下方关注如下图所示AB段23.6%Retreat position1.2820。
　　
Fundamentals:昨日，被问及英国何时脱离欧盟，英国唐宁街消息人士表示，目前议会夺回了控制权。欧盟27国特使或将在下周一或周二对延期的时长作出决定，据分析师评估，英国脱欧若延长至明年一月以后，英国可能会提前举行大选，保守党或以微弱优势获胜。到时约翰逊将重新提出脱欧协议法案，但由于强硬的疑欧派的反对，该法案可能不会获得多数支持；英国或在一月底开启无协议脱欧程序。
　　
避险情绪升温推升金价，gold或受宽松货币助力(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:黄金上一交易日震幅达160Individual points, closing up0.70%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于收口，布林中轨趋于上行，金价持续于中轨上方运行；日线MA5,10构金叉，MA5,10双线趋于上行，金价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to54-55Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1518, lower support1500关口及布林中轨位置。
　　
Fundamentals:Panic indexVIX指数上一交易日收跌2.14%, closing on13.71。金价前瞻指标巴里克黄金公司(NYSE:ABX)The stock price closed up on the previous trading day3.62%, closing on17.17。加拿大皇家银行：英国脱欧、土耳其军事行动、美国内政以及智利动荡导致矿工罢工等事件，都促使投资者追捧黄金等避险资产。欧美10monthPMI数据表明经济前景持续恶化，加之通胀温和引发的担忧，市场预计欧美央行都将延续宽松货币政策。多家投行评估，美联储将于下周再度降息25个基点；若美国经济延续萎靡，美联储可能于12Month and1月选择进一步降息。
　　
　　
　　
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