市场交投谨慎波幅受抑，静待晚间欧央行决议

　　
脱欧消息热度消退，英镑高位盘整(GBP/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:英镑兑美元上一交易日震幅达80Individual points, closing up0.29%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于开口，布林中轨趋于上行，汇价持续于中轨上方运行；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5Tending towards a downward trend; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日缩减；日线RSI(14)to69-70Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.3000整数关口，下方支撑关注10日均线支撑效应，若下破则可看向1.2700Location.
　　
Fundamentals:外媒指出，欧盟理事会内目前在英国脱欧延期问题上主要分两个阵营，其一是以法国为代表的明显少数派，支持短暂的脱欧延期，其二是欧洲理事会主席图斯克、爱尔兰以及德国为代表的其他成员国，支持延期至2020year1month31日。英国首相约翰逊最早可能在周四第三次尝试呼吁举行大选。周三约翰逊与英国工党领袖科尔宾举行会议，讨论脱欧时间表，但目前未传出达成任何意见。市场对脱欧相关消息敏感度有所衰减，英镑波动性明显下滑。
　　
欧元高位整理，静待央行决议(EUR/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:The previous trading day saw a significant fluctuation in the euro against the US dollar34Individual points, closing up0.03%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)The Bolin track tends to rise, and the exchange rate continues to operate above the track; Daily lineMA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5趋于下行，汇价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较前一交易日缩减；日线RSI(14)to64-65Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.1180Below support attention10日均线位置，破位则可看向1.1065。
　　
Fundamentals:施纳贝尔确认将任欧洲央行委员，她对货币政策的观点通常被视为温和鹰派，没有德国央行行长魏德曼和此前离职的欧洲央行执委劳腾施莱格那么强硬。晚间，欧洲央行将发布利率决议，欧洲央行上月已将存款利率下调至-0.5%，准备采取分级准备金以降低金融参与者成本，并重新推出每月200亿欧元的量化宽松政策。在上月的宽松政策出台后，预计今晚的欧洲央行利率决议不会有太多实质性政策调整。澳新银行表示，欧洲央行正在挑战货币政策有效性的极限，料欧央行不会轻易关闭进一步宽松的窗口。
　　
多头热情稍减，gold波幅收窄(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:黄金上一交易日震幅达85Individual points, closing up0.22%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于收口，布林中轨趋于上行，金价持续承压于中轨下方；日线MA5,10双线趋黏合，MA5,10双线趋于上行，金价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)DIFFOnline threadingDEA构金叉，阳柱势能较小，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to48-49一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走平。上方阻力观察布林中轨位置，破位则可看向1500,1505；下方支撑关注1473Location.
　　
Fundamentals:Panic indexVIX指数上一交易日收跌5.53%, closing on14.00； Forward looking gold price indicator Barrick Gold Company(NYSE:ABX)股价上一交易日收跌0.18%, closing on16.57。 The world's largest goldETFFund: United StatesSPDR Gold Trustto10month23、24两日分别减持4.98Tons1.18吨，持仓量缩减至918.48吨。有机构提醒，追踪美国国债收益率情况的两倍做空恐慌指数ETF（TBT）自去年12月开始整体转跌，现货黄金则走出一条上行通道。但时间来到9end of month,TBT整体价格运行趋势出现早期反转征兆，预示黄金下行通道有可能正在形成。
　　
　　
　　
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