汇市聚焦脱欧进程，风险偏好情绪打压金价

　　下议院院长推迟脱欧投票，英镑上测1.30旋即回落(GBP/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:英镑兑美元上一交易日震幅达125Individual points, closing up0.53%, reaching the highest point1.30关口后回落。日线BOLL(20)趋于开口，布林中轨趋于上行，汇价持续于中轨上方运行；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于上行，汇价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日缩减；日线RSI(14)to76-77Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.3000整数关口，下方支撑关注5日均线支撑效应。
　　
Fundamentals:英国政府原本计划21日提交约翰逊的脱欧协议，组织辩论和投票。但下议院议长伯考表示，这样做将打破同一议题不能在同一会期上提交两次的议会惯例后，他表态阻止了21号的脱欧协议投票。目前消息是，英国议会将在当地时间周二晚上19:00（北京时间周三凌晨2:00）对英国脱欧法案举行首次投票。机构普遍认为新版脱欧协议“冲关”困难。据路透报道，周六围绕英国脱欧的战斗蔓延到伦敦街头，成千上万英国民众聚集在伦敦公园巷，要求举行新一轮全民公投，停止脱欧，留在欧盟。

　　

意大利预算案分歧凸显，欧元高位整理(EUR/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:The previous trading day saw a significant fluctuation in the euro against the US dollar41Points, closing down0.04%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于开口，布林中轨趋于上行，汇价持续高于或贴近布林上轨位置，有较大的技术性回调修复指标的需求；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于上行；日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日缩减；日线RSI(14)to68-69Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.1200Below support attention5日均线位置。
　　
Fundamentals:意大利执政联盟领导人周一讨论2020年的支出计划。意大利总理孔特和财政部长Roberto 瓜尔蒂耶里都坚守立场，认为只能进行小幅调整，但副总理迪马约在内的一些政界人士都呼吁做出重大改变。由于执政党内部分歧，意大利国债下跌，基准10年期债券收益率自9month12日以来首次触及1%。荷兰银行评估认为，疲软的现实情况仍然显现出欧洲央行对额外刺激措施的强烈需要，预计欧洲央行12月进一步调降存款利率10基点，并且宣布加快3月份时宣布的净资产购买的步伐。

　　

风险情绪打压金价，goldfall drastically1490position(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:黄金上一交易日震幅达136Points, closing down0.5%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于下行，金价持续承压于中轨下方；日线MA5,10构金叉，MA5,10双线趋于下行，金价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较小，势能无明显增减；日线RSI(14)to44-45一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走平。上方阻力观察布林中轨位置，破位则可看向1500,1505；下方支撑关注1473Location.
　　
Fundamentals:Panic indexVIX指数上一交易日收跌1.69%, closing on17.00； Forward looking gold price indicator Barrick Gold Company(NYSE:ABX)股价上一交易日收跌2.09%, closing on16.83。受风险情绪变化影响，黄金隔夜一个小时内跌近12美元，最低至1481.4dollar/盎司。尽管金价近期受到风险情绪回暖的压制，仍有机构看好黄金价值。澳新银行称，黄金的公允价格或在6Breakthrough within months1700dollar/盎司；基于10month18日的现货黄金价格，目前黄金的公允价值为1410dollar/ounce.

　　

　　
　　
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