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欧美数据均显疲态,欧元录被动上行(EUR/USD)
技术面:欧元兑美元上一交易日震幅达63Individual points, closing up0.36%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于上行,汇价贴近布林上轨;日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于上行;日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较前一交易日增大;日线RSI(14)to61-62一线运行,运行斜率较大趋于走高。上方阻力关注1.1100,下方支撑关注布林中轨一线。
基本面:欧元区9monthCPI年率报0.8%,低于此前预估的近三年低位0.9%,机构认为这是对欧盟经济状况的最新预警信号,可能引发对欧元区经济状况的新担忧,并重燃欧洲央行内部有关在中期内实现2%通胀目标的辩论。美国9Monthly retail sales rate recorded-0.3%, for7个月来首次下滑。核心零售销售月率录得-0.1%,同样逊于前值及预期。机构评论称,零售数据反映了制造业仍然疲软,此数据可能会推升,市场对疲软状况将从制造业蔓延至整体经济表现的担忧。
脱欧进程反复,英镑无视利空(GBP/USD)
技术面:英镑兑美元上一交易日震幅达221Individual points, closing up0.47%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于开口,布林中轨趋于上行,汇价贴近布林上轨;日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于上行,汇价运行于MA5上方;日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较大,势能较前一交易日增大;日线RSI(14)to73-74一线运行,运行斜率较小趋于走平。上方关注如下图所示61.8%Callback position1.2855Follow below1.2580。
基本面:英国9monthCPI年率报1.7%,维持前值水平,逊于预期,仍为2016year12月以来最低水平。本周二,两名欧盟消息人士称北爱尔兰民主统一党(DUP)解决了取得北爱尔兰同意最新脱欧提案的主要障碍。而在周三,北爱尔兰民主统一党(DUP)突然要求获得数十亿现金来换取对脱欧提案的支持,而非此前的数百万。且欧盟方面发声,除非英国采取行动否则不可能达成协议,英镑兑美元一度短线下挫近100点。英国脱欧事务大臣巴克利:按照“本恩法案”的要求,若未能达成协议,约翰逊首相将在周六致函欧盟;这意味着脱欧将延期至2020year1month31Day.
goldETF连续减持,金价千五下方盘整(XAU/USD)
技术面:黄金上一交易日震幅达145Individual points, closing up0.55%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于收口,布林中轨趋于下行,金价持续承压于中轨下方;日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period dead fork resonance,MA5稍趋走平,金价运行于MA5上方;日线MACD(12,26,9)The potential energy of the Yin column has decreased compared to the previous trading day; Daily lineRSI(14)to46-47一线运行,运行斜率较小趋于走平。如下图所示AB段23.6%Callback bit1489-90位置仍有较密集的多空争夺。上方阻力关注布林中轨位置,下方支撑关注趋势线支撑,跌破后看向1459。
基本面:恐慌指数VIX指数上一交易日收涨1.03%, closing on13.68。金价前瞻指标巴里克黄金公司(NYSE:ABX)The stock price closed up on the previous trading day1.68%, closing on16.94。 The world's largest goldETFFund: United StatesSPDR Gold Trustto10month17Daily reduction of holdings1.47吨黄金,净持仓量缩减至918.19。COMEXMost Active GoldfuturesContract Beijing Time10month16day20:30-20:31Instant trading within two minutes7401手,合约总价值约10亿美元,金价短线上涨逾10USD.
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