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10.7黄金早间走势分析,周一黄金早间怎么操作?

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  10month4日美元连续第四天下跌,在逊于预期但整体稳健的美国就业报告出炉后一度走高,鉴于美国政治风险和经贸谈判正在进行,投资者保持谨慎态度。金价持稳,之前一份报告显示美国前几个月的就业增长数据被向上修正,9月失业率降至近50年来最低的3.5%,令市场对美联储今年将大幅降息的押注降温。

United States9Growth of non-agricultural employment population after seasonal adjustment13.6万人,前值则从13万大幅修正为16.8万,表明就业温和增长。失业率降低0.2个百分点至近50年低位的3.5%,可缓解金融市场对经济放缓至衰退边缘的担忧。平均时薪增速保持不变,制造业就业人数为六个月来首次下降,零售业继续裁员。尽管如此,经济学家预计,鉴于贸易政策的不确定性,美联储年内至少再降息一次。

  非农前:  Federal Reserve10Monthly interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is85.0%,维持当前利率的概率为15.0%; reach12Monthly interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is45.7%Interest rate reduction50The probability of a basis point is47.7%,维持当前利率的概率为6.6%。

  非农后:  Federal Reserve10Monthly interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is79.6%,维持当前利率的概率为20.4%; reach12Monthly interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is44.4%Interest rate reduction50The probability of a basis point is46.5%,维持当前利率的概率为9.2%。

Outlook10month7day-13日当周,关注重点包括鲍威尔在内的美联储人员讲话,主要事件风险仍在于英国脱欧谈判进展,以及欧美和中美冒易摩擦如何推进。数据方面重点关注中国社会融资和冒易帐、美国CPIUKGDP、加拿大失业率及三大机构crude oil月报。非农数据公布后的一周,市场不会平静。

  goldTrend analysis:

  技术面来看,金价在1460附近获得支撑后展开反弹,收复1500关口,日线图KDJ金叉,增加了短线看涨信号,留意布林线中轨1506.57附近阻力,彭宇鑫认为若能收复该位置,后市可能会重新试探布林线上轨1544.49附近阻力;另外,9month26Rihe1512.39和上周高点1535.75附近也存在一定的阻力。不过,由于布林线中轨依然对金价形成压制,而且MACD死叉信号仍在,若金价回落至5Daily moving average1491.05下方,则削弱短线看涨信号;布林线下轨支撑在1468.72附近,若进一部失守该支撑,则增加中线看空信号。综合来看,操作思路上彭宇鑫个人建议低多为主,高空为辅;

Focus on resistance above:1506.57;1512.39;1519.72;

Pay attention to support below:1500.00;1495.97;1492.88;

Suggestions for Gold Operations:

  1、短线关注1518-20附近先空,止损四美金,目标1510/1505;

  2、短线关注1501-03附近多,止损四美金,目标1515Nearby;

  世间套路何其多,宇鑫真情单中藏

  交易暗藏风险,有时候等你看明白了,一切也都成历史了;金融领域,要想获得利润,就必须得走在别前面。别人埋怨时,你反思;别人懊悔时,你总结,别人犹豫该不该进时,你果断出击。等待永远只会让你错过,再想追时,却掉进追涨杀跌的陷阱,这就是行情。投资是个长久之计,不是一朝一夕,所以不可操之过急。就算你现在亏损了,那也没什么可怕的,只要选择正确,失去的都会再回来。聪明人总是结伴而行,把握做单时机,掌握行情动向,方可百战百胜。无论成功还是失败,都让我们明白,人生需要一个好的心态。给人金钱是下策,给人能力是中策,给人观念是上策!希望彭宇鑫文章能给你带来收获,不懂的地方可和我聊聊,我不仅是一位指导老师,也是你生活中值得一交的朋友。今宵灯火阑珊,何患无友;择日金银满钵,必定有君。选择大于努力,成功不是偶然!

Peng Yuxin Warm Reminder:

Investment is not speculation. Seize the right moment, refuse blindness, take a break if there is no time, and cherish every drop of blood and sweat you earn! Investment carries risks, so we need to be cautious when entering the market, grasp the most accurate trend, and make our investments more rational.

Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00(Never stopping on weekends, available for consultation at any time))

Comprehensive guidance teacher: Peng Yuxin's analysis team

  撰稿人:彭宇鑫

Author's message: May you and I start with words, adapt to character, fall into technical difficulties, persist in kindness, and finally have character.
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