信心指数疲软欧元仍走高，英国央行现降息信号

　　
央行官员语出惊人，英镑创出三周新低(GBP/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:英镑兑美元上一交易日震幅达66Points, closing down0.32%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于收口，布林中轨趋于走平，汇价持续承压于中轨下方；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5,10Double track trend downward, exchange rate under pressureMA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to45一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走平。上方关注1.2310Follow below1.2175。
　　
Fundamentals:上周五，英国央行委员桑德斯语出惊人，称即使能达成脱欧协议，英国可能仍需要降息；如果全球经济增长继续令人失望，长期的英国脱欧不确定性可能导致更宽松的政策。其发言后，英国10The yield of one-year treasury bond bonds fell to9month4日以来新低；英镑兑美元直线跌破1.23。市场消息：英国政府计划在保守党会议之后，向欧盟提交具体的脱欧计划，并允许其在十月峰会前进行审查。据英国金融时报，内阁办公室确认脱欧执行总干事Matthew Coats将离职，Coats在职时直接与内阁中负责无协议脱欧计划的脱欧强硬派Michael Gove接洽，涉及无协议脱欧中最敏感的问题。
　　
数据良莠不一，欧元顽强止跌(EUR/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:The previous trading day saw a significant fluctuation in the euro against the US dollar54Individual points, closing up0.17%，终值两连阴趋势。日线BOLL(20)趋于开口，布林中轨趋于下行，汇价贴近布林下轨；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period dead fork resonance,MA5,10Double track trend downward, exchange rate under pressureMA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)The potential energy of the Yin column has decreased compared to the previous trading day; Daily lineRSI(14)to38-39Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.1010Below support attention1.0900。
　　
Fundamentals:eurozone9Monthly Industrial Prosperity IndexRecorded-8.8，9Monthly Economic Prosperity IndexRecorded101.7，前者创下2013year7月以来的最低水平，后者创2015year2月以来的最低水平；欧元区经济前景仍蒙阴影。U.S.A8Monthly personal expenditure rate仅录得0.1%，远逊于预期0.3%及前值0.5%； U.S.A8月消费者支出几乎没有增长，暗示着随着全球经济动荡和贸易紧张局势持续加剧，美国经济的一个重要支柱可能正在失去动力；主要增长引擎在第二季度大幅加速后正在放缓。
　　
goldcreate6个月最差单周表现，ETF逆势大幅增持瞩目(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:黄金上一交易日震幅达60Individual points, closing up0.09%，全周创3月来最差单周表现。日线BOLL(20)趋于收口，布林中轨趋于下行，金价持续承压于中轨下方；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5趋于下行，金价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)DIFFOffline threadingDEA构死叉，阴柱势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to46-47一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走平。上方阻力关注布林中轨位置，下方支撑关注如下图所示AB段23.6%Retreat position1489。
　　
Fundamentals:Panic indexVIX指数上一交易日收涨7.16%, closing on17.22； Forward looking gold price indicator Barrick Gold Company(NYSE:ABX)股价上一交易日收跌2.04%, closing on17.73；全球最大的黄金ETFFund: United StatesSPDR Gold Trustto9month28Daily reduction of holdings2.06吨黄金，持仓量增至922.88吨。上周，黄金ETF持仓量大增约约42吨，增幅为6月份以来最大。全球经济降温、央行鸽派政策预期、多重政治风险等因素刺激了对黄金ETF的买需。
　　
　　
　　
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