MBG Markets：超级央行日瑞郎领涨，沙特产能疑云推升油价

　　
瑞士央行口风稍乐观，瑞郎录得短线大涨(USD/CHF)
　　
Technical aspect:美元兑瑞郎上一交易日震幅达84Points, closing down0.42%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于收口，布林中轨趋于上行，汇价持续于中轨上方运行；日线MA5,10双线趋黏合，MA5,10双线趋于上行；日线MACD(12,26,9)The potential energy of the positive column is relatively small, and the potential energy is reduced compared to the previous trading day; Daily lineRSI(14)to55-56一线运行，运行斜率较大趋于下行。上方关注1.1015一线，下方关注布林中轨支撑。
　　
Fundamentals:瑞士央行昨日维持基准利率-0.75%不变。声明中称，将维持扩张性的政策，调整即期存款负利息的计算基础。将继续对银行即期存款超过特定豁免门槛的部分实施负利息；通胀过高风险很低，需要政策支撑其维持在2%左右；由于全球央行的宽松政策刺激，预计短期全球经济将再次增长。相对市场预期更乐观的表述帮助瑞郎迅速走高，美元兑瑞郎USD/CHF在利率决议后下挫逾50Points.
　　
产能恢复存疑，油价录得上行(UKOIL)
　　
Technical aspect:Brentcrude oilThe previous trading day's amplitude reached21Individual points, closing up1%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于上行，汇价贴近布林上轨；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5趋于走高；日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较小，势能无明显增减；日线RSI(14)to56一线运行，运行斜率较大趋于走高。上方阻力关注65.40Below support attention61.45。
　　
Fundamentals:周四傍晚，有消息称，沙特为保障原油出口，向其他产油国寻求原油进口，沙特已经向伊拉克要求2000万桶原油进口，卡塔尔和阿联酋等国也将补给原油供应。此前，沙特表示其原油日产量已恢复230万桶，有分析认为，尽管沙特复产速度惊人，然而沙特进口原油的消息显示，该国的原油出口可能存在压力。胡塞武装此前宣布对袭击负责，并于16日威胁将再次袭击。昨日，美国总统特朗普指示财政部加大对伊朗的制裁，将在48小时内公布新的制裁。
　　
经合组织警告风险，欧元隔夜微幅收涨(EUR/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:The previous trading day saw a significant fluctuation in the euro against the US dollar51Individual points, closing up0.14%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于下行，汇价持续于中轨上方运行；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5趋于下行，汇价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)The potential energy of the positive column is relatively small, and the potential energy is reduced compared to the previous trading day; Daily lineRSI(14)to48-49Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.1100Below support attention1.0985。
　　
Fundamentals:经合组织发布报告称：预计英国在无协议脱欧情况下将进入经济衰退期；全球经济扩张情况创金融危机以来最弱；下调2020年德国经济增速预期为0.6%，此前为1.2%。下调2020年美国经济增速预期为2.0%，此前为2.3%。欧洲央行管委雷恩称，数据表明通胀前景较长时间内趋缓；对全球经济放缓对欧元区的影响感到担忧；欧洲央行经济预期的风险倾向于下行。欧洲央行执委劳腾施莱格称，仍然预计全球经济增长面临风险，包括贸易摩擦和政治方面的风险。
　　
　　
　　
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