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澳联储纪要宽松偏好尽显,沙特产能恢复重挫油价

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  产出数据未改市场悲观预期,美指承压关键阻力回撤(DXY)
  
Technical aspect:美元指数上一交易日震幅达56Points, closing down0.43%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于下行,汇价隔夜探至中轨后难以做有效突破,最终回落收阴;日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period dead fork resonance,MA5,10The double track tends to decline; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较前一交易日增大;日线RSI(14)to44-45一线运行,运行斜率较大趋于下行。上方关注布林中轨位置得失,下方关注97.95frontline.
  
Fundamentals: U.S.A8月工业产出环比增长0.6%,制造业产出环比增长0.5%,双双优于预期及前值。其中工业产出创下一年来最大月度增幅,分项数据来看,主要系受到机械和金属产量激增提振。但机构观点认为,在贸易局势紧张和全球经济放缓的背景下,工业前景依然疲弱。周二美国货币市场隔夜回购利率连续第二天飙升,早盘突破至8%以上;为遏制短期利率大幅升高,美联储十年来首次重启回购操作,投放数百亿美元,并表示愿在周三继续开展回购操作。
   澳联储纪要宽松偏好尽显,沙特产能恢复重挫油价360 / author:mbgmarkets / PostsID:1480121
产能恢复速度远超预期,油价现瀑布式下跌(UKOIL)
  

Technical aspect:Brentcrude oil上一交易日上一交易日震幅达483Points, closing down6.01%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于开口,布林中轨趋于上行,油价自极端超买区域重跌回至三轨件信赖区间;行情波动迅猛,短期均线系统滞后性凸显,暂失去参考作用;日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较上一交易日缩减;日线RSI(14)一度触及70超买区间下沿后回撤至56-57一线运行,运行斜率较大趋于下行。上方阻力关注67.50,下方支撑关注布林中轨位置。
  
Fundamentals:昨日晚间有市场消息称:沙特石油产量将在未来2-3周完全恢复,当前,沙特已接近恢复57010000 barrels/日产量损失的70%。此消息在随后得到沙特能源大臣的确认。另有消息称,沙特阿美正在启动闲置的海上油田,以弥补部分产量损失。由于产能恢复速度远超市场此前预期,消息引发总价值超52Billion dollarWTI原油主力futures合约砸盘,油价迅速下探。美国国防部官员表示,五角大楼准备在48小时内公开沙特遇袭事件的证据。据哥伦比亚广播公司报道,美国已确定伊朗南部发射20多架无人机和巡航导弹的地点。
   澳联储纪要宽松偏好尽显,沙特产能恢复重挫油价522 / author:mbgmarkets / PostsID:1480121
澳联储纪要夯实鸽派偏好,澳元震荡录得微涨(AUD/USD)
  

Technical aspect:澳元兑美元上一交易日震幅达39Individual points, closing up0.06%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)The Bolin track tends to rise, and the exchange rate continues to operate above the track; Daily lineMA5,10双线趋黏合,MA5,10双线稍趋走平;日线MACD(12,26,9)The potential energy of the positive column is relatively small, and the potential energy is reduced compared to the previous trading day; Daily lineRSI(14)to59-60Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above0.6900Below support attention0.6815。
  
Fundamentals:昨日早间,澳洲联储发布会议纪要称,预期利率将长期处于低位是合理的,有助于实现就业和通胀目标;如需要支撑经济增速和通胀目标,委员会将考虑进一步放松政策;预计全球范围内都将进一步放松货币政策。机构评论认为,澳洲联储9月会议纪要加强了其宽松偏好。意味着10月议息会议上有望降息25个基点。部分观点认为澳洲联储将在11月再次降息,但若重要经济数据(如本周四公布的就业数据)走恶,降息时间可能提前。
   澳联储纪要宽松偏好尽显,沙特产能恢复重挫油价936 / author:mbgmarkets / PostsID:1480121
  
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