MBG Markets：脱欧乱局致英镑巨震，避险主宰市场金银狂欢

　　
脱欧乱局延续，英镑巨震微涨(GBP/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:英镑兑美元上一交易日震幅达147Individual points, closing up0.22%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于收口，布林中轨趋于上行，汇价持续承压于中轨下方；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5,10Double track trend downward, exchange rate under pressureMA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)DIFFOffline threadingDEA构死叉，阴柱势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to42一线运行，运行斜率较大趋于走高。上方阻力关注1.2160Below support attention1.2015。
　　
Fundamentals:欧盟委员会：预期英国将于10month31日脱欧；虽然不希望看到英国无协议脱欧，但这种可能性已经非常明显。北京时间9month4日凌晨，英国议会通过了由议员掌控议会时间以阻止无协议脱欧的动议。首相约翰逊随后强调，若议会阻止了无协议脱欧，英国将需要举行大选。脱欧乱局影响下，英国10Year20Year and30年国债收益率均跌至纪录低点；英镑开启巨震模式，英镑兑美元在周二午间跌破1.20关口后出现反弹，抹平日内跌幅。
　　
鹰鸽官员莫衷一是，PMI数据终结美指连阳(DXY)
　　
Technical aspect:美元指数上一交易日震幅达47Points, closing down0.11%，日线四连阳告终。日线BOLL(20)趋于开口，布林中轨趋于上行，汇价贴近布林上轨；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于上行，汇价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能无明显增减；日线RSI(14)to65-66Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above110.10Below support attention99.20。
　　
Fundamentals:圣路易斯联储主席布拉德：降息50个基点符合市场预期，当前美联储政策利率过高，面对美国国债收益率下行等情况时，需要采取强力措施。波士顿联储主席罗森格伦：美国经济表现相当良性，目前是谨慎观察经济数据以及评判是否需要采取政策调整的良好时机。美国8Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value recorded50.3, for2009年金融危机以来最低水平。分项数据中，产出和新订单指数均为十年最低，第三季度制造业表现可能拖累经济增速。
　　
避险情绪爆发，贵金属涨势惊人(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:gold隔夜震幅达284Individual points, closing up1.5%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于开口，布林中轨趋于上行，金价持续于中轨上方运行；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5,10双线趋于上行，金价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)The potential energy of the Yin column is relatively large, and the potential energy is reduced compared to the previous trading day; Daily lineRSI(14)to60-61一线运行，运行斜率较大趋于下行。后市依然建议以布林中轨为重要多空分水岭。上方阻力看1566位置，下方支撑关注布林中轨得失。
　　
Fundamentals:Panic indexVIX指数上一交易日收跌6.20%, closing on19.66； Forward looking gold price indicator Barrick Gold Company(NYSE:ABX)The stock price closed up on the previous trading day0.21%, closing on19.42。 The world's largest goldETFFund: United StatesSPDR Gold Trustto9month4日增持11.73吨黄金，净持仓量增至890.04吨。白银近期表现抢眼。据悉，本世纪以来，金银价比整体处在60reach70的区间中。当前金银比高达79。这暗示金价被高估或银价被低估。在市场对贵金属购买热情空前高涨的背景下，白银后市或有巨大补涨空间。
　　
　　
　　
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