黄金陷入修整期 周五谨防黑天鹅！

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International Information
U.S.A11月消费者支出动能似乎增强，因家庭购买家具、电子产品和一系列其他商品有所增加，这可能进一步缓解市场对经济大幅放缓的担忧。11月核心零售销售的增长表明，第四季度消费者支出增长迅速。占美国经济三分之二以上的消费者支出在第三季度较去年增加了3.6%。
U.S.A11月零售销售数据公布后，现货gold短线持续下挫，现报1234.72dollar/盎司；美元指数DXY短线拉升，现报97.70；非美货币普遍短线下挫，英镑兑美元GBP/USD跌幅扩大至0.9%。

　　

不知不觉，一周的时间又只剩下一个交易日，这也意味着美联储12月加息和春节距离我们越来越近。而说到黄金在本周的表现，用偏弱震荡来形容毫不为过，尽管当前价格仍处于高位，但随着震荡时间拉长，高低点也逐步下移，让我认为空头具备下破区间的条件。当然，即使下破，也只能视为短线，因为在美联储于20号公布利率决议和政策声明之前，黄金必定难有大起大落的波动，所以，保持1230-1250区间宽幅震荡的思路依然不可或缺。

Gold Trend Analysis
昨日黄金依旧没什么动静，一天维持上下6个点的波动，尾盘震荡收尾，那么今天周五是否还会延续震荡没什么看点呢？我们来看盘中的变化。不论是周线和日线的5The rising rhythm of the waves, although the suppression point of the trend line is1263-1268However, each rhythm cannot be strictly linearized, so1250This node is likely to collapse, which is worth noting. Technically, daily line5Daily moving average and10The daily moving average tick has changed from the previous long moving average arrangement, although currently supported byMA10But the trend of continuously decreasing high points makes us have to worry1250finish5The rhythm of the waves rising.

4The hour is in line with our previous thinking,1250.7探高，高点不断降低，低点向下延伸的下跌节奏，今日欧盘终于走出了向下破位的趋势，但按照近期的形式以及之前走势来看，黄金短期不太具备大跌的条件，很多的可能是跌向了下一个震荡箱体，日内我们需关注两个点位上方关注1244-1245First line, follow below1236一线。短线思路上还需围绕1244Mainly high altitude nearby, causing damage1248The target is visible1236附近，跌破可下看1230！做多上参考1236支撑，在短线上目前黄金是偏空的，做多建议轻仓严格带好止损，最稳健的做多点位应放在1230
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投资是个长久之计，不是一朝一夕，所以不可操之过急。就算你现在亏损了，那也没什么可怕的，只要选择正确，失去的都会再回来。聪明人总是结伴而行，把握做单时机，掌握行情动向，方可百战百胜。无论成功还是失败，都让我们明白，人生需要一个好的心态。人生的进退，生活的好坏，有时取决于我们的心态，努力是一种结局，放弃也是一种结局。只是不同的心境，有着不同的结果，你笑天是蓝的，你哭天是阴的。学会投资，需要一个好的心态，走好人生，需要一个好的心境，心态有时决定着你投资的成败
The author Yi Xiaopinjin focuses on studying the international economic situation, and investment should be more in line with the trend. Trading in precious metals (gold and silver),crude oil（WTI）Investment,foreign exchangeInvestment friends who are interested in products such as stocks can follow the company for details.Public.ID: Yi Xiaopinjin, welcome to exchange and learn together! Investment carries risks and caution is necessary when entering the market. Yi Xiao suggests that everyone enter the market with a reasonable position to grasp.Wen/Yi Xiao (Director WeChat:yxpj08Written by Yi Xiaopinjin, public account