Ancient Moon Tongming:7.3午夜金评黄金能否探底回升?Unwrapping multiple gold orders

　　   When the wind and waves are calm, you won't know me. I am on the path of playing games, facing both wind and rain; At the moment when flowers bloom and the moon is full, you won't pay attention to me. I am on the other side of the far shore, wearing stars and the moon; My figure is on every strandKFlashing online, yet silent in the vast form.
　　
　　gold为何持续下跌
　　
　　  黄金空头延续的原因：美元强势，近期资金的流向一直都保持在美元市场中，这使黄金多头遭到了强力的阻力。而川普上周三表示，将放弃对中国投资美国技术领域施加新限制的计划，这使得市场风险情绪回归，推升美元继续反弹，美元持续走高再度打压金价。
　　
　　  国际贸易形势的问题，黄金作为避险资产的同时，被商品属性掩盖，美股大跌黄金也依旧未能从中收益，基本面方面动能的缺失，黄金难以获得上涨的信心，短期内如果基本面方面依旧没有支撑动能，那么黄金整体还是要承压修正的，最近的黄金走势是忽视了美元回调还有贸易纠纷的避险问题继续下跌，双重利好难以提振市场看涨信心，古月通铭认为这足以证明黄金在跌破重要技术关口支撑后所面临的下行风险压力巨大。
　　
　　  近期面对强劲的美元，黄金始终被死死压制，一连几日下跌。六月三线完美收官，七月来临注定不平凡。那么本周贸易战进程、欧盟关税、非农数据以及FOMC会议纪要重磅来袭，市场需要关注的是美联储措辞会否有新的变化。与此同时，欧盟、中国对美报复关税执行之日也将到来，届时，市场恐将又是一场“腥风血雨”。目前全球贸易战的担忧情绪成为市场主要关注的焦点，这种担忧情绪本该激发市场避险，进而对避险金价带来支撑。但是实际情况是贸易战对金价支撑有限。主要因为贸易战的担忧情绪主要集中在新兴市场，导致新兴市场资本回流美国，美元受到支撑，反而打压金价。而对于贸易战笔者古月通铭认为在本周有望得到进一步缓解，因为特朗普滥征关税权利或将再次被国会“围剿”，从而可能也会使特朗普再度“变脸”。与此同时，万众期待的美联储6月货币纪要重磅来袭，这将是本周最重要一大事件。本于早些时候的美联储6月议息会议决议中，美联储将联邦基金利率目标区间调高25Bps to1.75%-2.00%。同时，还提高了加息步伐，FOMC宣布将在2018Annual interest rate hike4次。此次利率决议再次强调了保持宽松的货币政策立场，经济面临的短期风险大致均衡。
　　
　　  Analysis of Gold Technology
　　
　　  黄金就目前的走势而言，仍然是处于一个弱势状态，黄金日线图没有出现大阳线，或者强而有力的见底信号，那么我们就暂时不随意的去判断黄金见底，不过古月通铭个人认为黄金本周很有可能会见底，至少会出现一波像样的反抽行情，而目前这样的下跌从1309附近开始，这种反抽就没有出现过了，最多的反抽也不过10美元左右而已。今日黄金午后在1248一线盘整，并没有向上或者向下延续，晚间美盘重点关注1256的压制，这个位置上攻并站稳，那么黄金短线就不能再去下看，相反只要1256不上破企稳，那么短线继续看回落，但是能不能向下延续太多，就要看前低1245的支撑附近；
　　
　　  黄金欧盘整体维持低位震荡，并没有跌破前期低点1246一线，加上黄金已经破位前期的下降趋势线，短线黄金仅仅只能当作区间1245-1256的区间震荡来对待，从当前的指标来看，布林带缩口，RSILow operating level,Stoch指标运行在低位，指标上显示黄金偏向反弹，晚间操作上古月通铭建议依托1246一线看反弹，反弹到位在考虑空，而目前4小时走势来看，震荡下行走势之后，对于这一种走势，追空不具备条件，所以还是等待回撤多，走势太墨迹，观望是当前的首选，再加上周五探底回升，今晚收线很关键，大周期均线指标MA5Clearly wornMA10The daily moving average is located at0轴上方运行，配合附图指标MACDJincha continues to increase its volume,4小时看好震荡上行走势，今日周一行情清淡震荡走势较慢，建议操作上照古月通铭前面所说在1245-1256区间震荡来回操作即可。
　　
　　  黄金趋势操作
　　
　　  1.retracement 1245-1246Stop loss5USD, target1253-1256nearby
　　
　　  2.upper1256阻力不破则空，1256-1255Near empty, stop loss5USD, target1250-1247nearby
　　
　　  Golden Release
　　
　　  1Long term unwinding. Investors who have identified a major trend (such as a bullish market) and placed their orders in a minor trend (a downward trend in the market) can first stop losing and then enter at a lower price to earn a price difference. This can also earn profits from the major trend and reduce the risk of short positions caused by the minor trend.
　　
　　  2Short term unlocking. If investors make a complete mistake in their judgment of the market, they should decisively close their positions to avoid further unilateral price fluctuations and suffering greater losses.The longer short-term investors hold in a unilateral market, the greater the losses they will incur.
　　
　　  3Light position unwinding (also applicable to investors with large funds). That is, as the decline in the price increases, it increases the buying price and uses idle funds to lower costs, waiting for the price to rebound. Its advantage is that no matter how deep it is nested, as long as it is operated properly, it can be unlocked once there is a rebound.
　　
　　  4, band unpacking. This method is suitable for various market stages of hedging, especially for volatile markets, mainly relying on the fluctuation of stock prices and utilizing the fluctuation price difference to unwind. The concept of this method is to buy low and sell high, sell high and buy low, gradually reducing costs and reducing losses. Its advantage lies in the variety of operating techniques, which are not limited to a single pattern, actively attacking, and if operated properly, the release speed is fast. The disadvantage lies in the high demand for personal time, energy, and ability, frequent operation with certain cost pressure, and improper operation can easily cause greater losses. We need professional knowledge and guidance with time, energy, and skills.
　　
　　  希望我的文章能给你们带来收获，在接下来的投资里顺风顺水。一杯暖茶，一句建议，我即是一位老师，也是你善谈的朋友。
　　
　　  本文由（分析师古月通铭（VX：guyuetm   QQ:1836161554））团队独家分析策划，转载请注明出处。以上内容供参考。投资有风险，入市需谨慎。