Sincerely open:6.5晚评黄金、原油行情分析及建议

SimpleKLine


But it contains traces of game theory


Following the trace of operation


Find the direction of the trend


And grasp the direction


And seize the future

　　goldTechnical analysis:


Tuesday(6month5day)，现货黄金震荡交投于1292美元附近。美元指数本周开盘一度大跌，黄金也短线迎来反弹的契机，尽管周一公布的美国工厂订单以及耐用品订单数据不佳，不过随着美债收益率的继续上升，加上美联储加息预期的支撑，美元指数收复94整数关，黄金隔夜回吐所有涨幅。


　　在美元指数逡巡不前之机，黄金并没有展现出其应有的吸引力，尽管这在一定程度上归因于市场避险情绪的消退等因素，但是投资者目前对黄金并没有很强的兴趣。黄金想要打破现有的格局需要更强的推动因素。日图显示，RSI指标进一步回落逼近超卖区域，且上行动能也进一步收缩，金价周一再度破败千三关口，随着上行动能的减弱，金价下跌的可能性也正扩大，且均线也在不断走低，这为金价上行增加了更强的阻力。


　　4小时图显示，现货黄金在受阻于100均线阻力之后再度回落，且均线也正加速朝南运动，RSI指标再度加速下跌，金价目前受阻于云图上行云，两度破败该云层增加了金价的下行风险。上行方面，初步阻力位于1297美元附近，更高的阻力位于1300美元关口，然后为200Daily moving average at1308美元附近的压制，下行方面，首先需关注1287美元附近支撑，跌破该水平，那么金价有望下探5month21Daily low point1282美元。获取最新投资资讯或解套可单线联系笔者

Operation suggestions:


　　1:proposal1295Short nearby, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1287破位持有


　　2:as1287未能突破，可短线多，止损4US dollars, look at the target1295


　　crude oilTechnical analysis:


　　整体还是趋弱发展，此前油价连续大跌后形成明显的空头格局，虽然价格连破低点且维持在低点，但我们并没有因此看到有止跌或底部迹象的出现，此时去抢多或抄底显得极不理性，顺势而为才是交易之本，昨日盘触低后反弹，势能力度均不强。从日线图来看，继前几日二连阳之后多头似乎势头正旺，可昨日美盘急跌让原油走势陡然急下。目前油价运行于boll带中轨与下轨之间ma5Under the moving averagema10ma20均线死叉运行，附图macd快慢线高位死叉下行，绿色动能开始缩量，kdj三线有向上交口趋势，行情虽然整体呈现空头，但是有反弹的需求


　　4小时上触低后反弹，势能力度均不强，当前价再度回撤短期均线下方，各周期均线呈空头排列，短周期指标维持下行，4小时还是空头占优。昨日油价下跌也未跌破此前低点，在连续下行后适当的调整也是可以理解的，所以这样的调整预期我们要提前计算在内。技术面的偏弱发展走势较为明显，油价会进一步下跌，实际能否企稳。日内操作上友良建议高空为主，上方关注67One line of resistance, pay attention below65Frontline support.

Suggestions for crude oil operation:


　　1Suggestions66.8-67.0Short selling, stop loss67.5, Objective66.3-65.6；


　　2Suggestions65.1-65.3Long, stop loss64.8, Objective65.8-66.8


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US crude oil: fixed margin400USD in one hand/1000Bucket, Fluctuation0.02USD return, fluctuating0.01USD profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.


Silver: Fixed margin400USD in one hand/5000Ounces, fluctuating0.010USD return, fluctuating0.01USD profit and loss20USD, no spread, no overnight fee.


US Gold: Estimated Margin400USD in one hand/100Ounces, fluctuating0.2USD return, fluctuating0.1USD profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.


Natural gas: Fixed margin400USD in one hand/10000mmBtuFluctuation0.·002USD return, fluctuating0.001USD profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.
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