Sincerely open:6.1早评黄金，原油走势分析及开盘操作建议

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But it contains traces of game theory


Following the trace of operation


Find the direction of the trend


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And seize the future

　　goldTechnical analysis:
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　　从日线图来看，受贸易摩擦和欧洲危机等避险情绪升高影响，黄金欧盘的下跌在美盘再次反弹回来，行情再次回到高位震荡，日线不出意外还将再次收取一根小阳。目前行情运行于BOLL带中轨附近呈多头排列，BOLL带三轨延续向下的方向并未改变，黄金继续维持区间震荡走势，震荡幅度逐步收窄。MA5On the moving averageMA10均线死叉受MA20日均线压制。附图MACD快慢线金叉运行，红色能量柱持续放量，KDJ三线交金叉向上发散运行，受到避险情绪支撑，多头还将延续。


From4小时图来看，黄金运行于BOLL带上轨附近有承压回落趋势，行情多次触及布林带上轨均出现回落，说明上方存在强阻力，BOLL带三轨保持缩口运行趋势，MA5On the moving averageMA10MA20日均线。附图MACD快慢线几乎重叠，红色能量柱微弱放量，KDJ三线指标有向下交叉趋势，经过晚间的一波上涨之后，黄金短期有回调需求。综合来看，随着目前区间逐渐缩口，多空之争越来越激烈，似乎为大非农行情预热，届时多空必将会有一个明确的方向。但是大非农之前诚至依然坚持观点是黄金上方不破1308-1311，我们还是看好行情1297-13011的区间运行。所以操作上诚至金开建议稳健依托区间1311-1297高估低渣即可，上方关注压力1311, lower support1297.

Recommendations for Gold Operations


　　1、1308-1311美元分批做空，止损4美金，目标看向1300-1298USD;


　　2、1297Dollar long, stop loss4美金，目标看向1300-1303USD;


　　crude oilTechnical analysis:


　　从日线图来看，继昨天二连阳之后多头似乎势头正旺，可昨天美盘急跌让原油走势陡然急下，哪怕晚间的EIA数据利多也只是触碰68后就快速回落。目前油价运行于BOLL带中轨与下轨之间，MA5Under the moving averageMA10MA20均线死叉运行，附图MACD快慢线高位死叉下行，绿色动能开始缩量，KDJ三线有向上交口趋势，行情虽然整体呈现空头，但是有反弹的需求；从4小时图来看，行情运行于中轨附近呈空头排列，EIA行情上涨之后快速回落，原油整体弱势难改，MA5On the moving averageMA10MA20日均线有拐头向下趋势，附图MACD快慢线金叉，红色能量柱缩量。KDJ三线向下发散运行，短期内原油空头强势。


　　综合来看，昨天诚至提到过原油的上涨是多方面的因素，回调需求和避险的支撑都是存在的。但是我们不能够过于乐观的看好上涨。从目前走势来看，原油没有强势的打破区间，还是属于区间偏弱走势，而且日线周线上都存在阻力，所以操作上诚至金开建议反弹空为主，低多为辅。上方关注68.7一线压力，下方支撑66.0frontline.


Recommendations for crude oil operations


　　1Suggest a rebound68.3Near empty, stop loss68.7, Objective67.2-66.8；


　　2Callback66.5Long, stop loss66.0, Objective67.4


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US crude oil: fixed margin400USD in one hand/1000Bucket, Fluctuation0.02USD return, fluctuating0.01USD profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.


Silver: Fixed margin400USD in one hand/5000Ounces, fluctuating0.010USD return, fluctuating0.01USD profit and loss20USD, no spread, no overnight fee.


US Gold: Estimated Margin400USD in one hand/100Ounces, fluctuating0.2USD return, fluctuating0.1USD profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.


Natural gas: Fixed margin400USD in one hand/10000mmBtuFluctuation0.·002USD return, fluctuating0.001USD profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.