At this moment, discussing gold: risk control techniques for gold investment!

1、 Diversified investment portfolio

资产配置是任何投资策略重要的一环。透过平衡具不同相关性的资产类别，投资者可望取得最高的回报和承担最低的风险。然而，尽管不少投资者认为已充分分散投资组合，一般组合内只涵盖三种资产类别：股票、债券及现金。

不少投资者在投资组合加入goldAlternative investments such as silver commodities are used to resist negative changes in a particular asset or asset class, aiming to achieve a more effective diversification of investment portfolios.

黄金在近年录得强劲的回报，但黄金对投资组合最重要的价值，在于黄金与大部分资产不存在相关性，原因是影响金价的因素与影响其他资产表现的因素有别。

二、现金为皇

投资黄金市场最重要的是什么？是基本面分析？还是技术面分析？规避风险，保住本金？

其实，要成为长期持续赚钱的人，首先要先学会保住自己的本金，让自己的资金活着。请记住巴菲特的名言：第一、注意规避风险，保住本金；第二、规避风险，保住本金；第三、请记住前两点。

“现金比你的母亲还重要。”这是投身黄金市场中要牢牢记住的一点，来到黄金市场之中，风高浪急，行情时而疯狂上涨，时而秋风扫落叶般下跌，如果你不能有效的保住资金的本金，你就会容易被市场横扫出局。现金永远都很重要，因为现金能提升你的安全感。就如2008In, global stock markets plummeted, housing prices plummeted, and asset prices plummeted. When systemic risks erupt, those who can maintain cash are the real big winners.

三、点位为相

市场总是涨跌中进行，沿着曲线和波浪运行。为什么很多投资者会经常抱怨：明明看对了方向，而却没有把握行情。如果没有很好的入市点位，即使你看对方向，如果进场点位不好，通常也会让你备受煎熬或被扫的局面。没有只涨不跌的市场也没有只跌不涨的市场，涨涨跌跌，跌跌涨涨是市场运行的规律。黄金操作无非多空，落实操作上就是什么点位做多？什么点位做空？止损点，目标点在哪里？

操作上我们把握的是一个进场点，两个目标点(Profit point, stop loss point)Only by placing an order from entry to exit can it be considered terminated. For short-term investors, we can follow the trend of breaking through the range and not blindly chase after gains and losses. In the gold market, it is often the case to go long when there is a continuous rise, or to go short when there is a continuous decline. This can lead to high risks, even being stuck at the ceiling and empty in the basement.

对于中线操作者我们建议耐心等待，不到目标点位不出手，到了自己的进场点位，就要果断的出击。我们从历史图表上发现，行情一段时间的上涨多数会面临回调。如果趋势看涨，每次回调正是我们寻求进场做多的点位。

我们的分析遵循从上而下，从大周期到小周期，从面到线再到点，操作上我们遵循从下而上，在大周期符合小周期的前提，再从小周期寻找进场点位，持有时从点到线再到面。交易上我们不追求最低点，因为最低点只有一个点，底部区域有无数个，只要买在一个相对的低点，或空在一个相对的高点加上合理的风险控制，好的开始就是成功的一半。

四、止损至圣(victory)

投资本身没有风险，失控的投资才有风险，赚钱的单持有，亏损的单立马截断。杠杆效应使风险加大，止损是必须的。假如所有的交易都不设止损，赚钱止盈简单，试想，数十次成功的交易被一次失败的交易毁掉。不断的成功，使交易者的成就感不断膨胀，风险意识逐渐淡忘，持仓量越来越大，对自己的判断越来越自信，但往往这个时候危险正悄悄地向自己逼近。

交易是不可能100%Success, dozens of successes accumulate time for future failures, which is not determined by human will, but by probability. 'Walking by the river, one's shoes are inevitably wet' is this principle. Once a failed trade arrives, the trader is completely unaware, thinking that their judgment is correct. The reverse development of the market is a temporary phenomenon, and sooner or later they will turn back. However, the result is often a huge loss, and even the hard-earned money is lost and forced out.

大家一定要明晰几个观念：一是止损本身不是投资的目的，它只是保障资金安全的手段，不是说学会止损就学会挣钱了，学会挣钱还仰赖其他方法和手段；二是止损但绝不是频繁止损，恐惧性进出，更不是没有章法的乱止损，它必须在规则和规范下操作，是寻求正确和恰当的止损；三是止损也有错误的时候，适时而客观地对市场重新定位，重新对待变化了的市场是理智而正确的选择；止损能让你规避风险，更有机会让你寻找下一个更好的机会进场。掌握了止损的法宝，才能够在金市走得更稳，活得更久！

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