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美国总统特朗普表示愿意放弃计划于下月在新加坡举行的朝美领导人会晤。而朝方16号表示,如果特朗普政府想强迫朝鲜单方面弃核,朝方可能会重新考虑是否参加朝美领导人会晤。此报道一出重新激起了gold的避险情绪而拉升。
目前朝鲜半岛的局势和中美贸易和谈一方利多黄金一方利空黄金,这对黄金的影响并不大,都不能使黄金走出震荡,我们更应该把目光放在6月美联储公布加息利率的消息上,美联储5月货币政策纪要内容,如果本次纪要透露更多的鹰派信息,则将不但坚定市场对于美联储6月加息的预期,同时也将强化市场对于未来美联储加息进程可能加快的预期,特别是对于今年将合计加息4次的预期。若如此,将进一步刺激美元指数走高,并抑制黄金反弹。

Gold market analysis:
黄金行情昨日又收了一根十字K,从上周三开始到现在连续日线都是在收十字星,行情似乎表现的很胶着。目前的行情值得关注的重点先提一下,周四凌晨2Click on the Federal Reserve5月货币政策会议纪要,以及即将到来的美联储6月加息呼声很高,或者说已成定局的事件。研究历史行情发现,美联储加息前一周行情往往是下跌,而加息落地之后却开启了强势的多头趋势行情。而目前的小周期上,上周放量跌破千三后,反弹修正高点1296附近,而短线也在1295-1296几次承压,下方我们此前也不止一次说过的1280-1282区域的支撑也显得颇为有效,所以行情现在变现的似乎有些矛盾,等待破位契机。既然如此反倒我们的思路可以放的简单一些,先不必去纠结大趋势的破位方向,想着如何小区间的来回复利即可,今天关注小区间1286-1296Follow in large intervals1282-1298。在行情相对矛盾的时候,我们就区间操作,缩小利润比例,以达到多次获利,就算等行情破位的时候,已经收获丰厚的我们付出的也仅仅只是一次止损而已。无论行情如何走,最重要的是要找出最合适的操作方法。
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
  1Rebound1294-1296Empty, stop loss1298上方,目标看到1288.
  2Falling back1286Long nearby, stop loss1282, Objective1293-1295.

morningAPI的公布提前给晚间EIA打了预防针
周三凌晨公布的至5month18Day and WeekAPIcrude oilReduced inventory recorded130Ten thousand barrels, the previous value is an increase485.4Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease282.7万桶。同时,当周汽油库存增加9810000 barrels, reduced inventory of refined oil130万桶,库欣原油库存减少82.2Ten thousand barrels.API数据显示上周原油库存降幅小于预期,汽油库存意外录得增加。基本面显示油市将持续收紧,地缘政治的不确定性仍是油价走高的因素之一。
Analysis of crude oil market:
目前消息面上来看,因市场投资者担忧中东局势不稳及委内瑞拉形势日益恶化提振了原油多头,油价上周穿透72关口高点一度触及72.3一线。但是美国油产量的不断攀升及美元的持续强势令油价承压,原油周线以小阳报收。本周走势结合目前的一个市场形态来看,美国原油产量及美元的强势确实会给油价多头带来一定打压,但是市场有消息显示美国制裁伊朗似是铁板钉钉及美国将制裁委内瑞拉及委内瑞拉经济危机形势继续恶化,这些都将给油价多头带来强势支撑,还是比较看好油价的多头上行,只要70关口守住,油价势将继续上涨续刷新高。 技术层面来看,周二油价再度走强破高,目前已经进入多头的高危区域,但价格依旧强势,虽然每一天的涨幅并不大,但盘面却很强势。日线上,价格延10日均线支撑一路走高,走的很反复,多头震荡式上升。而在高位持续盘整之后再次走高,是典型的多头格局。4小时和日线上,都是突破形态。日内来看,重点关注下方支撑71.6——71.8区域的支撑,也就是日线的5日均线附近,守住这个位置,短线谨慎看涨顺势跟进,且以日内短线为主,防守则在周一低点下方即可,下一目标看至73frontline.
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
建议上方看73.0位置不破空,止损73.45, Objective72.0-71.5 :
建议下方71.5不破可布局多单,止损71.1, Objective72.3-72.5Nearby:

多空单怎么解套
1Long term unwinding. Investors who have identified a major trend (such as a bullish market) and placed their orders in a minor trend (a downward trend in the market) can first stop losing and then enter at a lower price to earn a price difference. This can also earn profits from the major trend and reduce the risk of short positions caused by the minor trend.
2Short term unlocking. If investors make a complete mistake in their judgment of the market, they should decisively close their positions to avoid further unilateral price fluctuations and suffering greater losses.The longer short-term investors hold in a unilateral market, the greater the losses they will incur
. 3Light position unwinding (also applicable to investors with large funds). That is, as the decline in the price increases, it increases the buying price and uses idle funds to lower costs, waiting for the price to rebound. Its advantage is that no matter how deep it is nested, as long as it is operated properly, it can be unlocked once there is a rebound.
4, band unpacking. This method is suitable for various market stages of hedging, especially for volatile markets, mainly relying on the fluctuation of stock prices and utilizing the fluctuation price difference to unwind. The concept of this method is to buy low and sell high, sell high and buy low, gradually reducing costs and reducing losses. Its advantage lies in the variety of operating techniques, which are not limited to a single pattern, actively attacking, and if operated properly, the release speed is fast. The disadvantage lies in the high demand for personal time, energy, and ability, frequent operation with certain cost pressure, and improper operation can easily cause greater losses. We need professional knowledge and guidance with time, energy, and skills.
严亿鑫(官方微信:mengxian909 Official account:yyx15656)擅长运用波浪理论、K线、布林带、MACD对行情分析预测。对各技术指标熟练运用,从而形成了一套自己独特的风险控制系统和交易系统。如果你需要心态指导,投资计划,对原油,黄金等贵金属投资感兴趣而却无从下手,或已经在接触却不理想的朋友,想跟上稳健行情布局的,欢迎关注“严亿鑫”。
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