COMEXMost Active GoldfuturesContract in Beijing Time16:01The trading volume within one minute is5257Hand, the total value of the trading contract is close to7亿美元;黄金短线暴涨4美元,上探1296一线阻力位。今日黄金在亚盘回调盘整后,短线强势反弹8个点。其中,美元指数的回落是一方面的原因,中东局势的持续升温,欧债危机可能再现的窘境等因素使得避险情绪再次升温,在机构买盘的影响下,最终让黄金多头打了一波漂亮的翻身仗。值得注意的是,机构买盘的影响并没有让金价反弹突破前期的高点。说明影响力度仍旧有限,金价想重回千三关口,还需要更加强力的支撑。
黄金走势分析:技术面上,4小时线上的一波冲刺,使黄金脱离布林带中轨,开始向上轨冲击,短期均线5日均线,接连串过布林带中轨、10Daily moving average and30日均线。附图指标上,macd双线虽然还是处于0轴下方,但红能依然保持放量;sto双线处于超买区附近死叉走平。综合来看,4小时震荡偏强,如果上方彻底打开布林带上轨,有望进一步加强,去试探60Daily moving average1302附近去。所以需要重点留意上轨1295/96的压力。下方需要重点关注中轨支撑,目前短期10Daily and30日均线均处于此地,1290附近。如果再次获得下破,那么今天的走势有望继续演变为震荡。围绕1296-1283between.
crude oil走势分析:今日开盘急涨后,未能延续,在触及71.9后,缓慢回落,且已经跌回71.6一线。之前不断爆出利好消息的欧佩克,在美国制裁伊朗事件后,也有不同的声音产生,俄罗斯已经开始扩大产量,因此我们需要持续关注欧佩克的动向。技术面来看:日图布林带开口上行,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈金叉上行放缓,KThe line intersects between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA10Near the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴上方呈近粘合态向右走平,红色动能有所缩量,KDJ三线拐头朝下缩口行将交死叉,行情有一定的回落风险。虽然行情已经逼近上方趋势线压制,同时指标也出现超买以及顶部背离,但是行情依旧受到中东局势预期的影响而持续震荡走高,难以见常规的技术回修。四小时线图上:原油处于大区间的震荡上行中,低点和高点不断上移,MA60在下方一线形成坚实支撑,此前原油回调至71.00附近蓄力,一波上冲至72.65附近,而这波上冲止住之后,短期可以搏一波回调。综合来看,操作上玉琪论金建议回调做多为主,短线上方继续关注73One line of resistance, pay attention below72Frontline support.
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Comprehensive guidance time:early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00
Comprehensive guidance teacher:Yuqi's Gold Analysis Team
writing/Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold(WeChat:zyq1970622,official account:Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold)