Sincerely open:5.14Analysis of the Trend of Gold and Crude Oil in Early Review

　   简单的KLine


But it contains traces of game theory


Following the trace of operation


Find the direction of the trend


And grasp the direction


And seize the future

Message analysis:


Friday(5month11day)美市盘中，美元指数在跌跌不休之后终盼来“救兵”。日内出炉的美国5月密歇根大学消费者信心指数高于预期，美元指数从日低附近展开绝地反击。不过，值得注意的是，美元指数日线图显示看空反转，这恐怕是一个不祥的信号。随着美元触底反弹，欧元等非美货币以及现货gold则从日高回落。


United States5月密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值持平在98.8，高于市场预期，接近3月份触及的十四年高位101.4。消费者现况指数连续第二个月下滑，但预期指数为三个月来首次上升。


　　调查显示，特朗普当局的政策对消费者信心带来了正反两方面的影响，16%的受访者提到了税改，认为这令人乐观；但同时16%的受访者提到了对贸易摩擦的担忧。另外，80%的受访者预计美联储年内将再次加息。

Gold trend analysis:


　　此前一周金价触低1301低点，本周寻求1304支撑，两周内的持续低位运行再到最终的企稳，彰显出千三关口的支撑作用明显。周线方面由阴转阳，最终录得小阳十字星，价格维持短期均线下方，短周期指标有意拐头上行，短期内若能形成放量，后在突破短期均线之阻力，周线方面看涨的意向会更强。日线上，昨日盘先涨后跌，涨势明显乏力，跌破1320美元后最终录得小阴住，短期均线金叉上扬，短周期指标上行势能有所衰竭，好在维持多头发展，日线保持看涨。本周前三个交易日内，金价维持在1320下方，徘徊在1310附近，交投区间狭窄，让交易为之被动，周四盘的上涨突破确认了短期强势，但周尾的回撤又给多头浇了一盆冷水。犹如以上所讲，无论多空怎么争夺，低位支撑的有效与弱势的改善都是给后期再涨打好了基础，所以周一中金价能够企稳1320再探1330甚至更高的位置是我所预期，获取更多投资资讯或解套可以联系诚至金开


　　crude oilTrend analysis:


　　美原油上周最高上探至71.80高位，旋即承压回落70.50一线，随后上涨，抹平跌幅，周五再次承压回调交投于70.50附近一线，当前影响原油走势的主要是市场出于对基本面的担忧，自美国退出伊核协议后，市场担忧中东局势随时出现危机，进一步引爆了油价的上涨，据最新报道，六月份欧佩克大会将会决定是否将减产计划延长至明年。若美国对伊朗施加制裁，导致伊朗与油市脱节，油价将进一步走高，但由此一来，油价上涨基本上意味着欧佩克减产的效果将提前达到。若减产协议终结，产油国将可能“马力全开”，过量石油涌入油市将会再次压低油价。所以油的回调也是在情理之中。笔者诚至金开认为，原油短期内出现大回调也是比较难的；因此本周油价可能会再次冲高。咱们中长线看多的思路不变，短线操作还是等回调之后再多，综合来看，近期由于油价涨势过于凶猛，油价连涨过后周期指标也急需一次修复。


Sincere message:


Only the departure


Only then can we reach our ideal and destination


Only through hard work


Only then can we achieve brilliant success


Only sowing


Only then will there be gains


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US crude oil: fixed margin400USD in one hand/1000Bucket, Fluctuation0.01USD return, fluctuating0.01USD profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.


Silver: Fixed margin400USD in one hand/5000Ounces, fluctuating0.01USD return, fluctuating0.01USD profit and loss20USD, no spread, no overnight fee.


US Gold: Estimated Margin400USD in one hand/100Ounces, fluctuating0.1USD return, fluctuating0.1USD profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.


Natural gas: Fixed margin400USD in one hand/10000mmBtuFluctuation0.·001USD return, fluctuating0.001USD profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.
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