周一,美元回升至2018年的最高水平92.99,原因是投资者继续押注美国利率上升将提振美元。尽管周一缺乏数据和事件的指引,但是市场对美元的需求依然旺盛。由于近两周美国数据表现向好,美联储下月加息预期高企,美元的大涨也令市场氛围完全转向看涨美元,因此目前的基本面和情绪面都对美元有利,若本周的CPIas well asPPI等数据表现稳健将对美元构成进一步提振。过去两周,美元大幅上涨,原因是投资者纷纷结清空头头寸,并押注美国利率走高,且其经济表现优于其他地区,这将推动美元走强。
另外今日两件大事至关重要,或能随时颠覆市场趋势。北京时间周二(5month8Day)15:15美联储主席鲍威尔(JeromePowell)将在瑞士央行/IMFGive a speech at the meeting. Powell's speech this time is exciting because of his5There was no press conference held after the monetary policy meeting in the month, so this is from3Powell communicated with the market for the first time after the monthly monetary policy meeting. and3Month to5月中间发生了太多事情,包括美国自身的经济以及贸易局势的变化,这些在他的讲话中势必都会提及。最后美国总统特朗普宣布,周二(5month8日)当地时间14:00(北京时间周三凌晨02:00)将宣布伊朗核协议决定。
--Analysis of spot gold market--
美元周五和昨日都是冲高回落,但是都是小阳收线,价格始终运行在5日均线之前,尽管没有了前期极强的走法,当然也受大格局中长线空头的影响,但是短线美元还是强势。所以黄金我们不如被动思考,以1320为强弱分水岭。具体操作上不破1320保持弱势思路,1316-1318都可以做空,去看1311-1310跌破进一步去看1303-1302。如果行情有效突破了1320,我们再去考虑日线的大区间整理,去考虑进一步的加大反弹去测试1326-1330. Free one-on-one guidance on gold investment technology V-Your words:jt827827/a dedicated lineQQ:1072543869
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