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Market Review
在周四的foreign exchange市场上,美元呈小幅回落整理的走势,美元指数最高上涨到92.84,最低下跌到92.34, closing at92.41。欧美最高上涨到1.2008,最低下跌到1.1938, closing at1.1992。
美国加息速度快于预期这一预期,加之由于投资者对美元进行空头回补,促使美元升至1月中旬以来的最高水平。但美联储周三将联邦基金利率设定在1.50%to1.75%的目标区间,符合普遍预期。分析师将其对通胀的评论解读为美联储可能允许价格超出其目标的信号,这一立场将限制美联储为应对近期通胀上升而采取更激进的货币紧缩政策的必要性。受此影响,美元涨势受阻。
目前市场关注焦点集中在即将公布的美国4月非农报告,以寻找美国劳动力市场体质和通胀压力的进一步迹象。周四发布的数据显示,美国3月工厂订单增幅超过预期,因交通运输设备和其它一系列商品的需求强劲,但有迹象显示,企业设备支出在放缓。
从技术上来看,美指周四上涨受阻在92.85之下,回调企稳在92.30之上,收盘在92.41,意味着美元短线上涨后有可能保持回调的走势。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in92.75—92.05Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.2050---1.1950的区间下限买入,有效破点40止损,目标在区间的上限。
GBP/USD: can be used in1.3670---1.3530Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit40Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find1.0000---0.9940Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in109.80---108.40Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit40Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.7575---0.7495Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit40Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.2900---1.2810Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit40Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range. gold: Can be found in the1325.00---1306.00Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit6美元止损,目标在区间的上限。
白银:可以在16.70---16.30Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.15美元止损,目标在区间的上限。
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
(日本因绿色日休市一日)
① 09:30 澳洲联储发布货币政策声明
② 09:45 China4Yuecai New Service IndustryPMI
③ 14:45 France3Monthly trade account
④ 15:50 France4Monthly service industryPMIFinal value
⑤ 15:55 Germany4Monthly service industryPMIFinal value
⑥ 16:00 eurozone4Monthly service industryPMIFinal value
⑦ 17:00 eurozone3Monthly retail sales rate
⑧ 20:30 U.S.A4Monthly unemployment rate, United States4Non agricultural employment population after rose adjustment
⑨ The next day00:00 FOMC永久票委、纽约联储主席杜德利接受彭博采访
10 The next day01:00 From the United States to5month4Total number of oil drilling in the current week
⑪ The next day03:00 2018yearFOMC票委、旧金山联储主席威廉姆斯发表讲话
⑫ The next day05:30 FOMC永久票委、美联储金融监管副主席夸尔斯发表讲话