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On Jin at this moment:1.29Early reviewgoldcrude oilOperation suggestions
Good morning, friends. Although the weather is very cold, analysts still need to insist on getting up early at this moment. Below is an analysis of the market trend for everyone.
Gold Message:
最近美元持续下行,各国经济高企,众所周知,美元在全球已经霸权多年,美国经济总体依靠金融手段维稳,美联储常用手段就是加息、缩表,让流动于世界的美元回流,造成他国外储大量流失,进而经济发展停滞,造成经济危机。然后再用回流的美元抄底他国优质低价资产,近几年各国加强应对之策,导致最近即使美元加息将至,美元还是一路贬值,急的特朗普发言:要确保美元强劲!
特朗普与财政部长抛出了两种不同版本的美元政策论调,市场因此陷入了‘猜猜那个政策是真的”;近年来,部分国家热衷于本币贬值,简直就是一场“看谁贬值更多的竞赛”。目前美元走软对美国经济"advantageous"In the context of a significant sell-off of US Treasury bonds, a weakening of the US dollar is beneficial for the growth of US foreign trade transactions. A depreciation of a country's currency is advantageous for its exports, as it makes its products cheaper compared to other currencies. Therefore, a strengthening of the US dollar is not reliable.
从大局观来看,美国政府不会故意削弱美元,但也不会推动强势美元政策,目前美元还有跌势,但不难看出下行空间并不会太大,相比较黄金各项消息面持续支撑,金价还处于上升的趋势。
Follow this week
全球市场焦点将重回基本面,最重磅的无疑是美联储利率决议,这也就美联储主席耶伦的最后一次利率决议,美国1Monthly Non farm Employment Report and US President Trump's State of the Union Address!
据悉特朗普将在美国东部时间本周二晚上9Point, which is Wednesday morning Beijing time this week10Please deliver the State of the Union address, but the topic of the speech is currently unknown.
此外,美国12月个人收支报告、美联储青睐的通胀指标——12Monthly CorePCE物价指数、美国ADP就业报告等,以及欧元区GDP、CPI初值等等悉数出炉!投资者需密切关注。
Technical analysis of gold:
目前黄金从日线上看,布林带继续朝上运行,KThe line runs below the upper Bollinger Bands,MA5AndMA10The golden fork runs upwards,MACDThe fast and slow lines are stuck at a high position and running to the right, while the red kinetic energy column is weakly increasing in volume,KDJThe three line high bond is moving to the right, and the bullish trend in the market has slowed down, but overall it is still within the bullish trend. Looking online for four hours, the Bollinger Bands are expanding and running upwards,KThe line runs above the Bollinger Bands,MA5AndMA10The moving average's dead cross runs downwards,MACDThe fast and slow lines intersect and cross downwards, and the green kinetic energy column gradually increases in volume,KDJ三线呈死叉继续朝下发散运行,金价短线还有进一步下行势能。综合来看,目标多空方向尚不明确,一旦确认1265一线筑顶那么我们的中长线空单也可以开始启动了,日间操作上此刻分析师建议先关注1345-1357区间,破位前保持低多为主操作。破位后趋势也会明确下来,顺势跟进即可。
Golden Day Operation Suggestions:
1Suggest callback1346Long nearby, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1360Near.
Technical analysis of crude oil:
At present, from a technical perspective, the daily chart Bollinger Bands are opening upwards,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average shows a gentle upward trend with a golden cross,KThe line closes below the upper Bollinger Bands,MACDThe fast and slow lines show a dead cross near the adhesive state and flatten to the right, exhibiting a neutral performance,KDJAt the beginning of the third line, the death cross diverged downwards, and the bullish trend of the market was temporarily suspended, but overall it is still within the bullish trend;4On the hourly chart, the three tracks of the Bollinger Bands converge upwards,MA5Moving average turning head and downward attack desireMA10Moving averages intersect and cross,KLine trading in Bollinger Bands, upper and middle tracks trading in Bollinger BandsMA10Near the moving average,MACDThe fast line is turning around and heading downwards, and the red momentum is gradually decreasing,KDJ三线呈死叉朝下发散运行,油价短线还有进一步下行势能。个人综合来看,因市场对美国原油产量的持续攀升的担忧情绪日益加重,市场投资者们开始锁定获利,原油多头受市场多头获利盘的平仓结利被重挫,日线收跌录得一根上长影线中阴线。短线还有进一步回调趋势,日间操作上来看的话,此刻分析师个人建议回调做多为主。上方关注66.4-66.6One line of resistance, pay attention below65.3-65.1Frontline support.
Suggestions for daytime operation of crude oil:
1Suggest callback65.3Long nearby, stop loss0.4.Target View66.6Near.
Principles of placing orders: Strictly take profit and stop loss, strictly grasp the position, and strictly prohibit heavy trading operations! When doing market trends, first look at the trend, then focus on the position, and finally, time. What we emphasize is understanding and observing the market situation. Whether the operation is right or wrong, there must be a reason for the operation. Reasonable operations, whether right or wrong, should be reviewed in a timely manner. This is the true investment We make stable profits, seize opportunities, steadily make profits, control positions, and do a good job in a virtuous cycle of investment. Remember not to place orders with emotions!!!
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US crude oil: fixed margin400USD in one hand/1000Bucket, Fluctuation0.04USD return, fluctuating0.01USD profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.
Silver: Fixed margin600USD in one hand/5000Ounces, fluctuating0.016USD return, fluctuating0.005USD profit and loss25USD, no spread, no overnight fee.
US Gold: Margin Estimation600USD in one hand/100Ounces, fluctuating0.4USD return, fluctuating0.1USD profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.
Natural gas: fixed deposit400USD in one hand/10000mmBtuFluctuation0.·004USD return, fluctuating0.001USD profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.
Brent crude oil: fixed margin400USD in one hand/1000Bucket, Fluctuation0.04USD return, fluctuating0.01USD profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.
Meijing Copper: Fixed deposit600USD in one hand/25000Pound, fluctuation0.0020USD return, fluctuating0.0005Profit and loss12.5USD, no spread, no overnight fee.
Hang Seng Index: Fixed Margin600USD in one hand/50Hong Kong dollar, fluctuation4HKD payback, fluctuation1Profit and loss of Hong Kong dollars50Hong Kong dollars, no spread, no overnight fee.
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