On Jin at this moment:1.8晚评黄金、原油操作建议

On Jin at this moment:1.8Late reviewgold、crude oilOperation suggestions


Gold Message:


       金价周一小跌，对美国今年进一步升息的憧憬带动美元走坚。美元指数周一上升0.23%to91.96, detach from1month2日所及的低点91.751，该水准为9month20日来最低。“1月通常对金价来说是不错的月份，应该还会如此，因中国春节前料有实货需求，”Oanda交易部门亚太区主管Stephen Innes说。“尽管可能有来自美元修正带来的向下压力，但金价料会保持坚挺，直到美联储3月可能加息，”Innes说。上周五出炉的美国12月非农就业数据不及预期，但投资者预计美联储今年仍会加息数次，不过加息步伐料会是渐进的。美国商品futuresTrading Committee(CFTC)数据显示，对冲基金和基金经理在截至1month2日当周，增加了COMEX黄金的净多头仓位。


Technical analysis of gold:


      黄金从日线级别来看，自1365开始的一路下跌以来，最低下探至1238一线后开始反弹，而本次如果想反转局面，那么也就是行情必须要突破1300整数关口，也是前期的高点一线，目前强势突破后，涨势依旧，若以1238为一浪的开端，必然会有二浪回调，但是短线调整后，大级别的上涨趋势将会延续，后市大方向继续看涨！从目前来看，黄金正处于1365Down to1238趋势的黄金分割线38.2%位置出，也就是1317附近一线位置，而此位置一旦跌破，那么黄金将有很大概率下探至50.0%Location, i.e1300附近一线位置。黄金从四小时图看，在下探至布林线中轨后开始小幅反弹，而布林线中轨同样位于1317附近，短线一旦跌破此位置，那么也就预示着将会进一步下挫，下方可看至布林线下轨1310附近。指标上来看，KDJTurn the head down,MACD快慢线同样延续向下趋势，空头力量明显。破位1317（布林线中轨）则继续下看，上方关注1324一线阻力！


Suggestions for evening gold operations:


1Suggestions1320Nearby Empty  Stop loss4  target1312。
2Suggestions1313Nearby  Stop loss4  target1320。


Crude Oil Message:


      2月伊拉克巴士拉原油出口表现强劲，据船运数据显示已经触及2017年来最高月度水平。东亚地区通常是伊拉克南部油港的主要出口地，其中中国进口量最大，大约为韩国的两倍。与此同时，印度原油需求持续攀升。另一方面，12月美国继续成为伊拉克巴士拉轻质和重质原油的第三大进口国，2017年约为5910000 barrels/Day, compared to2016年增长逾三分之一。尽管如此，伊拉克北部库尔德地区原油出口却遭受阻滞，因独立公投事件导致输油管道被迫中断。虽然第四季度库尔德地区原油出口大幅下降，但2017年头三个季度平均为5410000 barrels/日，帮助2017年伊拉克全国原油出口同比实现增长。


晚间原油技术面分析：


      日线上来看，大阳后接着小阴星线整理，正常的回调修复，日线未改变上升趋势。从4From an hourly perspective,KThe line intersects between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5Above the moving average, with the opening of the Bollinger band facing upwards,MA5The moving average shows a golden cross and flattens to the right,MACDThe gold cross on the fast and slow lines has slowed down and the red kinetic energy has decreased slightly,KDJThe three line dead cross is easing and leveling to the right, and the trend of short-term bulls has slowed down, but overall, bulls still dominate. Overall, crude oil has remained at a high level recently, rising all the way up and reaching its highest point62.1Nearby, currently the overall stability of crude oil61Above, it proves that the overall trend of crude oil is bullish. Last week onEIA数据影响下，有多头转空头的趋势认为属于诱空，回调即是为了加速上扬，今日日内操作上此刻分析师认为回调做多为主，上方关注62.2One line of resistance, pay attention below61Frontline support.


Suggestions for evening crude oil operations:


1Suggestions62.0-62.2Near empty, stop loss0.3Points, target61.6-61.3；
2Suggestions61.0-61.2Nearby, stop loss0.3Points, target61.6-62.0；


Message:
The two most important aspects of investing are: first, understanding how to analyze a market trend; The second is to know how to control risks. As an investor, one should have a good mentality and correct investment concepts; Positive people see an opportunity in every crisis, while negative people see some kind of crisis in every opportunity; In the face of volatile market conditions, we must seize every opportunity. Seizing an opportunity is equivalent to seizing tomorrow!
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US crude oil: fixed margin400USD in one hand/1000Bucket, Fluctuation0.04USD return, fluctuating0.01USD profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.


Silver: Fixed margin600USD in one hand/5000Ounces, fluctuating0.016USD return, fluctuating0.005USD profit and loss25USD, no spread, no overnight fee.


US Gold: Margin Estimation600USD in one hand/100Ounces, fluctuating0.4USD return, fluctuating0.1USD profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.


Natural gas: fixed deposit400USD in one hand/10000mmBtuFluctuation0.·004USD return, fluctuating0.001USD profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.


Brent crude oil: fixed margin400USD in one hand/1000Bucket, Fluctuation0.04USD return, fluctuating0.01USD profit and loss10USD, no spread, no overnight fee.


Meijing Copper: Fixed deposit600USD in one hand/25000Pound, fluctuation0.0020USD return, fluctuating0.0005Profit and loss12.5USD, no spread, no overnight fee.


Hang Seng Index: Fixed Margin600USD in one hand/50Hong Kong dollar, fluctuation4HKD payback, fluctuation1Profit and loss of Hong Kong dollars50Hong Kong dollars, no spread, no overnight fee.
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