此刻论金：学会如何判断未来市场走势

此刻论金：学会如何判断未来市场走势


The composition of the Bollinger index mainly consists of three Bollinger trajectories, which we refer to as upper, middle, and lower trajectories. Three tracks together form oneKThe channel for fluctuations in line prices. The upper and lower tracks of the price channel are the highest and lowest prices that display the safe operation of market prices.
Generally speaking, when the price runs above the middle track of the Bollinger Line, it indicates that the market is in a strong trend; When the market price moves below the middle trajectory of the Bollinger Line, it indicates that the market is in a weak trend.
The upper rail isKThe pressure line of the line trend, with the downward trend as the support line, whenKThere will be some resistance near the upper and lower tracks of the line, and there is a high possibility of a reversal in the market trend. It is not difficult to see from the graph that many rising prices are hindered and falling on the upper track, while falling prices are also supported and rebounded on the lower track.
如何判断走势？
1When the upper, middle, and lower trajectories of the Bollinger Bands run upwards simultaneously, it indicates that the market's strong characteristics are very obvious and will continue to rise in the short term. Investors should choose to go long.
2When the upper, middle, and lower trajectories of the Bollinger Line run downwards simultaneously, it indicates that the market's weak characteristics are very obvious and will continue to decline in the short term. Investors should choose to short.
3When the upper track of the Bollinger Line is running downwards, while the middle and lower tracks are still running upwards, it indicates that the market is in a consolidation trend. If the market is in a long-term upward trend, it indicates that the market is a strong consolidation in the upward trend, and investors can hold long for the rise or buy long on dips; If the market is in a long-term downward trend, it indicates that the market is a weak consolidation in the downward trend, and investors should mainly hold short to wait for the fall or short when the market is high.
4The upper trajectory of the Bollinger Line runs upwards, while the possibility of the middle and lower trajectories running downwards simultaneously is very small. The principle of judgment is similar to the previous rule.
5When the upper, middle, and lower trajectories of the Bollinger Line are almost simultaneously running horizontally, we need to judge based on the current market trend. We believe that this is a calm period in the market, and there are often some unilateral breakouts at the end.


除上述几种情况，布林轨还可以具体细化为许多小的形态，这里就不一一列举了，需要大家在平日里留意积累。
Bollinger track andKDJThe coordinated use of indicators
我们知道,The upper rail in the Bollinger Line has a pressure effect,The middle and lower rails have a supporting (pressure) effect, 因此当价格下跌到布林线中轨或者下档时,You can ignore itKDJTake action based on the signals emitted by the indicators. of course,IfKDJThe indicators have also reached a low level,So it should be regarded as the result of mutual verification between short-term trends and medium-term trends, 而采取更为积极的操作策略。
It should be noted that,When the price drops below the Bollinger Line,Even if supported and stabilized,KDJThe indicators have also increased synchronously,The signal for trend turning has been sent out,所以至多只能抢一次反弹。而当KDJ Indicators moving up80At high position,It is safer to take a selling action,因为当价格跌破布林线中轨后将引发布林线开口变窄,At this point, repairing the indicators requires at least a long period of consolidation,所以说无论从防范下跌风险,Or from the perspective of considering the opportunity cost of holding,It is not advisable to continue holding.


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