此刻论金：那些因素会影响贵金属的走势

此刻论金：那些因素会影响贵金属的走势

1Supply factors:The main supply factors include:


（1）The current global stock of spot silver on the ground is approximately13.74Ten thousand tons of spot silver, while the stock of spot silver on the ground is still around2%的速度增长.


（2）The annual supply and demand of spot silver is approximately4200Tons, the proportion of newly produced spot silver to the annual supply62%。


（3）The cost of new gold mining is slightly lower than the average total cost of spot silver mining260dollar/Ounces. Due to the development of mining technology, the cost of developing spot silver has increased in the past20Since the beginning of the year, it has been continuously declining.


（4）The political, military, and economic changes in spot silver producing countries will undoubtedly directly affect the quantity of spot silver produced in these countries, thereby affecting the world's supply of spot silver.


（5）央行的现货白银抛售中央银行是世界上现货白银的最大持有者。


2Demand factor: The demand for spot silver is directly related to its use.


（1）Changes in the actual demand for spot silver (jewelry industry, industry, etc.).


（2）The need for value preservation. Spot silver reserves have always been used by the central bank as an important means to prevent domestic inflation and regulate the market.


（3）Speculative demand. Speculators take advantage of the fluctuations in gold prices in the spot silver market, based on the international and domestic situation, and add spot silverfuturesThe trading system of the market involves a large amount of "short selling" or "replenishing" spot silver, artificially creating a false demand for spot silver.


3Other factors:


（l）The impact of the US dollar exchange rate.


（2）The monetary policies of various countries are closely related to the international spot silver price. When a country adopts a loose monetary policy, due to a decrease in interest rates, the country's money supply increases, increasing the possibility of inflation and causing an increase in spot silver prices.


（3）The impact of inflation on gold prices.


（4）The impact of international trade, fiscal, and foreign debt deficits on gold prices.


（5）International political turmoil, war, etc.


(6）The impact of stock market conditions on gold prices.



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