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NFX 品汇国际:欧元王者归来,美元跌破上升通道

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Market Review
 在周二的foreign exchange市场上,美元呈大幅破位下跌的走势,美元指数最高上涨到94.54, 最低下跌到93.75, closing at93.83。欧美最高上涨到1.18050,最低下跌到1.16620, closing at1.17920nearby
  由于德国强劲的经济增长数据推动欧元/美元汇率升至三周以来的最高水平。美市盘中,美元指数跌破94Pass, low visibility93.75, for13个交易日以来的最低水平,也是5个交易日以来的第4次下跌。经季节调整后,德国第三季国内生产总值(GDP)Growth compared to the previous quarter0.8%,路透调查预计增长0.6%。
  周二发布的数据显示,德国经济强劲成长帮助欧元区经济第三季同比增长2.5%,增幅大于美国。美国公布的数据显示,10月美国生产者物价增幅大于预期后,美元指数基本持平。预计美联储将在下月升息,投资者现在将关注点转向周三将要发布的消费者物价数据。
Euro/英镑继续走高,此前发布的英国通胀数据略低于预估,削弱了英国央行进一步升息的理据。最近几日,在英国政治动荡的背景下英镑波动较大,本周英国议员就脱欧计划的立法基础进行辩论。此外,商品相关货币纽元下跌,因中国零售销售和工业生产数据令人失望。
从技术上来看,美指周二反弹受阻在5、10日之下,跌破20Daily moving averagebrace,同时跌破日线图上升通道的下轨,在40日均线处企稳。收盘在93.83,意味着美元短线反弹后继续下跌的可能仍然很大。
[Trading Strategy]
   美元指数:可以在94.25—93.55Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.18500---1.17400Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.32100---1.31000Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.99500---0.98600区间上限卖出,有效破位400Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in113.750---113.150Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.76550---0.76150Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit200Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.27700---1.26900Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
  gold: Can be found in the1286.00—1273.00Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit5美元止损,目标在区间的上限。
  白银:可以在17.150—16.900Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.150美元止损,目标在区间的上限。
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 15:45 France10monthCPIMonthly rate
② 16:00 2017yearFOMC票委、芝加哥联储主席埃文斯就经济发表讲话
③ 17:30 britain10Monthly unemployment rate, UK10Monthly unemployment benefit applicants, UK9Three months in a monthILOunemployment rate
④ 18:00 eurozone9Monthly adjusted trade account
⑤ 21:30 U.S.A10After adjusting the roseCPIMonthly rate, USA10Monthly retail sales rate, US11New York Fed Manufacturing Index for the Month
⑥ 23:00 U.S.A9Monthly commercial inventory rate
⑦ 23:30 From the United States to11month10Day and WeekEIAcrude oilstock
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