Vantage FXWanzhi: AUD to USD10month31Analysis and Trend Forecast of Foreign Exchange Trading in Japanese Investment Banks

　Dahua Bank:
AUD/美元：看空，不排除再次跌向0.7560但几率不高。上周四开始强调的0.7630水平已经被突破，因周五纽市盘中澳元一度跌至0.7625。下行动能有所缓解，其自低位快速反弹，但预期短期底部尚过早。在突破0.7735之前澳元前景被视为看空。在此之前，不排除再次跌向0.7560但几率不高。
　　FX168：
　　澳元兑美元：看跌，或续跌向0.7560，但几率不大。汇价跌破上周四(10month26day)强调的初始目标0.7630，上周五日低触及0.7625，由于此后自低点快速反弹，下行动能略微放缓，但现在预计短期底部已构筑还尚早，上破0.7735前仍看跌。在此之前不排除存续跌向0.7560的可能，但出现的几率不大。
　　CMC：
　　上周澳大利亚三季度CPI录得远差于预期，打压澳元兑美元大幅下跌，下方的重要潜在支持位置出现在0.7630附近。本周行情来看，其有可能在此支持位置出现反弹，但大方向仍然向下， 周内反弹的潜在阻力看0.7730附近。但澳元有望在反弹后继续期长期跌势，其继续走跌的行情有可能出现在本周后半周。需要重点突破的支持价格首看0.7630And then0.7500。
　　Vantage FX万致观点：
　　AUD/USD：澳元继续止跌反弹，目前汇价仍位于200日均线附近，虽然偏空趋势依旧，但下跌动能暂缓，技术指标处于超卖状态，空单暂不建议。日内关注0.7700的压力，支撑0.7650。

　　Event discussion:

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Time Importance Index Content Pre Value(Before correction)Detailed explanation of predicted value published values

19:45Last week in the United StatesICSC-Goldman Sachs Chain Store Sales(Compared to last week)(to1028)+2.0%Waiting
19:45Last week in the United StatesICSC-Goldman Sachs Chain Store Sales(the annual rate)(to1028)+2.2%Waiting
20:30美国第三季度劳工成本指数(Seasonal rate)+0.5%+0.6%Waiting
20:55Last week's Red Book commercial retail sales in the United States(the annual rate)(to1028)3.5%Waiting
21:00U.S.A8monthS&amp/CS10Housing price index in major cities(the annual rate)+5.16%Waiting
21:45U.S.A10Monthly Chicago Purchasing Managers Index65.260Waiting
22:00U.S.A10Monthly Conference Chamber Consumer Confidence Index119.8121.2Waiting
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