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香港金道:库尔德公投或引暴全球油市,布油刷两年来新高

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Monday(9month25day),受人瞩目的伊拉克库尔德地区独立公正式举行。据外媒报道,此次独立公投的投票参与率已达到76%。鉴于伊拉克产油量位居OPEC第二大,此次公投结果或对全球石油产量造成较大的冲击。此外,相应的地区局势紧张化,也可能波及到周边国家的石油产量。对此,油价反应激烈。截至目前,布伦特crude oil已刷新2015year7New high since the beginning of the month58.50dollar/桶,现日内涨幅为2.42%。
现货黄金策略

据分析,倘若库尔德独立,OPEC减产努力或付之东流。因伊拉克和伊朗分别因为长年战乱和长期遭受国际制裁,丧失了大片国际原油市场份额,倘若伊拉克因为政治原因导致其石油资产缩水,为了维护OPEC老二地位,伊拉克必然会开足马力运行原油生产设施,而伊朗为提升其在OPEC的话语权也有可能不会放过这一千载难逢的机会。
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