ATFX：特斯拉召回110万辆汽车，约为四年来在华销量综合

5month12日，国际市场监督总局发布《特斯拉汽车（北京）有限公司、特斯拉（上海）有限公司召回部分进口及国产Model 3 、Model Y汽车》通知，其中提到：自2023year5month29日起，召回生产日期在2019year1month12Solstice2023year4month24日期间的部分进口Model S、 Model X 、Model 3及国产Model 3 、Model Y汽车，共计1104622辆。对于召回的原因，文件中提到：没有允许驾驶员选择能量回收制动策略；同时，对驾驶员长时间深度踩下加速踏板的情况可能没有提供足够提醒。


需要提醒的时，召回并非“回炉重造”，而是对局部进行升级改造。本次召回的特斯拉汽车，将会进行远程升级（OTA）技术，推送新开发的功能，以降低因长时间深踩加速踏板导致速度过快引起的碰撞风险。所以，110万辆左右的特斯拉汽车召回，仅仅意味着软件升级，而非“退货退款”，该事件对特斯拉的业绩面冲击不大，只是会一定程度降低其品牌价值。受此消息影响，上周五美盘时段，特斯拉股价出现2.38%的显著跌幅，股票市场持有者的信心受到冲击。


纯技术角度看，特斯拉的长期趋势依旧是空头。2021year11Month to2022year4In January, Tesla's daily stock price formed a triple peak, and the early bullish trend completely ended.2022year5Since the beginning of the month, the daily stock price has experienced two significant rebounds, but none of them have been able to change the bearish trend structure. At the beginning of this month, Tesla's stock price fell below the trend line of its second rebound, indicating the beginning of a new round of downtrend. Current market price167.98美元，长期下跌目标位在120The US dollar, which means a rebound2The rising point of.

需要提醒的是，特斯拉的总市值高达5324.13亿美元，属于大盘蓝筹股，其股价走势除了与自身业绩面相关外，还和美国的宏观经济以及货币政策有关。由于美国经济有可能因为高利率和高通胀而出现衰退，美联储5月份有可能是最后一次加息，所以美国的货币政策存在持续宽松的可能，所以特斯拉的股价有旺盛受到来自货币政策层面的利多提振。

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There are risks in the market, and investment needs to be cautious. The above content only represents the analyst's personal views and does not constitute any operational suggestions. Please do not consider this report as the sole reference. At different times, analysts' perspectives may change, and updates will not be notified separately.

2023-05-15