Jiang Xinhong:9.1Analysis of the Rising and Falling Trends of Gold and Crude Oil in the Evening Market and Suggestions for US Market Operation

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　　goldLatest market analysis:

Analysis of Gold News: Thursday（9month1During the Asian and European period, spot gold fluctuated slightly and briefly hit7month22Recently, it has reached a new low1702.16dollar/Ounces, Federal Reserve officials continue to signal to the market that they are actively tightening monetary policy9Monthly interest rate increase75The expectation of basis points further heats up, and the US dollar index remains above20Near the annual high, gold prices continue to be under pressure; eurozone8The monthly inflation rate has jumped to a record high, indicating that the European Central Bank will implement multiple significant interest rate hikes. The Bank of England9Monthly interest rate hike expected50The attraction of gold will be further depressed because the rise of interest rate will increase the opportunity cost of holding gold. Technical bearish signals further strengthen, and gold prices tend to fluctuate in the future to explore7Monthly low point1680Support near the gate.

Overall, major central banks around the world, particularly the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank9Monthly interest rate hike75The expectation of one basis point has significantly suppressed the gold price, followed by a strong US dollar to suppress the gold price. The gold price has initially fallen behind the daily level Bollinger offline track, and the Bollinger offline track has begun to open. The technical bearish signal has further increased, and the gold price tends to move downward along the Bollinger offline track in the future, which is expected to be further explored1680Support near the gate. The main hope for bulls temporarily lies in the deterioration of future US employment data or the escalation of the geopolitical situation. In the short term, this possibility is relatively small. Focus on the United States on this trading day8monthISMmanufacturingPMIData and changes in the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the United States, pay attention to the speech of Atlanta Fed Chairman Bostick, and keep an eye on geopolitical news.

Technical analysis of gold: After a narrow range of low fluctuations in the gold market yesterday, there was another decline in the European session, falling to1710Below, the evening market was also affected by the false break trend of the US Index, and the gold rebounded first to measure pressure1723On the first line, it began to fall back in the middle of the night and eventually broke through1710The daily line will close one more shade. Judging from the rhythm of gold's movement yesterday, gold does not have its own momentum of movement at present, and it is completely passive under the influence of the US Index, and market sentiment also magnifies the risk of this passive movement. Currently, gold on the daily line has been continuously declining4Technically, it is expected that the market will hit yesterday1700Nearby, the market hyped up non agricultural expectations for the next two days, and the market was able to stop the decline and stabilize, but the overnight trend did not proceed as expected, mainly due to the impact of abnormal fluctuations in the US index. So according to the daily structure, gold may continue to decline today, while the lower lows are focused on1700-1695The Belt Support Test shows that although the daily level is already oversold, whether the market can stop falling and rebound in this region depends on the operating status of the US index and whether the market will hype up non farm expectations to dilute the expectation of the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hike.

　　再一次来到了金九银十的时候，这个阶段时段季度都是行情相对偏好的阶段，也是这个阶段利润相对较大，所以称之为金九银十，所以当下的走势环境和趋势结构重点留意。同时也需要风险防范。其次是针对短期的结构到了年尾阶段的最后一个季度，行情多数出现两边拉锯宽幅拉锯的情况居多，所以当下的行情顺应趋势结构的同时，也需要留意行情的往返折返，而目前的走势结构偏弱，关注延续情况。

　　趋势结构，自1802Since the first line of decline, there have been several rebounds and turns in the middle. The rebound and fall are all ups and downs in the downward process, and the true amplitude is mainly the downward trend that follows the downward trend. Therefore, the current trend structure is still dominated by bearish, followed by the strength of the rebound. If the rebound is blocked, it is the time to enter the bearish market. In terms of intraday layout, the main focus was still on the short market, rebounding into the short market. Yesterday, the thinking rebounded to1720/22The front line follows the sky, and the opportunity given in the evening also conforms to the downward trend, achieving a rhythm of weak main air structure. We still pay attention to it in the day1720一线机会触及，给到机会则继续跟空看回落。

　　黄金目前在日线走势上继续维持着较好的震荡下行走势，在H4Current level trendKThe line is basically following the short-term moving average and is fluctuating downwards, with the current trend continuing to be weaker. Short term follow-up1710The pressure in the area is focused on whether there will be a second downward trend after confirming the rebound within the day. At present, the bearish divergence trend in the hourly level is also maintaining a good trend. In summary, Jiang Xinhong's suggestion for today's gold trading strategy is to focus mainly on short selling through rebound, supplemented by long selling through pullback, with short-term attention from above1712-1717Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1690-1685一线支撑。文章只能给您一个暂时的方向和想法，至于具体的进场点和解套时机，请关注蒋鑫鸿的官微：jxh2357Will be provided in real-time.

　　crude oilLatest market analysis:

Analysis of crude oil news: Oil prices continued to decline on Wednesday, falling nearly4%, falling below90USD level,OPEC+8The monthly oil production has increased to2020At its highest level since the early stages of the pandemic in, Libya's facilities have recovered from turmoil, and Gulf member states have increased production, gradually reducing the previously agreed production reduction capacity with allies. At the same time, due to concerns about a further slowdown in the global economy,OPEC+Believing that the growth of oil demand is at risk, fearing that the demand of the entire Western country will be disrupted, and market concerns about the global economic recession continue to put pressure on oil prices. On the other hand, the finance ministers of the Group of Seven will discuss the issue of setting a Price ceiling on Russian oil proposed by the US side at the meeting today, so as to push the global energy price back. In terms of the US Iran peace talks, although the Vienna talks have made positive progress and the differences between the parties are gradually narrowing, the reality is that although the remaining differences in the negotiations are not many, the content is very important. It will take some time to reach an agreement in the end. However, the overall direction is not conducive to the trend of crude oil prices, and oil prices remain low and volatile in the short term.

Technical analysis of crude oil: Yesterday, crude oil closed negative again on the daily line, forming a double negative streak and taking back the previous upward space, approaching the previous low point again, reaching its highest point yesterday92.73.Lowest downlink to88.20. Basically in line with the range given yesterday, yesterday was the first to92.70Directly open the front line to complete the bag placement. At the end of the trading day, it rebounded to91.55The first line will continue to bear pressure and close lower, and the last day will rebound and correct before closing lower. The next day, the market will continue to decline, which means that today's short-term market will still break through yesterday's low. Therefore, the next goal is to approach87.0-86.0Near the low point.4The hour chart shows a wave of rebound and a golden gun like return, with a slow rise and a fast fall. After consecutive negative declines, it closed at a low level. At present, the moving average indicator has not yet fully turned downward. After today's decline, pay attention to the low point or there may still be some fluctuations, and the late trading rebound91.55After being under pressure in the vicinity, a small level of suppression was formed. Today, the Asian market took the lead in short air, and after watching a wave of inertia fall, the bag was promptly dropped. As for the lower part86.0Is it considered to have one more short backhand in the area and arrange it in combination with the form during the session. The first touch may allow for one ultra short line operation, with the target space depending on the shape. Overall, Jiang Xinhong suggests that the short-term operation strategy for crude oil today should mainly focus on rebounding from high altitude, supplemented by going long by stepping back, with a focus on short-term operations above89.5-90.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below86.0-85.5一线支撑。行情实时变化，添加笔者蒋鑫鸿微信（jxh2357）Get daily market analysis, unpacking strategies, and guidance on medium - and long-term layout. We welcome like-minded individuals to come and have a long conversation!

　　面临亏损你必须知道的事：

　　一：喜欢抄底/顶，每当行情处于历史低位/高位的价格，心里就乐开了花，一到低位/高位就开始布.局，但没想到，既然一个价格已经创出了历史新低/高，那么很可能还会出现另一个新低/高一抄一个损；

　　二：不愿止损，往往都是抱有一种侥幸心理，因为有时候发现止损后价格过不了多久就回来了，因此下次就也抱着这种希望，但往往不止损的后果都是更严重的大亏或爆仓，这在长久的投资中是万万不可行的，“截断亏损，让利润奔跑”，确实是至理名言；

　　三：不敢顺势追：许多朋友都有恐低/高症，认为黄金已经跌下去了，再去追空被.set.住了怎么办？其实涨跌与价位的高低并没有什么必然的联系，蒋鑫鸿认为关键在于“势”，在上涨趋势形成后介入，这种操作方式是很安全的，而且短期内获利巨大，这种恐低或恐高不仅会造成错失利润，还会造成第一点的抄底或抄顶的情况，从而导致亏损。

　　蒋鑫鸿寄语：对于我而言，不管你是不是我的实仓客户，因为什么而套的单，因为什么而亏损，这都会令我感到惋惜和同情。惋惜为什么你们总是在套。单或是亏损时才找到我，同情为什么你们明知道在一个地方亏的不能再亏的时候还执着的在那里硬扛。这种得不偿失的事情蒋鑫鸿不想再一直强调，希望投资者们能有自己分析明辨的能力。现在有一个机会摆在你面前，你可以选择继续观望，但你的投资生涯依然不会有任何改变，一念非凡还是一念人间，选择在你。选择正确的指导，蒋鑫鸿帮你建立自己的投资思路，使你能长远走下去的最好方法，添加蒋鑫鸿共创辉煌。

I am Jiang Xinhong (WeChat:jxh2357，公众号：蒋鑫鸿），我为交易而生，如果你有什么不懂得可以随时关注我，本文由蒋鑫鸿独家撰写，投资有风险，交易需谨慎。贸然入市是愚者，找对人了是智者。一条小船在海里漂流，如果你不扬帆，那么就永远在大海里漂流。目前对全球金融市场（例如国际黄金，TDGold and silver, crude oil,foreign exchangeandfuturesThe market has in-depth and unique insights. Every analysis is not an emotional game, nor is it an emotional release. Each opening and closing position is a professional performance. Jiang Xinhong carefully wrote each analysis report and conveyed valuable investment ideas, hoping for value for money and income.