Xiao Yizhou:7.11Gold fluctuates downward, with analysis of midday trends and forward-looking operational strategies.

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Xiao Yizhou - The following is an analysis of the latest trend of gold and crude oil during the day and specific operational strategies

Gold trend analysis

加息的消息还在市场上发酵，距离加息节点还有一周有余，黄金还需要最后一跌。黄金市场上的拐点是尖的，而不是那么做K线横着的结构，所以黄金还有最后一跌。

现在大趋势还是空，黄金并没有明显的反转信号，在此之前放空才是主题。1746一线存在压力，同时4小时中轨也压制金价难以上行，等黄金稍稍反弹可立即干空。

周线的角度来看，近期主题思路还是要放空的，因为上周是一根大阴线，基本无下引线，市场不是轻易转向的，还是那句话，黄金并没有明显的反转信号，在此之前放空才是主题。

Operational strategy: Gold1746Empty, stop loss1755, Objective1730-1724

Analysis of crude oil trend

目前原油基本面维持供需不变格局，从供应端来看，OPEC+The production restriction agreement has not yet ended, and currently the market widely believes that even if the production restriction agreement expires, relevant countries are unlikely to complete large-scale production increase in a very short period of time. The overall bearish situation is controllable, and the market is more concerned about changes in demand expectations. Due to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, which has changed the trade structure of the global energy market, demand in the European market is also declining. High energy prices have severely disrupted demand in Europe, even overturning previous expectations of a significant increase and turning them into a downward trend. Coupled with the Federal Reserve's continuous interest rate hikes and balance-sheet tightening actions, commodities, including crude oil, are facing increasing pressure.

原油价格近期走势相对纠结，在6月中旬冲击高点未果之后，基本处于震荡下行的态势，并且在上周一度跌破100美元这一重要关口。日线级别，布林带有收口迹象，价格整体运行于下行通道之中，而布林中轨的压制尤为明显，价格两次触及到中轨后都快速下跌，整体走势呈阶梯式下行。4小时，布林带走平，价格连续反弹之后在前期顶底转换位置横盘震荡，日内短线需关注此位置的破位情况，也就是105.5On the first line, if the price does not break, the probability of the future market will still revolve around100美元附近继续保持低位震荡走势，日内操作思路上萧毅舟建议原油反弹做空即可。上方阻力关注105；

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