4.22Seeking opportunities for gold to break up and down, a new round of decline in crude oil begins and its ups and downs resolve...

Investment philosophy:

Is investment a balance between long-term and short-term, between oneself and the market, or between expectations and reality. From a micro perspective, investment is also a balance between data and perception, an absolute and relative balance. Of course, investment is still a balance between long and short positions, a balance between risk and return, and a balance between persistence and abandonment. Investment is a balanced art. Only by understanding balance and trade-offs can one be considered mature and not burdened by stubbornness.

Li Xiaohan has a saying that I want to give to investment friends. When investing, the first thing you need to do is to wait for good opportunities to enter the market. In today's investment market, you must not use your beautiful imagination to speculate how much return the market can give you. You will be educated by the market very badly, and even lose everything. Therefore, if you really want to make money by investing well, please do not keep complaining about how much you have lost, If the market is like a trap, reflect on the reasons why you have been losing money. Finding and solving problems is the key. In order to be responsible for your own funds, please take every entry seriously. Planning before doing it, and observing it calmly after doing it, it is only a matter of time before you lose money and make a profit. Being eager for quick success and instant benefits is always a taboo. If you can be inspired, I believe that you will soon be able to break free from losses and slowly embark on the right path of investment. What I want you to remember is: small water flows long, and the aftertaste is endless. Maintain your original intention and remain evergreen forever.

SilverTDMarket trend analysis:

Technical aspect: At the monthly level, silver breaks through the high point5300Afterwards, continue to break up to the moving averageMA5At pressure5460。 It should be noted thatMA5The moving average is flat without any signs of upward or downward pressure, and it is also the pressure point on the upper edge of the downward channel. This line is crucial for silver to break through the downward channel and successfully stand on itMA5Above the moving average, if you cannot stand up, the trend will still be running in the downward channel, and if the bulls digest it, it will fall at any time. The general trend can leave opportunities for central line layout. From the weekly perspective, it was sunny last week and the support was moved up5300/5320Today, every time you touch this support position, you can operate multiple orders. The pressure above the daily line is formed by5540/5560,Today, the main focus is on pullback and long trading, while the main focus is on short trading without breaking through light positions at high positions.

　　goldMarket trend analysis:

Message: Thursday(4month22day)The international gold price has fallen from an eight week high set within the day, as the US dollar index rebounded. However, the continued weakness in US bond yields and the US dollar index is expected to limit the potential for gold price correction. The gold price is still bullish in the future, with the upper target looking towards1815USD.

Wednesday(4month21day)Gold price increases0.85%The continuous warming of the global pandemic has increased the attractiveness of safe haven gold, and the decline in US dollar and bond yields further supports the rise in gold prices. However, the continued high operation of the stock market has limited the upward trend of gold prices, and the accelerated vaccination rate in the United States has also boosted expectations of economic recovery, which will also have a certain drag on gold. Focus on the European Central Bank's interest rate resolution and initial request data for the day, and predict bullish gold prices.

Technical aspect: Gold fell and rebounded yesterday, closing higher, returning first1776Starting from the low point and stabilizing on the front line, with a chronic downward trend in a washing pattern. During the US market period, it started to stabilize and rebound, holding above the neckline while stepping back5The daily chart opens steadily and pulls the moving average index upwards. The daily chart is still in a rebound trend, accompanied by repeated downward explorations and rebounds to drive the indicator to reverse upwards. Combined with the previous double bottom rebound, it is currently in the stage of consolidation and accumulation, and the pace may be slow. However, maintaining a low level before falling below the critical point is the main idea,4The retracement correction of the hour in the upward channel shifts upward with the support of the upward trend line over time1775Nearby, it was also the previous breakthrough in the neck line. This is the short-term bullish critical point, which may be accompanied by a market wash in the short term. However, relying on the critical point to buy remains unchanged, and adjusting the strategy after falling below it. Overall, despite a slight rebound in gold prices yesterday, the previous day's bullish bullish candlestick has put pressure on short-term resistance to gold prices,1hourkThe line rises higher than the wave, and the high point continues to reach new highs,kThe line is clearly located in the ascending channel, and the multi head structure is intact. The Bollinger Belt track still tilts upwards without changing,kAt present, the line has indeed touched the middle rail, which is also an opportunity for multiple entry orders. The middle rail has strong support,50The moving average is showing an upward tilt, and there is no sign of a U-turn. Overall, the gold market is currently hindered by1798-1800One line of resistance, below1788Supported.1798-1788The range fluctuates, and I personally believe that there is a high probability of gold breaking through the level in the future market. Li Xiaohan suggests that the main idea is to retreat and lower.

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis:

Message: Thursday(4month22day)The international oil price fell for the third day in a row, as the US crude oil inventory unexpectedly increased, and the cases of India and Japan COVID-19 surged again, causing concern about the global economic recovery and the possible slowdown of fuel demand.

US President Biden's government has expressed willingness to relax restrictions on Iran's oil, finance, steel, aluminum, automotive, and other industries, but Iran hopes to see more specific measures that will help narrow negotiation differences. The nuclear negotiations between the United States and Iran are moving in a positive direction. If the United States lifts some sanctions on Iran's oil sector, Iran, as a current OPEC production reduction exemption country, will also experience a sudden influx of large inventories into the market, which will have a negative impact on oil prices.

Technical aspect: Daily view, not ruled outNYMEXCrude oil is still in its natural state57.98Adjustment of USD opening(4)In the waves, from64.38The downward trend of the US dollar openingCWaves are(4)The sub waves of the waves, looking towards the support belowCWavelike38.2%Target bit60.30USD.4In the hourly level, the market is stuck on the lower line of the Bollinger Bands, and auxiliary indicators are also showing signs of rebound. It is not ruled out that they will touch the market62.40It is possible for radicals to try short-term long positions, but the main operation for the day should still be to sell short positions with the trend. oil price1The downward trend in the hourly chart is too steep, and a restorative rebound is inevitable64.37The downward trend of the US dollar opening2The waves have broken through61The US dollar level, it is an upward trend1wave(57.63-64.37dollar)of50%Fibonacci returns to gear, with downward support looking towards61.8%Fibonacci return gear60.20USD.1Waves and2Waves are all from57.63The upward trend of the US dollar opening(5)The sub waves of the waves.

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