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汉声:CPI意外降温,黄金低位反弹!

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昨晚美国6monthCPI意外录得2020年以来首次环比负增长,核心通胀同步放缓,美元7月加息预期大幅下降,现货gold价格应声暴涨,金价直线冲高至4101.54dollar/盎司,日内最大涨幅超过100美元,但随后金价回落重新调整,最终报收4052.58dollar/Ounces, up1.29%
today(Wednesday)现货黄金开盘4053.17dollar/盎司,最高在4061.88dollar/盎司,早盘金价短线整理后回落,最低至4029.08dollar/ounce! In the morning, the Shanghai Gold Exchange showed that879.12.element/Ke, the Han Sheng Gold Investment Platform of the Hong Kong Gold Exchange is displayed on4038dollar/Running around ounces.
U.S.A6Monthly and quarterly adjustmentsCPIAnnual rate recorded3.5%(市场预期为3.8%);美国6After adjusting the roseCPIMonthly rate recorded-0.4%, for2020year4月以来最大降幅。
U.S.A6Monthly and quarterly adjustment coreCPIAnnual rate recorded2.6%(市场预期为2.8%);美国6Monthly and quarterly adjustment coreCPIMonthly rate recorded0%, for2021year1月来最小增幅,市场预期为0.2%。
U.S.A6Monthly Consumer Price Index(CPI)不仅远低于市场预期,更是自2020年疫情初期以来首次出现环比萎缩。同比来看,6monthCPI年率由上月的4.2%Significant decline to3.5%。此外,数据显示,6月未季调能源通胀年率从之前的23.5%Sudden drop to15.7%。
据分析称,本次通胀放缓并非偶然,能源价格的显著回落起到了决定性作用。剔除波动较大的食品和能源后的核心CPI表现同样稳健。目前市场预计美联储将在2026年维持利率不变,前提是目前的中东紧张局势降温且油价保持受控。
in the U.S.CPI数据公布的同时,美联储新任主席沃什正在国会发表其立场强硬的证词。沃什表示,美联储对持续的高通胀保持“零容忍”,并致力于恢复价格稳定,过去五年的通胀激增终将成为历史。
美伊局势方面,伊朗官方称,已不再存在伊美谅解备忘录,敌人已正式进入战争状态。只要美国继续对伊朗实施袭击,该地区就不会出口一滴石油和天然气。
特朗普称,霍尔木兹海峡对除伊朗以外的所有船只开放。我已决定取消“美国20%补偿费”这一要求,改为用海湾国家与美国达成的贸易和投资协议替代。这些投资的规模将是巨大的。伊朗永远不会拥有核武器!
Short term intraday trading advice:
Let's first look at the gold price4020-4065区间震荡运行,如突破该区间时上行目标看4075-4085, or4100Nearby; The downward target is4012-4002, or3993Near.
Attached is the gold trend chart:
汉声:CPI意外降温,黄金低位反弹!799 / author:SinoSound / PostsID:1737199
文章来源香港黄金交易所·汉声集团官网以及汉声金业APP摘取整理后发表,转载著明来源。
Kind reminder: The gold market fluctuates greatly, and there are risks involved in investment. Please make cautious decisions within your own risk tolerance range.

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