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2026year7month9Analysis of the Japanese Gold Market

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2026year7month9daygoldquotations analysis
Fundamentals:
短期宏观利空占优,地缘因素反向利空,央行购金托底,整体偏空震荡格局,反弹更多视为修复行情,趋势反转还需要美联储释放降息信号 。

Technical aspect:
从日线图来看,昨日日线收中阴线,吞没前两日反弹涨幅,高点下移、低点刷新,结束阶段性反弹行情;价格回落至短期5Day10日均线下方,短期均线拐头向下形成压力,4135由支撑转变为短期强阻力,日线级别短期趋势由震荡偏强转为弱势调整。指标MACD0轴上方红色动能柱明显缩量,快慢线有死叉迹象,多头动能快速衰减;KDJ高位死叉向下运行,进入空头区间;RSIFallback to44附近,低于50中性线,市场空头情绪占上风,但并未进入超卖区间,后续仍有下行空间;布林带由收口转为微微开口,金价回落至布林带下轨附近运行,中下轨区间运行代表盘面偏弱。
Resistance:4135,4175?4180;
Support:4060?4070,4000
操作思路:反弹到4135轻空,目标4070Stop loss4165.


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