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Li Wen Dianjin:11.15美联储三巨头同步发话黄金多空再迎关键考验后市最新操作策略

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Message face:11month14day(Thursday),全球市场聚焦美联储“豪华”阵容闪亮登场,在隔夜鲍威尔国会作证之后,今天鲍威尔将再赴国会,此外今天美联储还有不下八位官员将陆续发表讲话,人数几乎接近了美联储现有理事和地区联储主席的一半,阵容堪称豪华,尤其值得注意的是,美联储“三巨头”罕见的同日登场,势将掀起市场的大行情!关乎经贸局势,在今天的中国商务部例行发布会上,发言人高峰针对第一阶段经贸协议又有了最新的表态。由于市场不确定性加剧,市场避险需求升温,金价持续反弹,日内一度冲上1470关口,最高1470.40dollar/盎司,距离最低水平拉升近10美元;美元/避险日元也持续下挫,最低跌至108.55。美元指数徘徊于98.30附近。分析指出,美联储鲍威尔讲话之后,再加上最新的通胀数据,市场已然推迟美联储降息时间,或将提振美元指数,进而限制gold的反弹空间!

 

  黄金:黄金日线来看,金价暂自低位小幅反弹,MACD绿色动能柱略微缩窄,隔夜金价反弹力度较小,受到周一高点附近阻力压制,下方留意上一交易日低点1456附近支撑,若回落至该位置下方,则增加短线下行风险;不过金价在1446关键位置获得支撑,局部出现类似“启明之星”的底部信号,KDJ也有金叉趋势,短线下行风险有所减弱,且存在进一步反弹机会,隔夜高点阻力在1467附近,上周高点阻力在1473Nearby;100Daily moving average resistance1478附近,若不能顶破该阻力,则金价仍有重回跌势的风险。

  

Gold4小时来看,震荡反弹,目前KDJ重新结成死叉随机指标重新走高,MACD红色柱持续扩张,指示黄金短线反支撑较强,接下来将展开反弹之势。不过布林带缩口后走平,留意布林线轨道1450-1470区域突破情况;短线偏向试探布林线上轨1470附近阻力,若金价坚守布林线中轨1460支撑,并上破布林线上轨1471附近阻力,则将打开新的反弹空间,进一步阻力在1480一线;若下破布林带中轨1460下方,那么将会试探布林带下轨1450支撑。综合来看,今日午夜短线操作思路上李文点金个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注1473-1475Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1458-1460Frontline support.

  

Latest operating suggestions for gold:

  

  1The rebound above the gold does not break1473-1475Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1465-1467frontline;

  

  2The pullback below the gold does not break1458-1460Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1468-1470frontline;

 

  crude oil:原油方面,昨晚公布的月度短期能源展望报告则指出,2019年全球原油需求增速预期料下调910000 barrels/Solstice7510000 barrels/Day;2020Expected increase in global crude oil demand growth rate in710000 barrels/Solstice13710000 barrels/日。欧佩克秘书长巴尔金都周三也表示,2020年原油需求增速预期可能会上升。相信欧佩克+country2020年将继续落实其减产协议,并持续到2020year3月。但就是否需要深化减产的问题,近期各大机构仍没有统一的意见,还请留意欧佩克产油国相关的表态和今日EIA库存数据影响。

  

  原油近期都是宽幅震荡行情,而昨天油价在触及下方第一个支撑56.2后反弹加之消息面影响强势拉升改变日内走势,日线以大阳线收尾,油价持续维持高位盘整姿态,4On the hourMACD金叉再次形成,红色能量柱开始发散,4hourS5趋势交易系统支撑在57Nearby,1小时级别来看油价MACD金叉还在但是红色能量柱缩量,早间油价冲高后短期内无法突破上方58压制,短期油价面临回落,第一支撑Ema20Daily moving average at57附近,第二支撑56.5附近,那么操作上我们依然保持低多操作即可。综合来看,今日午夜短线操作思路上李文点金个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注58.4-58.6Frontline resistance, short-term focus below56.8-57.0Frontline support.

  

Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:

  

  1The rebound above the crude oil does not break58.4-58.6Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target57.6-57.8frontline;

  

  2The downward correction of crude oil does not break56.8-57.0Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target57.8-58.0frontline;

  

This article is exclusively planned by Li Wen Dianjin. Please indicate the source when reprinting. The above content is for reference.

  

Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00(周末也从不停歇,可供随时咨询)入  市有风险,投资需谨慎。

  

  撰稿人:李文点金

  

  李文点金赠言:我有利,客无利,则客之不存;客有利,我无利,则我之不存;我利大,客利小,则客之不久;客利大,我利小,则客留我长久。
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