Liang Qiandong5.14警惕追涨杀跌的陷阱？黄金原油实时策略走势分析

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An excellent trader is often a diligent and shrewd person. They are willing to accept new ideas, on the contrary, their purpose in trading is not to make money, but just to do a good job. Because if you do it right, you will naturally make money. Successful traders are always constantly improving their skills, and for them, achieving their best level is more important than making money. A successful trader is a realist. He knows his abilities and limitations. He understands what is happening in the market and knows how to respond. He needs to comprehensively analyze the market, observe his own reactions, and formulate realistic operational plans. Amateur investors cannot afford to fantasize.

goldTechnical analysis:

Wednesday（5month13日）亚洲时段，美元指数围绕100大关震荡，北京时间周三(5month13day)21:00美联储主席鲍威尔将就经济问题发表讲话，将讨论他对经济和美联储政策行动的看法，预计鲍威尔将表示当前没有实施负利率的计划。英镑自三周低点回升，英国3monthGDP月率好于预期。新西兰联储维持在0.25%历史最低水平不变，符合市场预期，但未来存在负利率的可能性，购债规模如市场预期扩大至600亿纽元，纽元重挫近百点。现货黄金依旧深陷震荡模式，围绕1700的争夺依旧未能分出胜负，美联储梅斯特表示，在考虑负利率前会尝试其他工具。国际油价整体承压，但依旧在高位交投，因多空因素各有，一方面供需而言油市均有利多，但另一方面库存数据对油价依旧是负面影响。

goldK线连续两个工作日处于一个高位震荡整盘阶段，昨日K线实收小阳线一根上方压力位1718-1723.Lower support position1695一线；整体波动不算太大一直处于一个区间20美金的跨度徘徊，目前来看MA5AndMA10Equal-line adhesion1700平行发散，K线处于一个交粘位走势，也就是说1700还是一个分水岭位置，破位1700则下看至1680-1670位置，未破依然还是上看至1725-1740Location.

从技术面来看MACD均线处于双线下行走势绿色能量柱的放量逐渐缩短，整体盘面还是处于一个弱空走势，整体K线梁乾东个人觉得还是会处于一个震荡走势，4Looking at the hour lineK线处于布林带中轨横盘走势，布林带通轨也是处于缓慢收袋平行，上方压力位1718-1723, lower support position1695frontline; Technically speakingKDJ上扬至80轴受压下拐三线平行RSI均线小幅上拐并行。MACD均线双线交粘并行下扬绿色能量柱缓慢放量。综合来看黄金偏向弱空操作上梁乾东建议反弹高空为主。

Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal views and does not constitute a specific operation. The article has a lag effect, and based on this operation, one is responsible for their own profits and losses. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.

crude oilTechnical analysis:

Wednesday（5month13日）亚洲时段，国际油价盘中走弱，但整体仍维持4月中旬来最高水平附近。此前美国政府下调了今年原油产量预测，EIAThe monthly report has been lowered2020Year and2021年的原油产量预测。尽管石油市场供应仍然大幅过剩，但全球库存增长正在放缓。沙特阿拉伯计划额外减产10010000 barrels/日，缓解了对于全球储油设施接近极限的担忧。

技术面来看，周二原油亚盘启稳在24.20上方整理，欧盘发力去摸高收复昨日的回落失地，日线图横向整理后了蓄势向上。日线录得一根小阳线，MACDandKDJGolden fork operation,5Daily moving average10日均线结成金叉，市场看多情绪显着增加，原油日线上走震荡上扬的形态，K线受短期5Rihe10日均线的支撑一路震荡上行，昨日晚间原油最高触及26.2一线回落，油价以阳线报收。

原油日线录得一根小阳线，MACDandKDJGolden fork operation,5Daily moving average10日均线结成金叉，市场看多情绪显着增加，原油上周延续低位反弹，周线收盘中阳线，周K线连阳底部反弹，打破了此前弱势下跌格局，转为反弹当中。多头趋势不改，本周一再强调，短线不失守23.2多头整理蓄势过程，留意晚间日线整理多头放量。4From an hourly perspective, the three tracks of the Bollinger Belt run upwards with a contracted mouth,MA5均线呈死叉拐头向上，K线交投于布林中轨上方，MACD快慢线位于零轴上方呈死叉缓和向右走平指标表现中性，KDJ三线交金叉向上发散运行，油价短线表现震荡偏强形态。综合分析今日操作上梁乾东建议低多为主，下方关注24-24.5Short term support, top focus26.8-27.3Short term resistance.
　　山雨欲来风满楼，若是说不经意间的大涨总是令人措手不及，那么不经意的大跌让人防不胜防，在市场持续的震荡调整的局势里，大跌和大涨总是会悄悄的来到，当你注意到它的时候，它就悄悄的溜走了，仿佛没有来过，但总留下让我们无可奈何的印记，之后市场又开始了修复调整那些大涨大跌留下的痕迹，周而复始；当机会来到你的面前的时候，抓住了这就是属于你的收获，抓不住的时候它可能会成为你的折磨，也可能会让你无奈，又要等待下一次入场的时机。