尚金汇：8.28Early evaluation of Jackson Hole annual meeting causing US dollar to fall and gold to rise (with crude oil analysis attached)

　尚金汇：8.28Early evaluation of Jackson Hole annual meeting causing a decline in the US dollargoldGreat increase (attached)crude oilAnalysis)
　　
　　上周前四个交易日，黄金在美朝之间的紧张气氛、白宫的乱局以及特朗普的政策进展中跌宕起伏，两日上涨、两日下跌；但周五（8month25Gold has set a new record6The highest closing price since the beginning of the month. New York Mercantile Exchange12Monthly delivery of goldfuturesrise in price5.90USD or0.5%, closing at1297.90dollar/ounce; Accumulated gains throughout the week's trading0.5%
　　
　　当日晚上10:00Yellen delivered a speech at the central bank's annual meeting, but unexpectedly avoided discussing monetary policy, only emphasizing the importance of financial regulation and the robustness of the financial system; Afterwards, although European Central Bank President Draghi did not make a statement on the direction of monetary policy and interest rates, he showed confidence in the recovery of the European economy. The US dollar suffered a second blow, and after Draghi's speech, it briefly fell to last year5Low point since the end of the month92.279Spot gold has once again risen and broken through1290Pass and maintain above that level.
　　
　　在美联储加息预期减退、美元疲软的支撑下，金价近来一直在1300Below the line, there has been a wide range of fluctuations, maintaining a certain upward momentum, and it is expected to continue brewing in the future1300Attack at the checkpoint. This week, the market will usher in Data Week, with the second quarter in the United StatesGDPAnnual seasonal rate correction value7Monthly CorePCEPrice index8The release of a series of data such as monthly non farm payroll will become a test of gold. In addition, the bulls are still closely monitoring the situation in North Korea, political developments at the White House, and progress on Trump's economic policies. Last Friday, The New York Times quoted insiders as saying that Trump's chief economic advisor, Cohen, had carefully considered resigning from the White House and had even drafted a resignation letter; On Saturday morning, North Korea test fired multiple missiles, suspected to protest against the joint military exercises between the United States and South Korea; This Wednesday, Trump will deliver an important speech on tax reform. The bullish sentiment in the gold market continues to rise.
　　
　　黄金日内分析：从日线上看上周五收下影线特别长的阳线，自1300The market, which had been calm for a week after falling back, finally chose to continue its upward breakthrough and stand on last Friday evening1290There is no doubt that the bullish trend has been established. From a four hour perspective, after the sharp decline of gold, a large bullish line emerged, engulfing the previous large bearish line in one fell swoop. The bullish trend has been confirmed without a doubt. This large bullish line indicates that gold will continue to rise in the future, and the upward structure of gold has not been broken, even the sharp decline last Friday18The US dollar has not broken through either1275And the entity has not fallen below it1280Gold has been running above the upward trend line, and in the long run, it is expected to1204The upward trend since then will continue to run along the trend line, and from the hourly chart, the Bollinger Bands will open in a trumpet shape,KThe line runs along the upper band of the Bollinger BandsRSIIndicator in50Continue to run upwards from above,KDJThe third line is50The upward spiral is about to form a golden cross, and the intraday gold price will continue its upward trend.
　　
　　日内操作：1291-1293Multiple entry nearby, target1298Stop loss1290, upper resistance level1300, lower support1288。
　　
　　原油思路：原油之前连续震荡下跌，最后在前一周五大涨，但随后是上周一的暴跌，一来一回进入了震荡，上周EIAData surge48.5The decline in the market is accompanied by a gradual downward movement of the daily high point, so our concerns about short selling can be temporarily put aside. The key issue now is whether we can break through the level, which I am not referring to46But it's the rapid drop support of the hourly line46US dollar In the early stage, due to the slow decline of crude oil, the daily chart mostly ended in a large bearish and small bullish pattern, which led many people to view the decline of crude oil as a short-term level correction47The US dollar was seen as the daily support for crude oil and went long based on it, until last Wednesday's decline broke through, which confirmed the trend50.43The double tops are starting to see the correctness of the decline, which gives us more confidence in our operations. Wednesday sessionEIAAfter the decrease in inventory triggered an increase in oil prices, oil prices continued to decline in the following period, and were tested again during the trading session47At the checkpoint, although there was a rebound on Friday, the strength was not strong, and the weekly chart failed to turn positive. As a result, the weakness of the daily crude oil line was maintained. Therefore, it is not a problem to continue to go to high altitude crude oil at the beginning of the week. However, this volatile pattern may end this week, at the latest, it will be the end of the strong demand period for gasoline in the summer of the United States. For short selling, the first thing we need to pay attention to is46The support effect of the US dollar.
　　
Crude oil operation strategy:
　　
　　1Crude oil47.9Empty, target47.32USD;
　　
Wen/Shang Jinhui
　　
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