8.23早评：现货黄金原油行情分析

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晚上好！忙里偷闲的投资朋友们。



Advancing and retreating together with like-minded individuals!For decades, behind the halo of Warren Buffett, there has been a person standing silently, Charlie Munger. He said this sentence: You must do business with high-level people, never wrestle with a pig, because if you do this, both of you will get dirty, but the pig will enjoy it. Investment is a long way to go, although it's not just about seizing every moment, we shouldn't waste time and great opportunities in vain. Faced with the market situation, there is often a contradiction between technology and news in the market. At this time, the main test is investors' patience and choice. If they do not have enough patience, they either miss opportunities or fall into traps. Investing all the way, having a balance between profit and loss, and the impermanence of life is not only a posture in life, but also a norm in this capital market.

goldOperation suggestions:

1Bounce from above to1288Short selling, stop loss5USD, target1282-80

2、下方回撤1278-80Long, stop loss3US dollars, look at the target1288

3、若破位78to75Long, stop loss1272Look1282

crude oilOperation suggestions:

1，建议48.60Short nearby, stop loss49.00US dollars, look at the target47.70；

2，建议47.70Long nearby, stop loss47.60US dollars, look at the target48.50。

3，聚金生财实力官微：sq963175

下面从消息面和技术分析走势图给出综合判断。

Message surface:

黄金终于在上周五晚上今年一直期待的千三关口，最高点在1300.95美元。这其中的因素也是比较多的，北京时间周四深夜西班牙巴塞罗那市中心发生恐怖袭击，提振金价上行；周五凌晨美国国务卿警告可能军事应对朝鲜，随后国防部长马蒂斯重申了若朝鲜进一步跨越红线，美国将使用武力的意愿；加利福尼亚谋求独立公投等多重因素导致避险情绪持续发酵，助推黄金突破双顶压力触及千三关口。

亚市盘初，油价徘徊在近一周以来的高位附近。WTIcrude oil10monthfuturesTrading in48.68dollar/Near the barrel, the increase is approximately0.04%; Brent crude oil10Monthly futures trading on52.69dollar/Near the barrel, the decrease is approximately0.06%。投资者日内需聚焦OPEC维也纳会议，本次会议将针对加入减产协议的各大产油国如何提高减产执行率进行讨论并得出结果。从技术面上看，美油受到60日均线强劲支撑，本周有望冲击50dollar/桶大关。

Technical analysis of gold:

黄金走势分析：昨日黄金早间黄金跳空低开触及1280一线，随后亚欧盘早期行情便开始回升，到欧盘上市后金价再次上冲1289一线，随后小幅回撤1286一线，便再次上涨，美盘前夕维持在1288一线整理，随后便再次上冲高点到达1293一线，随着上冲高点受阻，美盘后段金价回落1288一线后目前再次上涨，今日重点关注黄金多头乏力以及1295一线。目前从黄金4小时图上，价格依托布林带中轨一线的支撑上冲布林带上轨一线目前受到压制，MA5,10日均线拐头上行，图指标上快慢线双线也有拐头上行的趋势，MACD绿色动能柱缩减；小时图上，价格自布林带下轨一线受到支撑不断上涨到布林带上轨一线并且突破了布林带上轨一线的压制运行在上轨上方，MA5Daily moving average10日均线形成金叉不断向上运行，图指标上快慢线金叉向上运行，红色动能柱放量明显；短线上黄金再次爆发多头，关注上方1295一线的压制，笔者建议黄金维持1300-1280大区间高估低渣为主，破位则顺势跟进！

Technical analysis of crude oil:

原油昨日晚间21:00之后已经换月，日线图来看，自上周四一根小十字星收盘后，行情出现反转。上周五一根大阳柱拉上去，却在周一被一根带有下影的阴线收回大部分涨幅。技术面来看，油价在昨日受到66Daily moving average and0.618的黄金分割线支撑，且5日均线位于收盘价47.54美元附近，亦可见下方支撑之强劲；另外5日均线持平运行，10日均线向下趋势放缓；MACD技术指标快慢线零轴之上运行，快线再次拐头向下，绿色能量柱持平运行；KDJ技术指标金叉后，随即粘合有成死叉趋势；威廉指标拐头向下运行。综合来看，笔者认为原油走震荡上行修复的可能性还是比较大的，建议日内回踩低多为主，高空为辅。

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