显江论金：午评，黄金在高位1289受阻，千三还有没有希望！

    In life, I often see some investors who are either trapped or lose everything they have, and then regret and blame themselves. Either they have to endure the pain of liquidation and exit the market, or they keep replenishing their positions, but the end result is still a cycle of losses. I want to use my own expertise and experience to help those friends recover their losses. Seeing those investment friends who choose to believe and trust me regain their confidence, I am also very pleased!!!




Message surface:


    北京时间周四凌晨开始，goldfrom1270美元迅速拉上，临近亚洲市场午盘逼近1290美元关口，半日涨幅达20USD.
    事实上，在朝美口水战主导市场背景下，黄金创下这一涨幅非常罕见。而这一次黄金反弹背后可能是：美联储释放”鸽派信号”、美国“政治分裂”新危机，以及投机客大举入场共同作用的结果。
    Federal Reserve7monthFOMC货币政策会议纪要显示，美联储官员就今年内开启缩表达成共识，但对通胀是否会持续疲软下行的看法不一，导致对年内加息路径存在 分歧。
    这动摇了市场此前普遍的观点：即“年内还有一次加息”。美元指数应声大跌近1%，美元对日元跌破110Da Guan.

图：美联储放鸽  美元遭重创

Gold market analysis:


    昨日黄金白盘维持在1270附近震荡，凌晨美联储会议纪要对通胀存分歧，鸽派基调提振黄金走高，重返至1280上方，日线收得一大阳线，贯穿突破5、10日线。目前黄金短期走势更多的还是依赖基本面的导向，当缺失基本的利好时，技术走势下依旧显弱，所以短期走势会存在一定的变数。在美联储会议纪要偏鸽派的影响下，日内黄金或有延续回升动能，关注1290-95一带再测试，技术上至此区域内依旧可尝试短空操作。


黄金短期走势变数加大，如预期的在周四出现短线多空转换，具体操作参考盘中实时策略安排。


Golden Operation Strategy:


     1、白盘若先测压至1290-92激进轻仓短空，1295不破补空，站稳1295上方则暂时止损，目标细看1285、1280分批减仓。


     2、若白盘在1290下方先有回落，回踩1282-80激进亦可尝试短多，止损1275, look at the goal1285即减仓




crude oilMarket analysis:


    原油昨日进一步破底收低，亚欧盘震荡反弹围绕48.0附近承压，整理时间较长。美盘稍晚时段，随着EIA的公布，数据稍微利好，但油价不升反降，探高后未能强势突破技术面的压力点，始终围绕48.30下方运行，最终承压后尾盘时段受挫底刷新46.60低位。日图进一步收中阴线。


    日图形成阴阳震荡式循环下跌，伴随着阴线实体大，小阳线修正后继续转换下跌。日图跌破47.0后上升线防守失败，加上K线的阴吞小阳线中继下跌还将持续，虽然均线系统还未完全拐头走单边下跌，但是伴随这种一阴一阳的修正向下，指标会慢慢转换下跌。日图贴着5日线看下行，防守点在10日线，压力47.30.


    Short line chart:4小时形成台阶震荡下跌，昨日48.0承压受挫做为新的台阶下跌临界点。短线在慢跌整理带动指标向下，不排除还会伴随反抽，但失守47.0之后短线转空成立。而此前的矩形区间跌破后，48.40转换成强压力。目前在延续跌破矩形的下行，结合小时图领先带动指标向下，破底反抽则顺势适当跟空。




Crude oil operation strategy:




     1Above47.1-47.3Short selling near the front line, stop loss0.5USD, target46.5-46.3, hold against the limit;


     2Below46.3-46.4Long nearby, stop loss0.4USD, target47Near.




    Message from Xianjiang:Those who often pay attention to my suggestions should understand the accuracy of my suggestions. Years of market analysis have created Xianjiang's keen insight into the market today. Perhaps Xianjiang's daily operational suggestions are not the most timely, but they are definitely the most accurate and stable! When many friends should short, they are afraid of rising, and when they should long, they are afraid of falling back. In fact, this is the human heart, this is the technology, and the human heart is the greatest technology. Sometimes you may agree that what really affects you is not the price, but too many things in your imagination. Xianjiang is willing to be your guide.


I only use my strength to speak-Teacher Xianjiang!


writing/On Jin by Xianjiang/Personal official online guidance for Weixin/Buckle:2738930443(Friends who set orders can consult me