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显江论金:美联储,EIA晚间双双来袭,不知怎么操作你就跟着我!

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    In life, I often see some investors who are either trapped or lose everything they have, and then regret and blame themselves. Either they have to endure the pain of liquidation and exit the market, or they keep replenishing their positions, but the end result is still a cycle of losses. I want to use my own expertise and experience to help those friends recover their losses. Seeing those investment friends who choose to believe and trust me regain their confidence, I am also very pleased!!!





Message surface:


    特朗普发推文称,金正恩做了一个非常明智的和合理的决定,若选择另一种做法,结果将是灾难性和不可接受的。
    另外,北京时间周四凌晨2点,美联储将公布7monthFOMC会议纪要。
    而美国亚特兰大联储新任主席Bostic(2018年有投票权)表示,亚特兰大联储模型显示美国经济将在下半年呈现显著强劲的增长。
    Bostic称,为了取得更加稳健的增长,需要更多的开支与投资。对通胀数据感到担忧,低失业率的影响并未传导至物价。财政政策的不确定性助长了企业的不确定性。




goldMarket analysis:


    现货黄金技术面上,昨日黄金开盘承压下行,欧盘时段黄金接连试探1272一线,美盘开始后受美国零售销售数据强劲影响,黄金再度承压,最低下破至1267.2一线,后黄金收复部分失地。日线上黄金录的一根带较长下影线阴线,从日线整体上看,黄金在冲击1290无果后,开始进行深度回调。历史总是惊人的相似,目前黄金这种情形跟今年4Month and6月向1300发起进攻是如出一辙,都是运行到关键阻力位这里开始承压下行。日线上MA5拐角向下,MA10Running on1271一线形成短期压力,MA22Running on1264一线形成下方支撑位,附图MACD指标红色能量柱缩量运行,快慢线运行在0轴上方有沾合迹象;4小时线上黄金基本维持在低位盘整,K线运行在布林带中下轨之间,布林带开口运行,各周期均线呈空头排列,附图MACD指标绿色能量柱小幅缩量,快慢线延续死叉运行在0轴一线,指标中性偏强;综合分析,上周闹得不可开交的朝美事件,在本周戛然而止。并不是此事解决了,只是特.朗普目前并没有和朝鲜继续隔空对峙。但朝鲜的态度依旧强硬,若届时美国针对此事再次表明立场,黄金避险情绪将有望再次升温,而稍后凌晨2点的美联储7月货币会议纪要将会召开,届时或将在金银市场引起轩然大波。

  

Golden Operation Strategy:



  
1、黄金回落触及1265-1264Long range, stop loss3Points, target1270;



  
2、黄金反弹触及1274Short on the front line, stop loss3Points, target1267;



  
3、行情瞬息万变,建议仅供参考,实时进场点位等待笔者盘中给出;



crude oilMarket analysis:



   
原油昨天回落试探反弹,以下引线的阳柱收尾,回到30Daily moving average47.5美元上方,趋势是触底反弹,但上方5Daily moving average and10日均线向下压制运行,所以综合来说就是,原油先以47美元为支撑看反弹,上方看48美元的压制。操作上缘林认为可以先多后空,先多是继续消化早间API消息,后空是因为技术面看空。近期原油在大幅度利空,下方一处破新低,趋势上行情处于弱势力,具体还得看EIA的动力是否会突破破坏空头趋势,如果今天收盘再次取得阴线,那么原油将面临一次大的变盘。

    盘面上方48.2美元是日内重要压力位置,据API利多反弹的力度来看,对弱势力构不成任何威胁,
If at nightEIA利多,上涨的力度不及预期的大,那么多头的行情将要立即改变。



Crude oil operation strategy:



     
47.5--47.6Multiple, stop loss47, Objective48.2--48.5





午夜行情走势预测:



     美联储纪要公布之后:美联储纪要公布后(Thursday2:00)金市波动势必加剧,多空方向则取决于措辞是鸽派还是鹰派。



     6月纪要显示美联储内部对于启动缩表的时间分歧加大,且把通胀低迷归咎于特殊情况,并重申渐进加息的立场。由于当时市场对缩表事宜高度关注,6月纪要显示的分歧被视为鸽派表现,黄金价格受到一定提振,具体走势我们具体分析:



    所以如何判断7月纪要偏鸽还是偏鹰呢?这还得看目前市场最关注的事情——通胀低迷(市场普遍预期9月启动缩表,因此对缩表的关注被弱化),若纪要有透露对通胀低迷的担忧,并认为会拖累加息进程,那么黄金多头将获得上涨动能,有机会回到1275
dollar
upper;若纪要并未过多的涉及通胀问题(或者对乐观看待通胀),而年内加息计划继续进行,那么黄金将短线测试1260美元关口,且回调风险明显上升。





    Message from Xianjiang:
Those who often pay attention to my suggestions should understand the accuracy of my suggestions. Years of market analysis have created Xianjiang's keen insight into the market today. Perhaps Xianjiang's daily operational suggestions are not the most timely, but they are definitely the most accurate and stable! When many friends should short, they are afraid of rising, and when they should long, they are afraid of falling back. In fact, this is the human heart, this is the technology, and the human heart is the greatest technology. Sometimes you may agree that what really affects you is not the price, but too many things in your imagination. Xianjiang is willing to be your guide.



I only use my strength to speak-Teacher Xianjiang!



writing/On Jin by Xianjiang/Personal official online guidance for Weixin:2738930443
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