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Investment is like playing chess. Those with high chess skills can see five, seven, or even a dozen steps, while those with low chess skills can only see two or three steps. High players consider the overall situation, plan the overall situation, and do not prioritize one piece or one place, with the ultimate goal of winning the game. Low players compete for every inch of land, only for temporary needs, resulting in frequent difficulties. Trends must have a long-term vision, investments must have long-term planning, and layout skills are the key to success. When making investments, if your abilities are not enough to support your current situation, then you need a strategist to help you control the overall situation. A choice is a turning point! One attempt is an opportunity!
crude oilMarket analysis:
昨日周三(8month2日)虽然EIA报告偏向利空,但美国汽油需求高涨拯救了crude oil多头,同时dollar继续疲软也为油价带来了有效支撑。油价在美盘中探底回升最高触及49.6dollar/桶。昨日早盘冲高至49附近受阻小幅回落,随后盘中维持在49下方盘整。欧市开盘回踩48.6一线确认支撑后转涨,震荡上行,随后在49上方转高位横盘。美式开盘延续横盘走势,在EIA利空数据公布后,油价如我们预测的一般自49.3高点附近开始下挫,短线下拉触及48.6一线白盘的低点支撑位,跌势未能延续没有继续破位下行,反而快速反弹上行并刷新高点触及前期关键阻力位49.6一线,随后转盘整。
eveningEIA的走势大体与预期一致,数据公布时果然在49.3一线起跌,与API的起跌点一致。实仓客户EIA前全体49.15进场,48.62Profit from leaving the premises45个点,及时离场避免了美联储加息消息面产生的反弹影响,完美获利睡个好觉。
日线上,油价目前运行于5日均线附近,上轨延伸至前期高点50.5的位置压制,下方10Daily moving average at48.36附近支撑,目前基本企稳在49dollar上方,附图macd快慢线金叉上行,上行动能柱重新开始放量;四小时图上,布林带开口走平,今日油价高点已经上破了中轨的阻力位,目前运行于中轨及10日均线之间,下方5Daily moving average at48.8的位置开始勾头上行,目前已经延伸至49美元处支撑油价,下方下轨则在48.5附近继续做二级支撑位,附图macd快慢线指标正值,下行的走势已经趋于平缓,下行动能柱缩量中。综合来看,连续回踩48.7一线后企稳上行。
Crude oil operation strategy:
今日操作上在48.60—50.00此区间内高沽低渣。
Analysis of natural gas market:
天然气昨日行情低位小幅震荡,并没有多大的波动,也没有操作的必要,目前技术面依然是看空的,但反弹需求同样不便,因晚间有EIA数据公布,所以还需要看数据的具体公布值,日内操作锋少建议反弹做空为主,下方低点继续做多,上方依然关注2.87-2.90Follow below2.76-2.74!
天然气操作策略:
1Rebound2.85Short nearby, stop loss2.90Above, target2.78, take a break to see2.75Nearby;
2、2.76-2.78Long, stop loss0.04, Objective2.85-2.88;