【锋少论金】8.2原油黄金晚间行情技术分析操作策略

        Investment is like playing chess. Those with high chess skills can see five, seven, or even a dozen steps, while those with low chess skills can only see two or three steps. High players consider the overall situation, plan the overall situation, and do not prioritize one piece or one place, with the ultimate goal of winning the game. Low players compete for every inch of land, only for temporary needs, resulting in frequent difficulties. Trends must have a long-term vision, investments must have long-term planning, and layout skills are the key to success. When making investments, if your abilities are not enough to support your current situation, then you need a strategist to help you control the overall situation. A choice is a turning point! One attempt is an opportunity!


crude oilMessage surface:
      U.S.Apetroleumassociation(API)Wednesday Beijing Time04:30According to published data, as of7month28Day and Weekcrude oilInventory increase17810000 barrels to4.888Billion barrels, expected to decrease290万桶。库欣crude oilInventory increase256.2Ten thousand barrels, expected to decrease256.8Ten thousand barrels. Reduced gasoline inventory482.7Ten thousand barrels, expected to decrease105万桶。精炼油库存减少122.5Ten thousand barrels, expected to decrease22.5万桶。美国上周原油进口增加8310000 barrels/Solstice83010000 barrels/Day.


    在相关调查显示OPECstay7月增产后，美国原油在8月初即遭遇大跌。多头本希望在API数据上确定美国原油库存正在下降的趋势，但美国API原油库存却意外录得增加。虽然美国上周汽油与精炼油库存录得近2个月以来最大降幅，库欣油库存却大幅增加。


Technical aspects of crude oil:
      原油日线图上昨日收取一根大阴线，结束此前连涨走势，MA5均线首要于49.35施压，MA10Moving average at48.3形成支撑，此位置也是周线布林中轨支撑位，需要重点关注，一旦此位置继续失守，则继续下看日线布林中轨47一带，以及MA30均线位置46.3处，上方重点就是49.6位置了，站稳此位置上方继续上看50.4-51One area,MACDIndicator on0轴上方运行，上行之势减缓，红色量能缩减，指标中性；4Looking at the hourly chart,K线强势3Lianyin,MA5/MA10均线死叉向下运行，分别于49.2/49.6展开压制，下方首要支撑布林下轨48.5，重点支撑MA55average48.2附近，下破继续看至47One area,MACDIndicator on0轴上方死叉向下运行，绿色量能大幅增加放量，指标弱势；综合分析来看，原油昨日大幅下挫，短线空头掌握主导权，而晚间EIA来袭，我们知道EIAContinuous4轴大幅减少，而今日公布的API数据意外录得增加，所以锋少个人认为此次EIA利空的可能性较大，但也不排除意外的发生，故今日操作锋少建议围绕两个位置进行操作即可，上方49.3、49.6Below48.3，往哪个方向破依然顺势往哪个方向进行操作即可！
Crude oil operation strategy:
1Above49.0-49.2Nearby empty orders enter, stop loss0.3USD, target48.5-48.7Nearby;
2Below48.2-48.4Long nearby, stop loss0.3US dollars, look at the target48.8-49.0Near.




goldTechnical analysis:
       日图双十字收盘，本周前两个交易日都是阴K线的收盘。虽有突破高点但是收盘不稳。加上dollar指数的超卖。随时都有反弹的可能。或许在等待非农数据的刺激走反攻。故这次非农极有可能是利好美元。打压金银回落修正。从日图上来看，也确实需要一次回调修正了。自1204确认打底以来。一直是慢涨收复失地。呈现的45角度的反弹上升。作为震荡行情中的反攻。配合回调蓄势才能有充足的量能去进一步冲高。目前日图就是在等待回调的形态转换契机。周初双阴十字整理存在回调风险。今日尽量不追高。留意日图收盘情况。趋势虽然看多不变。但也尽量等待日图进行一次回调确认再做才显安全。
Short line chart:4小时台阶震荡上升，但量能衰减。昨日冲高后回落收低。可见多头上行量能不足。并不是走得比较强势的单边上涨行情。长时间的盘整换来小幅的冲高。周初若一直维持这种整理表现。那周五非农极有可能是走转换下跌。短线针对日图进行回调修正。而目前震荡当中。多空强弱并不明显。形态来看。回调和上涨都看到太大空间。上方压力在1281Supported on1260.结合现货白银昨日冲高回落收得比较低。4小时形态留出极长上影线。短线回调或也将带动黄金走回调修正。就是不确定空间能走多大。故操作上相对谨慎一点，亚欧盘多看少动。待欧盘在确定强弱区间后美盘再安排操作一次即可。


Golden Operation Strategy:
1Suggest a fallback1264-1265附近轻仓布局多单，止损1257-1259Frontline, target oriented1272~1275Nearby;
2Suggestions1272-1274附近轻仓布局空单，止损1278Above, look at the target1268-1265Nearby;
3、具体操作策略请联系锋少老师实盘给出。


       不是每一次的等待都会有收获，等待行情的到来是枯燥的，因为结果并不是那么尽如人意，我们享受的是行情出来的时候给我们的视觉冲击力，享受在行情出来前，方向预测准确给我们带来利润的满足感。不管行情走势是不是真如你所料，我们认真分析过，研究过，也等待过。投资犹如人生，需要细细品味，耐心寻找属于你自己的方向，我找到了，你呢.


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