Ouyang Fengcheng:7.31美元祸不单行 黄金原油双双看涨

　　大多数人都想找到一个没有风险的高可靠性的交易点，而事实上不可能。另一方面，如果人们能够认识到市场中风险的意义，并且在交易中采取适当的策略，那么，你可以利用任何的方法从市场中赚到钱。而我恰好接触到的很多成功的交易者，使用简单的走势跟踪方法，从市场赚到了大钱。
　         　
　　Message analysis:
　　
Last Friday in the United StatesGDPThe report has dealt another blow to the US dollar, and the market is expected to have another busy week this week,ADP、ISMHeavyweight data such as non farm payroll will be released, especially the non farm payroll report. If the performance is poor, hopes of a rebound in the US dollar may be shattered.
　　
The data released by the United States last Friday showed that the annual growth rate of the US economy in the second quarter was2.6%, consistent with analyst estimates surveyed by Reuters, but the annual economic growth rate for the second quarter has been revised down to1.2%. In addition, the second quarter labor cost increase in the United States was less than expected, which also put pressure on the US dollar.
　　
　　美国周五将公布的7The monthly employment report will be presented to analysts and the Federal Reserve(FED)Important data of concern; The next time the Federal Reserve will9month19-20Convene a meeting on the day.
　　
United States6The monthly growth rate of non-agricultural employment exceeded expectations, and it is expected that7The month will slow down, but it will still remain at a strong level, indicating strong performance in the labor market, which is expected to continue the Federal Reserve's move towards the third rate hike of the year.
　　
　　本周金融市场将迎来名副其实的“超级周”。经济数据方面，非农将领衔众多重磅经济数据登场，而央行方面，英国央行和澳洲联储将公布利率决议，而英国央行决议当日更是有着“超级星期四”之称。在如此多重磅事件的“轰炸”之下，本周金融市场势必会遭遇“腥风血雨”。
　　
　　欧阳枫诚个人观点：今日开盘后，gold白银价格短线开高，黄金目前小幅回撤交投于1270一线，白银价格高开高走，目前交投于16.76Near USD；上周五盘中黄金白银价格短线暴涨，短期内预计金银价格将延续上行趋势今日是7月月线收官，加上是星期一，欧阳提醒谨防黑天鹅！基本面上，今日周一，没有较为重要的数据公布，重点关注美元走势以及朝鲜半岛局势。有意向跟上本人布局非农的朋友可以与欧阳详谈
　                　
　Technical analysis of gold:
　　
Gold6Month and7月的回调已经走到了尽头。金价一度上破1270美元，下一个目标水平是1280美元左右，这在本周是有可能实现的。技术面来看，黄金还会有一波深度回调的过程再上冲。目前金价整体呈现VThe trend of type reversal,K线总体趋势呈现多头排列，而且涨势一直在延续，布林带开口向上运行，KThe line is running near the Bollinger track and has been received so far1270一线的短线压制，小幅回落修正；
　　
　　均线系统呈现波浪式上升，5Daily moving average10日均线金叉运行，触及布林上轨短线有回调需求，附图MACDThe red kinetic energy column gradually increases in volume,KDJ金叉运行，技术指标呈阳性，多头趋势较为明朗。Key focus below1262Frontline support, attention from above1280一线压力位。建议回调1265一线做多为主。
　　
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
Callback1265-1268Multiple orders entering nearby, stop loss1260, Objective1275-1280frontline.
　　
　　未破1275，可轻仓短线空，止损1278, Objective1270-1265frontline.
　     　
　　crude oil技术分析面：
　　
　　原油近期走势较强势，从周线来看，原油自触及42一线后，整体延续着上升的态势，周K线阴阳交替上行，阴线实体越来越小，阳线实体越来越大，动能在不断的加强。周线阴阳交替，报收光头光脚的实体大阳柱，一强到底的强势形态。接下来，顺势做多是必然，我们看连阳上升。日线已经五连阳，连续上涨了一周，强势是无可厚非的，短期中期都是看涨的。
　　
　　从四小时线来看，原油走在上升趋势中，低点不断抬高，高点不断上移，随着周五日线再次收阳，周初多头趋势有望延续，趋势未改变之前仍然将一如既往的做多上看，本次48.6中短线多单继续持有不变，周一的思路不变，操作建议回落低多为主，Follow Below48.8Frontline support, attention from above50.5一线阻力，突破则持有。
　　
　Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
　　1On49.5-49.8Multiple orders entering nearby, stop loss0.4USD, target50.5frontline;
　　
　　2、未破50.3可空单进场，止损0.3USD, target49.5frontline.
　　
　　严格止盈止损，严格把握点位，严禁重仓操作！做行情，首看趋势，其次看点位，最后是时间。我们强调的是对行情的理解和观察。无论操作是对还是错，都必须要有操作的理由。有理由的操作，无论对错及时检讨，这才是真正投资。