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7.12-7.13黄金原油走势行情分析及如何正确解套

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  goldMessage surface parsing:
  
Wednesday(7month12day)20:30,美联储主席耶伦在国会证词讲稿公布,耶伦称美联储很可能在低通胀的情况下仍然退出刺激。法巴银行Mortimer-Lee分析称,耶伦证词意味着美联储9月不会行动。耶伦讲稿公布之后,黄金市场迎来强劲多头动力,黄金价格短线暴涨,截止发稿前黄金价格已经录得1225.69USD.
  
Gold trend analysis:
  

  晚间黄金价格的上涨直接涨破了技术面上四小时布林带的中轨压制位置,一举刷新周初以来的新高;短线上看,肖宇梵认为黄金午夜还有继续上涨的空间,上方的位置看到前期整理的底部1219-20位置;不过黄金日线上依旧处于五周的下跌趋势中。日线图上近期的下行通道依旧完好,因此目前直接说黄金就此开始上涨还为时过早;短线支撑位置关注今日低点1208附近,其次关注1204/1200关口;午夜时肖宇梵不再给出操作建议,趋势行短线继续看反弹,上方压力关注1219-20Near.


  
  crude oilMessage surface parsing:
  
Wednesday Beijing Time(7month12Day)22:30United States Energy Information Administration(EIA)Published as of7month7Decrease in inventory of crude oil depot during the current week756.4Ten thousand barrels, expected to decrease285Ten thousand barrels, the previous value is a decrease629.9Ten thousand barrels.EIA数据公布后,美油布油短线上扬。具体数据显示,截至7month7Record a decrease in gasoline inventory for the current week164.7万桶,连续四周下降,预期为增加114.7Ten thousand barrels, the previous value is a decrease366.9万桶;当周精炼油库存录得增加313万桶,连续两周下滑后,本周出现增长,预期为增加113.3Ten thousand barrels, the previous value is a decrease185Ten thousand barrels; During the week, crude oil inventories in the Cushing area of Oklahoma recorded a decrease194.8Ten thousand barrels, the previous value is a decrease133.4Ten thousand barrels.
  
Technical analysis of crude oil:
  

  目前技术面上分析来看,上行46.6继续受阻并快速下跌,说明空头之强,原油日线上依然受阻MA5均线的压制,4小时图上受阻布林中轨位置,MA5/MA10均线拐头向下粘合运行于46施压,布林下轨运行于45.6附近,并有向下延伸之势,MACDIndicator on0轴下方粘合向下运行,绿色量能冒头有再次放量之势;1小时图上来看,油价跌破布林中轨支撑后,空头加大下行力度,并沿着布林下轨向下运行,布林带指标开口运行,MA5均线强势向下运行首要于45.6附近施压,MACD指标交死叉向下运行于0轴偏下方,下行动能持续增加,指标中性偏弱;肖宇梵综合分析来看,原油空头强势。


  
  解套方法:
  
  EIA如期利多,行情总是这样不按套路出牌,一如既往的任性先涨后跌,让人不自觉的以为遇到了一个假的EIA,这一波的暴跌相信不少投资朋友也是措手不及,套单不怕,一起来学学套单该如何走出困境吧:
  
  1Long term unwinding. Investors who have identified a major trend (such as a bullish market) and placed their orders in a minor trend (a downward trend in the market) can first stop losing and then enter at a lower price to earn a price difference. This can also earn profits from the major trend and reduce the risk of short positions caused by the minor trend.
  
  2Short line unwinding. If investors make a complete mistake in their judgment of the market, they should decisively close their positions to avoid further unilateral price fluctuations and greater losses. The longer short-term investors hold in a unilateral market, the greater the losses they will incur.
  
  3Light position unwinding (also applicable to investors with large funds). That is, as the decline in the price increases, it increases the buying price and uses idle funds to lower costs, waiting for the price to rebound. Its advantage is that no matter how deep it is nested, as long as it is operated properly, it can be unlocked once there is a rebound.
  
  4, band unpacking. This method is suitable for various market stages of hedging, especially for volatile markets, mainly relying on the fluctuation of stock prices and utilizing the fluctuation price difference to unwind. The concept of this method is to buy low and sell high, sell high and buy low, gradually reducing costs and reducing losses. Its advantage lies in the variety of operating techniques, which are not limited to a single pattern, actively attacking, and if operated properly, the release speed is fast. The disadvantage lies in the high demand for personal time, energy, and ability, frequent operation with certain cost pressure, and improper operation can easily cause greater losses. We need professional knowledge and guidance with time, energy, and skills.
  
  个人投资者,凭一己之力面对市场,很容易出现当局者迷的情况。商场即战场,顺势而为,选择合适的合作伙伴变得异常重要。实力不够,伙伴来凑。老话说的好“三个臭皮匠赛过诸葛亮”。笔者肖宇梵是金融投资分析师,从事金融行业多年,研究国际局势和热点事件。金融领域博大精深,每天行情波折不断,我所能做的就是用我多年的研究经验,给大家帮助。
  Text: Xiao Yufan  Author's Innovationxyf9996
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