EIA原油库存数据与原油价格的关系

EIAcrude oil库存数据与原油价格的关系
What is?EIA
　　美国能源署简称EIAEstablished in1977年，是能源部的能源信息数据计算和剖析组织，为美国政府能源决议计划供给支撑效劳，总部设在华盛顿特区，旨在经过供给有关能源方针的信息及能源预测和剖析，提高决议计划理性和商场绩效，推进能源与经济、环境之间的协调发展。

What is?EIACrude oil inventory?
　　信任原油投资者对EIA原油库存并不生疏，但是EIA原油库存数据在原油商场中占据着啥样的定位，你们知道吗?
　　简略来说，美国能源材料协会(EIA)是美国能源部下属的能源信息署，归于官方组织，现在商场的交易员和世界威望的能源咨询组织都是选用EIA的库存数据。
　　该数据通常每周发布一次，时间为每周三晚间11：30（夏令时10:30）发布，该数据对原油、汇市以及贵金属商场都会形成必定的影响，投资者需亲近重视。
　　为何重视EIAstock
　　原油即石油，也称“黑色金子”，是工业的“血脉”，原油使用量少了，阐明工业不景气，通常经济兴旺的国家，都是原油消耗大国。
　　EIA库存与原油价格的联系
　　通常以为，当EIA库存数据添加，标明商场供过于求，市场花费能源缺乏，无法消化过剩的原油，这将使得油价跌落。另一方面，假如EIA库存数据削减，则阐明商场对原油需要旺盛，推动了出产，然后致使油价上升。
　　根据近30年以来的数据显现，EIA库存与原油价格根本呈反比的联系，大体符合以上推论。
　　EIA库存影响油价
　　EIA作为官方组织，计算的是美国俄克拉何马州库欣区域的原油库存水平，俄克拉何马州库欣区域是美国首要的内陆产油区，它决议这北美“基准”原油，美国西得克萨斯轻质原油(WIT)的价格，库欣区域的库存水映出美国原油从首要的内陆产区，向位于墨西哥湾沿岸的首要炼油区运送的速度，库欣原油库存添加将令WTI价格承压下行，反之亦然。
　　（1）原油投资逻辑：
　　当原油库存添加高于预期，标明商场对原油供应量过剩，将致使油价跌落，主张做空原油;当原油库存削减低于预期，标明商场对原油需要量旺盛，将致使油价上涨，主张做多原油。
　　（2）对原油动摇的前史影响：
　　据计算，EIA库存数据陈述发布当日，原油的前史日均动摇率为2.77%，最大日动摇率高达8.37%，是每周投资原油的绝佳良机。
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